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Can Liverpool turn Anfield into Tottenham’s breaking point again? Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.
Read Rationale ▾
Liverpool’s dominance at Anfield against a Tottenham side suffering six straight defeats makes a home win highly probable. With the hosts averaging 15.8 shots per game and Spurs struggling defensively in wide areas, expect a high-scoring encounter where Liverpool’s attacking volume overwhelms the visitors’ shaky backline.
Read Rationale ▾
Liverpool’s superior shot volume and home record suggest multiple goals, while their tendency to concede counter-attacks allows Spurs a consolation. A 3-1 scoreline aligns with the hosts’ 60.3% possession and Tottenham’s defensive errors, reflecting a dominant Liverpool victory where the visitors manage to find the net once.
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Liverpool host Tottenham at Anfield with top-four pressure, poor Spurs form and big tactical questions shaping a high-stakes Premier League fixture.
Liverpool vs Tottenham — bet365 Market Snapshot
Swipe through key markets with illustrative probabilities and sample bet365 odds.
Liverpool’s 16-game unbeaten home run against Spurs, combined with the visitors’ six straight defeats, creates a clear market lean.
Liverpool average 15.8 shots per game, and Tottenham’s defensive weaknesses in wide areas suggest a high-scoring game.
A 2-0 or 2-1 result reflects Liverpool’s home dominance and control while acknowledging Tottenham’s ability to counter.
Liverpool’s league average of 60.3% possession indicates they will dominate the ball at Anfield against Tudor’s side.
Match Preview
This fixture already carries a charge at the best of times, but the mood around it now feels even sharper. Liverpool head into Sunday’s 16:30 kickoff at Anfield needing a forceful response in the Premier League race, while Tottenham Hotspur arrive with the noise of six straight defeats following them all the way from London.
There is unfinished business here too. Anfield was the stage for a 5-1 Liverpool win in this fixture last season, and Liverpool have already beaten Spurs 2-1 away in the league this term. That recent edge matters.
For Arne Slot, this is a chance to steady the league push after a pair of setbacks either side of the FA Cup win at Wolves. For Igor Tudor, it is a test of nerve, structure and resistance against a side that can overwhelm teams quickly on this pitch.
Attacking Volume: Shots per League Match
Liverpool’s high-pressure system results in a significantly higher offensive output compared to Tottenham’s current season average.
With 48 goals scored already, Liverpool’s ability to create chances remains their primary tactical weapon.
Tottenham struggle to match the shot volume of the hosts, placing heavy pressure on their conversion efficiency.
Pitch Control: Average Possession
Liverpool dominate territory and the ball, a trend that typically forces opponents into deep defensive blocks at Anfield.
This level of control allows Liverpool to pin teams back and launch waves of wide attacks.
Sitting below 50% possession, Spurs often rely on transition moments rather than sustained build-up play.
- Anfield has been a nightmare for Spurs: Liverpool are unbeaten in their last 16 home games against Tottenham in all competitions, and they have also avoided a half-time loss in the last 14 meetings.
- The form line is brutal: Tottenham come into this fixture on six straight defeats in all competitions, while Liverpool have won four of their last six matches and remain strong at home.
- Liverpool attack more and control more: Liverpool average 15.8 Premier League shots per game with 60.3% possession, while Tottenham average 11 shots per game and sit below them on both control and volume.
Team News & Probable Lineups
Liverpool Team News
- Wataru Endo is out following surgery.
- Alexander Isak is out with a broken fibula.
- Conor Bradley is out after knee surgery.
- Stefan Bajcetic Maquieira is out following surgery.
Tottenham Hotspur Team News
- No absences are listed here.
| Probable Liverpool lineup | Probable Tottenham Hotspur lineup |
|---|---|
| Mamardashvili | Vicario |
| Frimpong, Konate, Van Dijk, Robertson | Porro, Danso, Dragusin, Spence |
| Gravenberch, Jones | Gray, Sarr |
| Salah, Szoboszlai, Gakpo | Tel, Simons, Richarlison |
| Ekitike |
Liverpool still carry enough punch in the front four to make this look dangerous for Spurs from the first whistle. Mohamed Salah, Dominik Szoboszlai, Cody Gakpo and Hugo Ekitike give them runners, craft and shots from multiple angles.
The Liverpool absences bite more around depth and balance than headline star power. Tottenham, meanwhile, need the listed back line to hold up under real pressure, because their weaknesses against wide attacks and individual quality look exposed in this matchup.
