bet365
BetMGM
Betfred
BetUK
LiveScoreBet
10Bet
Virgin Bet
Can Osasuna’s home strength hold off a Girona side starting to find its rhythm again? Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.
To use the Live Streaming service you will need to be logged in and have a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. Geo location and live streaming rules apply.
Read Rationale ▾
Osasuna have turned El Sadar into a fortress, taking 25 points from 13 home matches and losing only twice all season. Girona have drawn their last three away games, suggesting they are hard to beat but struggling to find winning margins on the road against physical sides.
Read Rationale ▾
Girona arrive having drawn their last three away fixtures and struggle against aerial dominance, which Osasuna provide via Budimir. However, Girona’s high technical control and passing accuracy should see them find the net. A tight, technical stalemate between two sides level on points looks highly plausible.
Readers’ Tip
Vote your pick — quick & anonymous
Terms & Conditions (tap to view)
Osasuna and Girona meet level on points in La Liga, with El Sadar set for a tight battle between home strength and away resilience.
Osasuna vs Girona — bet365 Market Snapshot
Swipe through key markets with illustrative probabilities and sample bet365 odds based on our match analysis.
Osasuna have taken 25 points from 13 home league matches, making them clear favourites at El Sadar against a drawing Girona.
Osasuna’s clinical home output combined with Girona’s technical control suggests a balanced likelihood of goals at both ends.
With both teams level on points and Girona drawing their last three away games, the 1–1 draw is highly illustrative.
Osasuna’s seven clean sheets compared to Girona’s five reflects a team that protects their home box more effectively.
Match Preview
This is one of those fixtures that can quietly shape the rest of a season. Osasuna and Girona are both on 34 points, sitting side by side in the middle of La Liga, and both still have plenty to play for as they try to push toward the top half rather than glance nervously over their shoulder.
Osasuna come into the game in a slightly edgier mood. Alessio Lisci’s side have taken just one point from their last three matches, with the 3-1 defeat to Real Sociedad still fresh, so the return to Estadio El Sadar matters.
Girona, though, have a bit more lift. Michel’s side beat Athletic Club 3-0 last time out and now chase back-to-back league wins. There is unfinished business here too after Girona won the reverse fixture 1-0 on 10 January 2026, so Osasuna have every reason to come out with bite from the first whistle at 17:30.
Defensive Stability: Total Clean Sheets
A comparison of how many times each side has prevented their opponents from scoring in La Liga this season.
Osasuna have a more robust defensive record, having conceded eight fewer goals than their opponents this term.
Girona’s high-scoring matches often come with defensive trade-offs, reflected in their lower clean sheet tally.
Physical Edge: Aerial Duels Won
This metric highlights the difference in physical presence and set-piece threat between the two sides.
Osasuna use their physical advantage to control the box, particularly when feeding striker Ante Budimir.
Girona prioritize ball retention on the ground, but this lower volume can leave them vulnerable to direct attacks.
Key Statistics
- El Sadar has been a fortress: Osasuna have taken 25 points from 13 home league matches, lost only twice there all season, and are unbeaten in their last seven home La Liga games, which gives this fixture a very different feel from their recent away slip-ups.
- Girona travel better than their table suggests: Girona have picked up 15 points from 14 away league games, are unbeaten in six of their last seven away league matches, and have drawn their last three away games in all competitions, so they arrive with a clear habit of staying in the fight.
- This game has a real focal-point duel: Ante Budimir has scored 13 league goals for Osasuna, while Vladyslav Vanat has 9 for Girona, and both sides rely heavily on their main striker to turn controlled phases into goals.
Team News & Probable Lineups
Team News
- Osasuna are without Iker Benito Sánchez because of a cruciate ligament tear.
- Girona have no absences listed.
Probable Osasuna Lineup
Sergio Herrera, Valentin Rosier, Enzo Boyomo, Alejandro Catena, Javi Galán, Iker Muñoz, Jon Moncayola, Rubén García, Aimar Oroz, Víctor Muñoz, Ante Budimir
Probable Girona Lineup
Paulo Gazzaniga, Hugo Rincón, Vitor Reis, Daley Blind, Arnau Martínez, Axel Witsel, Fran Beltrán, Viktor Tsygankov, Azzedine Ounahi, Joel Roca, Vladyslav Vanat
Osasuna’s shape looks built around width, service and second balls. With Budimir leading the line and runners like Víctor Muñoz and Rubén García around him, the home side should look to feed the box early and often. Girona’s XI carries a different flavour. There is more short passing, more technical control and more emphasis on getting creative players like Tsygankov and Ounahi on the ball in dangerous pockets. That makes this a really clean stylistic clash.
Tale of the Tape
| Metric | Osasuna | Girona |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 12th | 11th |
| Points | 34 | 34 |
| Goals scored | 33 | 31 |
| Goals conceded | 35 | 43 |
| Shots per game | 11.3 | 10.6 |
| Possession | 45.1% | 49.3% |
| Pass success | 79.7% | 85.3% |
| Aerials won | 16.1 | 11.0 |
| Clean sheets | 7 | 5 |
Tactical Battle
Osasuna’s width against Girona’s soft spots
Osasuna look well set for the pattern of this match. They play with width, attack down the left and attempt crosses often, which is a major point against a Girona side that is weak in aerial duels and weak at defending set pieces.
That puts the spotlight straight on Javi Galán, Rubén García and the service into Budimir. Osasuna do not need endless possession to create pressure. They can turn one strong wide delivery into a genuine chance, and Budimir is the obvious reference point with his 13 league goals and 3.6 aerials won per match. Girona will not enjoy that kind of battle. Their defensive profile shows vulnerability when the game becomes physical or when opponents attack the box repeatedly.
