bet365
BetMGM
William Hill
Betfred
BetUK
LiveScoreBet
10Bet
Virgin Bet
To use the Live Streaming service you will need to be logged in and have a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. Geo location and live streaming rules apply.
Can Dundee build on their Aberdeen success to pull clear of the relegation scrap against a goal-hungry Hibs side? Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.
Read Rationale ▾
Hibernian’s attacking numbers are far superior, averaging 13.1 shots per game and scoring nearly double the goals Dundee have managed this season. With Dundee’s well-documented struggle to defend against skillful players and counter-attacks, David Gray’s clinical side should exploit these spaces and secure all three points.
Read Rationale ▾
Dundee often find the net at home but suffer from a heavy goals-against record, conceding 42 times. Given that over 2.5 goals has landed in five of the last six meetings between these sides, a 2-1 victory for Hibernian aligns with Hibs’ superior quality and Dundee’s defensive vulnerabilities.
Readers’ Tip
Vote your pick — quick & anonymous
Terms & Conditions (tap to view)
Dundee host Hibs at Dens Park with survival on the line. Pressley’s side need points, while Gray’s men bring pace, shots, and a potent counter-attack threat.
Dundee vs Hibernian — bet365 Market Snapshot
Swipe through key markets with illustrative probabilities and sample bet365 odds.
Hibernian have won four of the last six Premiership meetings with Dundee, showing superior quality in this specific head-to-head fixture.
Over 2.5 goals has landed in five of the last six Premiership clashes between Dundee and Hibernian at Dens Park.
Dundee have conceded 42 goals this term, while Hibernian average 1.6 goals scored per league game to date.
Hibernian average 13.1 shots per game, significantly higher than Dundee’s 10.3, creating more high-quality chances on goal.
Survival Pressure vs Top-Six Ambition
- Survival Pressure Cooker: Dundee sit ninth with 27 points from 27 games and 14 league defeats, leaving them only six points above 11th-placed Kilmarnock in the relegation zone.
- Hibernian Bring the Goals: Hibernian are fifth with 45 points from 28 fixtures, scoring 45 league goals and averaging 13.1 shots per game, with Jamie McGrath (7) and Kieron Bowie (8) driving output.
- Head-to-Head Heat: Dundee have lost four of the last six Premiership meetings with Hibs, and over 2.5 goals has landed in five of those six clashes — this fixture rarely stays quiet.
Attacking Output: Goals Scored this Season
Hibernian’s attacking variety has seen them hit nearly double the goals Dundee have managed so far.
Simon Murray is the primary outlet, but Dundee find high-scoring games difficult to sustain across 90 minutes.
With Bowie and McGrath both in form, Hibs possess multiple ways to breach the opposition’s defensive line.
Defensive Resilience: Goals Conceded
Dundee’s struggle to close out matches is reflected in a high goals-against tally compared to the top six.
Weaknesses against skillfully direct players have left Dundee vulnerable throughout the campaign.
Hibs have managed to concede 10 fewer goals than their hosts, providing a more stable platform for their attackers.
Dens Park is set for a proper scrap at 15:00 on Saturday. Dundee need points, not plaudits, as Steven Pressley’s side try to turn a vital breakthrough into a survival run.
That 3-2 win at Aberdeen snapped a five-game winless streak in the league and lifted the mood, but the table still bites. Dundee are ninth, only six points clear of the relegation zone, and every home fixture now feels like a test of nerve.
Hibernian arrive in fifth under David Gray, with 45 points and a clear target: keep climbing. They’ve mixed results recently, but the away win at Celtic shows their ceiling when the game opens up.
This one looks like tension versus ambition — and the pitch will tell the truth quickly.
Team News & Probable Lineups
Dundee
Possible XI: McCracken; Wright, Astley, Graham, Samuels; Congreve, Dhanda, Hamilton, Cotterill, Yogane; Murray
- Cameron Congreve brings craft and end product with 7 assists — Dundee’s main chance-creator.
- Simon Murray leads the scoring chart with 4 league goals in a season where finishing has been an issue.
- Dundee are strong in aerial duels, with Billy Koumetio (4.5) and Luke Graham (4.2) prominent.