Tale of the Tape
| Metric | Liverpool | Tottenham Hotspur |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 6th | 16th |
| Points | 48 | 29 |
| Premier League goals scored | 48 | 39 |
| Premier League goals conceded | 39 | 46 |
| Premier League shots per game | 15.8 | 11.0 |
| Possession | 60.3% | 49.8% |
| Pass success | 86.0% | 81.3% |
| Clean sheets (all listed matches) | 1 | 1 |
| Last six matches | W4 L2 | L6 |
These numbers point in one direction. Liverpool should see more of the ball, spend more time in the attacking half and create more attempts.
Tottenham still carry threat, but the gap in control is hard to ignore. Liverpool play with more possession, pass more accurately and build more dangerous attacks, while Spurs arrive with the kind of recent defensive wobble that can quickly turn a difficult Anfield afternoon into a long one.
Tactical Battle
Liverpool’s width looks like the pressure point
Liverpool’s strengths line up neatly with Tottenham’s weak spots. The hosts are very strong attacking down the wings, and Spurs are weak when defending against attacks in wide areas. That feels central to this game.
Expect Liverpool to stretch the pitch early. Frimpong and Robertson can push play wide, while Salah and Gakpo attack from the flanks with completely different problems for defenders. That matters because Tottenham tend to play with width themselves and often leave space around the outside lanes when the press does not land cleanly.
Control versus chaos
Liverpool’s style is built on controlling matches in the opposition half. They want the ball, they want territory, and they want waves of pressure through short passing and long-shot threats. Their average of 59% possession across all competitions and 60.3% in the league tells the story.
Spurs are different. They are aggressive, they attempt crosses often, and they can win the ball back quickly. But there is a catch. They also sit with listed weaknesses in aerial duels, individual errors, and defending against players of quality. Against this Liverpool forward line, that is a dangerous mix.
If Spurs press high and leave gaps, Liverpool have the players to play through it. If Spurs drop off, Liverpool have the volume and patience to keep probing. Neither option looks comfortable when Ekitike is taking 2.4 shots per game, Salah is still a major creator with 6 assists, and Szoboszlai brings both drive and threat from deeper areas.
Where Tottenham can hurt Liverpool
This is not a one-way tactical board. Liverpool have weaknesses too. They are weak at defending counter attacks, weak at protecting the lead, and very weak at avoiding offside. They are also very weak at stopping opponents from creating chances.
So Spurs do have a route in. If they survive the first phase and break into the space left behind Liverpool’s full-backs, they can make this messy. Richarlison has 8 league goals, Mathys Tel gives them pace, and Xavi Simons can connect breaks with sharp movement and forward passing.
Liverpool’s centre-backs should fancy the physical contest. Virgil van Dijk averages 4.9 aerial duels won, and Ibrahima Konate adds 3.5. But the more Liverpool commit bodies forward, the more they invite transition moments. Spurs will look for exactly those moments.
The duel in the middle
The midfield battle should decide whether Tottenham can even get to those counter-attacks. Ryan Gravenberch and Curtis Jones need to lock the game into Liverpool’s tempo. If they do, Spurs will spend long spells chasing angles rather than launching attacks.
Tottenham’s midfield has legs, aggression and tackling volume, but it also comes with risk. Spurs commit 18.24 tackles per game and average 2.49 yellow cards per game, both notably high. That tells you how often they are dragged into defensive actions and how fine the line becomes when the game speeds up.
At Anfield, against a side averaging 62.02 dangerous attacks per match, that pressure can build very quickly.
Key Moments to Watch
- Liverpool’s opening wave: Anfield games can tilt fast, and Liverpool’s shot volume suggests they will push hard from the off.
- Wide overloads: The battle between Salah/Gakpo and Tottenham’s full-backs looks crucial.
- Aerial duels in both boxes: Liverpool are strong in the air, while Spurs are weaker there. That matters on crosses, second balls and restarts.
- Spurs in transition: If Simons, Tel or Richarlison get running into space, Liverpool can be stretched.
- Discipline under pressure: Tottenham have 5 red cards and 102 yellow cards across the listed matches, which is a warning sign in a fixture that can get heated.
What Could Go Wrong?
For Liverpool, the risk is overconfidence with the ball. They dominate territory, push the full-backs high, then leave room behind them for Spurs to counter into channels and create a game that swings instead of settles. For Tottenham, the danger is simpler and more severe: they get pinned back, lose the wide battles, and their defensive flaws against quality attackers get exposed again.
That is why this feels so loaded. Liverpool have the stronger platform, the better control numbers, the better recent record in the fixture and the right attacking profile for this opponent. Tottenham still have enough front-foot threat to make it uncomfortable, but only if they can survive the first storm and keep their shape intact long enough to land punches of their own.