Girona’s control could still drag Osasuna around
There is another side to this. Girona are the more polished passing team by distance. Their 85.3% pass success is strong, and their structure leans on short passes, patient construction and attacks down the right. That should bring Tsygankov, Rincón and Ounahi into focus. Ounahi in particular looks central to Girona’s best football. He has 4 goals, 2 assists, a strong rating, and the kind of shot volume that can unsettle a side even when the passing tempo is not especially high.
Game-State Scenarios
- Budimir against Girona’s centre-backs: This is the clearest individual mismatch in the match, especially with Girona weak in the air.
- Girona’s right flank: Tsygankov and Rincón can push Osasuna back if they combine quickly enough.
- Set pieces at both ends: Osasuna are strong here, while Girona have clear issues defending dead-ball situations.
- The first 20 minutes: Osasuna’s home record says they feed off the crowd, so an early spell of pressure could set the whole tone.
- Midfield discipline: Both sides collect cards, and needless fouls around the box could become a major factor.
- Second balls in Girona’s area: Osasuna do not need perfect football to create danger if they keep the pressure alive.
What Could Go Wrong?
Osasuna can lean too hard into the direct game and leave too much space for Girona’s more technical players to play through them. Girona, meanwhile, can look composed for long stretches and still unravel when the game becomes physical, aerial and chaotic near their own goal. That is what makes this fixture so intriguing: one side wants control, the other wants pressure, and whichever team drags the contest onto its own terms will take a major step toward the top half.
📊 Market Explainer
Draw No Bet (DNB)
This market removes the possibility of a draw. If the match ends in a stalemate, your stake is returned. You only win if your selected team secures the victory. It is a lower-risk alternative to the 1X2 market, offering insurance against late equalisers but providing lower odds than a straight win.
Correct Score
A high-reward market that requires predicting the exact final scoreline after 90 minutes. Because of the difficulty in getting it right, the prices are high. Cautious approaches might cover 2-3 likely scorelines, whereas high-risk approaches focus on a single outcome where tactical parity is expected.
🎯 Main Bet: Osasuna Draw No Bet
Osasuna have turned Estadio El Sadar into one of the most difficult venues to visit in La Liga this season. They have taken 25 points from 13 home matches and have suffered only two defeats on home soil throughout the entire campaign. This home strength is a significant factor, especially as they enter this match on a seven-game unbeaten streak at El Sadar. While their away form has faltered recently, the return to familiar surroundings provides a platform for defensive stability and direct attacking pressure.
⚔️ Tactical Indicators:
- Osasuna are unbeaten in their last 7 home La Liga matches.
- Girona have drawn their last 3 away games across all competitions.
- Osasuna hold a superior defensive record with 7 clean sheets compared to Girona’s 5.
Risk Factor: Osasuna have taken only one point from their last three league matches, showing a slight dip in overall momentum.
🎯 Correct Score: 1-1 Draw
This fixture brings together two sides currently inseparable in the league table, both sitting on 34 points. Girona have developed a persistent habit of drawing on their travels, finishing level in their last three away matches in all competitions. Their technical control, evidenced by a high pass success rate of 85.3%, allows them to retain possession and create chances even in hostile environments. However, their defensive vulnerability in the air (only 11.0 aerials won per match) makes it difficult for them to keep clean sheets against direct sides like Osasuna.
Osasuna’s reliance on service to Ante Budimir should yield a goal given Girona’s aerial weakness, but Girona’s creative midfield options like Ounahi and Tsygankov are likely to find a response. Given both sides are well-matched and occupy adjacent positions in the table, a tactical 1-1 stalemate is the most logical outcome.
Risk Factor: A single moment of set-piece dominance from Budimir could tip the match toward a 1-0 home win if Girona fail to capitalise on possession.
Key Tactical Mismatch
Winning 16.1 duels per match. Budimir wins 3.6 aerials alone, creating a major direct threat.
Girona win only 11.0 aerial duels and show vulnerability against repeated wide deliveries.
❓ Match Q&A
⊕What is a Draw No Bet wager?
A Draw No Bet wager means you pick a winner, but if the match ends in a draw, your money is returned. It removes the risk of losing your stake on a tie.
⊕Why is Osasuna strong at home?
Osasuna have won 25 of their 34 points at El Sadar this season. Their physical approach and home support make them difficult to break down on their own turf.
⊕How likely is a 1-1 correct score?
It is a common outcome when two sides are level on points. Girona have drawn their last three away matches, making a stalemate statistically probable.
⊕Who is the main goal threat for Osasuna?
Ante Budimir is the focal point, having scored 13 league goals this season. He is particularly dangerous in the air during set-pieces.
⊕What are Girona’s main defensive weaknesses?
Girona struggle with aerial duels and defending crosses. They have also conceded 43 goals this season, which is significantly higher than Osasuna’s 35.
⊕Can Girona control the game despite being the away side?
Yes, Girona have a higher pass success rate (85.3%) and possession average. They use technical control to dictate tempo and move opponents around.
⊕Does the previous head-to-head matter?
Girona won the reverse fixture 1-0 in January. This gives them a psychological edge, but Osasuna’s home unbeaten run makes this a very different environment.
⊕Is Under 2.5 goals a safe option?
While Osasuna’s home matches are often tight, Girona’s defensive record suggests goals are possible. It is a balanced market with no clear dominance for either side.
18+ | GambleAware | T&Cs apply. Please gamble responsibly. Set a budget, use deposit limits, and stop when it’s no longer fun.