- The flip side is ugly: Dundee are weak defending counter attacks and long shots, and very weak against skillful players.
Hibernian
Possible XI: Sallinger; O’Hora, Kiranga, Iredale; Passlack, Chaiwa, Andrews, Cadden; McGrath; Elding, Boyle
- Hibs have multiple match-winners: Kieron Bowie (8 goals), Jamie McGrath (7) and Martin Boyle (6).
- They’re built for transition: counter attacks are very strong, and they create chances through individual skill and through balls.
- Josh Mulligan (5 assists) and Nicky Cadden (4) supply width and delivery.
- Lineup implication: Dundee’s shape asks them to defend big spaces and survive broken play — exactly where Hibs thrive. If Dundee can slow transitions and win second balls, they can make this a grind.
Tale of the Tape
| Metric | Dundee | Hibernian |
|---|---|---|
| League Position | 9th (27 pts) | 5th (45 pts) |
| League Record | 7W-6D-14L | 12W-9D-7L |
| Goals For | 24 | 45 |
| Goals Against | 42 | 32 |
| Shots per Game | 10.3 | 13.1 |
| Possession | 42.4% | 48.1% |
| Pass % | 76.8% | 80.5% |
| Aerials Won | 20.2 | 18.4 |
Dundee’s numbers scream survival football: lower possession, fewer shots, and a heavy goals-against column. Hibs look cleaner on the ball and sharper in the final third. They shoot more, score far more, and concede 10 fewer across the league season to date — that’s a huge swing in tight fixtures.
Tactical Battle: How the Match Plays Out
Dundee: Width, Long Balls, and a Scrap for Second Balls
Dundee play with width, attack down the right, and aren’t shy of going direct. That points to quick service into the box and a fight for knockdowns rather than long spells of control. The key is what happens after the first ball. If Congreve and Dhanda can land on second balls and feed runners like Yogane, Dundee can build pressure in bursts. But there’s a risk baked into their identity. Playing in their own half invites repeat waves, and Dundee concede plenty overall. If they lose their distances between midfield and defence, Hibs will find gaps to run into.
Hibs: Middle-Lane Punch and Counter-Attack Ruthlessness
Hibs don’t need huge possession to hurt you. They are very strong on the counter and love attacking through the middle, with runners and through balls turning one turnover into a chance. That’s where McGrath becomes the hinge. He’s not just output — 7 goals and 3 assists — he’s the player who picks the pass that turns a half-chance into a shot. Up top, Boyle offers directness, while Elding and the wider players stretch the pitch. If Dundee’s full-backs step out too eagerly, Hibs can punch straight through the channel behind them.
Strengths & Weaknesses Snapshot
Dundee struggle against skillful players and counter attacks. Hibs are strong at both, and also strong at creating chances through individual skill. That’s the game’s central tension. Dundee want structure and territory. Hibs want chaos and space.
Key Moments to Watch
- Transition Defence: Dundee’s biggest job is stopping Hibs running straight at them after turnovers — especially through the middle.
- Creative Spark: If Congreve gets time, Dundee can create; if he’s crowded out, service to Murray dries up fast.
- Shots and Shot Locations: Dundee are weak defending long shots, while Hibs take a lot of shots — the edges of the box could be busy.
What Could Go Wrong?
For Dundee, the danger is chasing the game emotionally. If they over-commit and lose shape, Hibs’ counter attacks can slice them open in minutes. For Hibs, the risk is getting dragged into a scrap. Dundee are strong in the air and will make Dens Park feel tight and noisy; if Hibs’ passing goes loose, momentum can flip quickly — and this fixture has a habit of turning into a goal-heavy swing match.
📊 Market Explainer
Match Result (1X2)
This is the most common market where you select either a Home Win (1), a Draw (X), or an Away Win (2). It covers the result at the end of the 90 minutes plus injury time.
Other opportunities: Double Chance allows you to cover two outcomes (e.g., Home Win or Draw) for a lower price but higher probability.
Correct Score
A higher-risk market where you must predict the exact final score of the match. Due to the difficulty, the prices offered are significantly higher than standard result markets.
Other opportunities: Scorecast markets combine a goalscorer with a correct score for even larger potential returns, though volatility increases.