Market Explainer 📊
Match Result & Over 2.5 Goals
This is a combined market where you predict both the final winner and that the match will produce at least three goals. Both parts must happen for the bet to be successful.
Pros: Higher price than a straight win. Cons: A low-scoring 1-0 win would lose.
Correct Score
A high-risk market where you must predict the exact final scoreline. This requires precision in forecasting both teams’ attacking and defensive outputs.
Pros: Excellent returns. Cons: A single late goal can ruin the result.
Liverpool vs Tottenham Hotspur Rationale 🎯
Main Bet: Liverpool to Win & Over 2.5 Goals
Liverpool enter this fixture as significant favourites, underpinned by an exceptional 16-match unbeaten home streak against Tottenham at Anfield. Their tactical framework is built on high volume, averaging 15.8 shots per Premier League match and maintaining 60.3% possession. This territorial dominance is expected to overwhelm a Tottenham side currently enduring a catastrophic run of six consecutive defeats across all competitions.
The addition of the Over 2.5 goals element is supported by the specific tactical mismatches identified. Liverpool are particularly strong when attacking via the wings, while Tottenham are noted as being weak at defending against wide attacks. With Frimpong and Robertson providing width for Salah and Gakpo, the hosts are likely to create high-quality chances frequently. Tottenham’s defensive fragility is further highlighted by their high tackle volume (18.24 per game) and yellow card average (2.49), suggesting they struggle to contain runners without committing fouls.
- Anfield Factor: Liverpool are unbeaten in 16 home games vs Spurs.
- Form Mismatch: Tottenham arrive on a 6-match losing streak.
- Wide Pressure: Liverpool’s wing strength vs Spurs’ wide defensive weakness.
Risk Factor: Liverpool are weak at defending counter-attacks and stopping opponents from creating chances.
Key Tactical Mismatch
Van Dijk and Konate win 8.4 duels combined. Huge threat against a Spurs side weak in the air.
Weak defending wide areas and prone to individual errors under sustained pressure.
Correct Score: Liverpool 3-1 Tottenham
A 3-1 scoreline is a plausible outcome that reflects the statistical disparity between the two sides while acknowledging Liverpool’s own defensive vulnerabilities. Liverpool possess significant attacking depth with Salah, Gakpo, and Ekitike, who alone averages 2.4 shots per game. Given Tottenham’s weakness against individual quality and wide overloads, Liverpool are well-equipped to find the net multiple times.
However, Liverpool are noted as being very weak at avoiding offside and weak at protecting a lead. This, combined with their struggle to stop opponents from creating chances, provides a window for Tottenham to score. With Richarlison (8 goals) and the pace of Mathys Tel, Spurs are capable of landing a punch on the counter-attack, even if they cannot survive the overall pressure.
Risk Factor: If Spurs capitalize on Liverpool’s weakness in transitions early, it could shift the game-state.
Frequently Asked Questions ⊕
⊕What does ‘Match Result & Over 2.5’ mean?
This bet requires the selected team to win the match and for the total goals scored by both sides to be three or more. If Liverpool win 2-1, 3-0, or 3-1, the bet is successful.
⊕Why is Liverpool favoured at Anfield?
Liverpool are unbeaten in their last 16 home games against Tottenham. Combined with Spurs’ current six-match losing streak, the home side holds a significant psychological and statistical advantage.
⊕Can Tottenham score in this game?
Yes, Tottenham have scoring potential through Richarlison and Tel. Liverpool are also noted for being weak at defending counter-attacks and stopping chances.
⊕What is a ‘Correct Score’ bet?
A Correct Score bet requires you to predict the exact final score of the match. It offers high odds because it is much harder to predict than a simple win or draw.
⊕What are the risks for a Liverpool win?
The main risks involve Liverpool’s defensive lapses in transition and their weakness in protecting leads. If Spurs score early, it could disrupt Liverpool’s control.
⊕How does Liverpool’s possession affect the match?
Liverpool’s 60.3% average possession means they likely pin Spurs back. This increases their chances of scoring but leaves space behind for Spurs to counter.
⊕Why is Over 2.5 goals predicted?
Liverpool’s high shot volume (15.8 per game) and Spurs’ defensive weaknesses in wide areas suggest a game with multiple scoring opportunities.
⊕Who are the key players for Liverpool?
Mohamed Salah, Hugo Ekitike, and Dominik Szoboszlai are vital. Ekitike’s 2.4 shots per game and Salah’s creativity are central to their attacking threat.
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