🎯 Rationale: Hibernian to Win
Hibernian enter this fixture as the clear statistical favourites when analysing the offensive output of both sides. While Dundee are fighting for survival, their defensive metrics highlight a significant vulnerability that plays directly into Hibs’ hands. Dundee have conceded 42 league goals this season and are particularly susceptible to skillful players and rapid counter-attacks—the exact areas where Hibernian excel.
⚔️ Tactical Indicators
- Hibs average 13.1 shots per game compared to Dundee’s 10.3.
- Hibernian have scored 45 goals, nearly double Dundee’s total of 24.
- Hibs have won four of the last six Premiership meetings between the sides.
The main risk for this selection lies in Dundee’s home motivation and their aerial strength. With Billy Koumetio and Luke Graham winning a high volume of aerial duels, Dundee can make the game a physical grind. However, the sheer volume of shots created by Hibs—driven by Jamie McGrath and Kieron Bowie—should eventually breach a Dundee defence that lacks the pace to track runners in transition.
Risk Factor: Dundee’s recent win at Aberdeen could provide a morale boost that leads to a more resolute defensive performance than their seasonal average.
Key Tactical Mismatch
Hibs are very strong on the counter and love attacking through the middle with runners.
Dundee are weak defending counter attacks and very weak against skillful players.
🎯 Rationale: Hibernian 2-1 Correct Score
Predicting a 2-1 scoreline for Hibernian aligns with both the historic head-to-head patterns and the current seasonal data. Over 2.5 goals has landed in five of the last six Premiership meetings between these clubs, suggesting that matches at Dens Park rarely end in low-scoring stalemates. Dundee possess the aerial threat to find a goal, especially via Simon Murray, but their defensive record makes it unlikely they can keep a clean sheet against a side shooting as frequently as Hibs.
Dundee’s strength in the air and ability to attack down the wings means they are likely to test Hibs’ goalkeeper at least once. However, Hibs’ superior pass accuracy (80.5%) and their ability to pick through-balls via Jamie McGrath create a higher volume of high-quality chances. A 2-1 scoreline reflects a competitive scrap where Hibs’ individual skill eventually overcomes Dundee’s physical effort.
Risk Factor: If Dundee focus purely on a defensive “low block,” the game could potentially stay at 1-0 for longer than the statistical average suggests.
❓ Interactive Q&A
⊕ What does a “Match Result” bet involve?
A Match Result bet requires you to predict the winner of the game (Home, Away, or Draw) at the end of standard time. It is the most straightforward way to back a team if you believe they have a tactical advantage.
⊕ Why is the Correct Score market considered higher risk?
Correct Score markets are riskier because you must be exact with the final goals tallied for both teams. While the prices are better, one late goal can ruin the entire selection regardless of who wins the game.
⊕ What makes Hibernian favourites for this match?
Hibernian are fifth in the league with significantly better offensive stats, including 45 goals scored. Their ability to counter-attack at pace exploits Dundee’s defensive weaknesses.
⊕ How often does “Over 2.5 goals” happen in this fixture?
Statistically, over 2.5 goals has landed in five of the last six Premiership meetings between Dundee and Hibs. This history suggests an open game with plenty of attacking opportunities.
⊕ Who is Dundee’s most dangerous attacking threat?
Simon Murray is Dundee’s top scorer with four league goals, while Cameron Congreve is the primary playmaker with seven assists. Both are central to any scoring chances Dundee create.
⊕ What is a “Double Chance” bet?
A Double Chance bet allows you to cover two of the three possible match outcomes in a single selection. For example, backing “Dundee or Draw” would be successful if the home side avoids defeat.
⊕ Do Hibernian shoot more than Dundee?
Yes, Hibernian average 13.1 shots per game, while Dundee average 10.3. This higher volume of attempts generally leads to a greater probability of finding the net.
⊕ Is Dundee’s defence a major concern for this game?
Dundee have the third-worst defensive record in the bottom half of the table, conceding 42 times. Their vulnerability to transition play is a significant tactical disadvantage against Hibs.
18+ | GambleAware | T&Cs apply
Always set a budget, use deposit limits, and stop when it’s not fun. Gambling should be for entertainment only.
