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Can Motherwell’s red-hot home form at Fir Park derail Rangers’ pursuit of the Scottish Premiership title? Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.
Read Rationale ▾
Motherwell have won six straight home games, scoring 2+ in four of them, while Rangers have scored in 29 consecutive league matches against the hosts. With both sides firing—Rangers averaging 16.2 shots and Motherwell boasting clinical passing—defences will struggle to keep a clean sheet tonight.
Read Rationale ▾
Motherwell’s incredible home run and half-time resilience make them tough to beat at Fir Park. Rangers bring high shot volume but are vulnerable to counters. Given both sides concede at almost identical rates (17 and 18 goals), a high-quality 1-1 stalemate between two in-form teams is highly plausible.
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Fir Park under the lights sees fourth-placed Motherwell host second-placed Rangers in a massive clash where both sides enter with significant momentum.
Motherwell vs Rangers — bet365 Market Snapshot
Swipe through key markets with illustrative probabilities and sample bet365 odds based on our match analysis.
Rangers carry the heavier attacking weight with 16.2 shots per game, though Motherwell’s six-match home winning streak makes this 1X2 market highly competitive.
Motherwell have hit 2+ goals in four of their last six home wins, suggesting a fast-paced tempo at Fir Park.
With both sides conceding at identical rates (17 vs 18), the 1-1 draw and narrow away win reflect the current stability.
Rangers have scored in 29 straight games against Motherwell, a streak that defines the historical dominance in this fixture.
- Home Fortress: Motherwell have won all of their last six home matches, and they’ve hit 2+ goals in four of those six, turning Fir Park into a fast-start venue.
- Shot Volume Clash: Rangers fire 16.2 shots per game in the Premiership to Motherwell’s 12.8, setting up a contest between control and counter-punching in the final third.
- Half-Time Resilience: Motherwell are unbeaten at half-time in 15 straight Premiership matches, while Rangers have scored in 29 consecutive league games against Motherwell — pressure from minute one, and pressure right to the whistle.
Attacking Weight: Goals Scored This Season
Both teams have shown high scoring reliability, with Rangers leading slightly in total league output over 25 games.
Averaging over 1.5 goals per game, Motherwell have been particularly dangerous at Fir Park recently.
The visitors have scored in 29 straight league meetings against their hosts, maintaining a high volume of shots.
Match Control: Shots Per Game
Rangers maintain higher territorial control, resulting in a higher average of shots compared to the Steelmen.
Motherwell prefer to use their possession to find clear openings, often through Elijah Just.
Rangers aim to pin opponents back and recycle pressure until the shot count climbs.
Match Preview
Fir Park under the lights, two red-hot sides, and a table that’s starting to bite. Motherwell come into this one sitting fourth on 43 points from 24 matches, chasing a season that’s suddenly got real edge and ambition. Rangers arrive second with 51 points from 25, and they cannot afford a flat night with the top end of the division so tight.
Motherwell’s recent run has been loud: three straight wins, and just one defeat in their last 15 in all competitions. Rangers? Five wins in their last six league games, plus a statement 8-0 cup win at the weekend. This isn’t a “form team vs big name” fixture. This is form vs form — and someone’s run is about to wobble.
Team News & Probable Lineups
Motherwell Absences
- A. Oxborough (GK) – hand injury
Rangers Absences
- No injuries or suspensions listed.
Probable Motherwell XI (4-2-3-1)
Ward; Sparrow, O’Donnell, McGinn, Koutroumbis; Priestman, Fadinger; Said, Just, Slattery; Maswanhise
Probable Rangers XI (4-2-3-1)
Butland; Tavernier, Djiga, Souttar, Meghoma; Raskin, Diomande; Gassama, Aasgaard, Moore; Miovski
Tactical Expectations
- Motherwell’s shape screams balance: two sitters, three creators, and a finisher in Tawanda Maswanhise who’s already got 13 league goals.
- Rangers have craft all over the line: Nicolas Raskin (5 assists in the league) feeding runners like Mikey Moore and Thelo Aasgaard, with James Tavernier still a huge attacking weapon from full-back (7 league goals).
Tale of the Tape
| Metric (Premiership) | Motherwell | Rangers |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 4th | 2nd |
| Points / Games | 43 / 24 | 51 / 25 |
| Goals scored | 37 | 42 |
| Goals conceded | 17 | 18 |
| Shots per game | 12.8 | 16.2 |
| Possession % | 58.9% | 59.4% |
| Pass % | 86.0% | 84.9% |
| Aerials won | 13.3 | 16.2 |
Motherwell are not clinging on — they’re a proper top-four profile: strong possession numbers, sharp passing, and a defence that’s conceded 17 all season. Rangers bring the heavier punch in shot volume and overall attacking weight, but the margins are tight: both keep the ball, both build with short passes, and both concede at a near-identical rate. This feels less like siege vs survival and more like who lands cleaner in key moments.
Tactical Battle: How the Match Plays Out
When Motherwell have the ball
Jens Askou’s Motherwell have clear habits: short passes, possession football, and a preference for attacking down the right. The danger is they don’t just keep it — they can hurt you quickly too, with counter attacks listed as a strength. That mix is why they’re such awkward opponents right now: they can lull you with control, then suddenly rip into the space you vacate.
The key man is Elijah Just. He’s got 4 goals and 6 assists in the league and averages 2.3 shots per game — he’s not simply a tidy passer between the lines, he’s a constant trigger. If he can receive on the half-turn and thread runners, Motherwell’s wide strength becomes real damage rather than just neat patterns.
But there’s a warning label: Motherwell are weak at protecting the lead, weak at stopping opponents creating chances, and very weak on aerial duels. Against a Rangers side strong on set pieces and loaded with delivery, that’s not a small detail — it’s a flashing light.
When Rangers have the ball
Danny Röhl’s Rangers profile is built for territorial control: possession football, short passes, and control the game in the opposition’s half. They’re also very strong at stealing the ball, which matters against a home side that wants to play. Rangers will fancy turning Motherwell’s brave build-up into turnovers and immediate shots — and the numbers back that intention up, with 16.2 shots per game in the league.
Watch the central lane. Rangers like to attack through the middle, and Raskin is the metronome — 87.1% pass completion, 5 assists, and the ability to arrive late or release early. Ahead of him, Aasgaard and Moore offer goals (both have 4 league goals) and movement that can pull a double pivot apart.
The flip side is Rangers have their own soft spots: they are weak at defending counter attacks and weak at stopping opponents creating chances. That’s exactly the kind of weakness Motherwell are built to exploit when Maswanhise turns a half-chance into a sprint into space.
Key Zones & Battlegrounds
- This could come down to who wins the wings without losing the middle. Motherwell want to build and then accelerate — particularly down their right — while Rangers want to pin them back and recycle pressure until the shot count climbs.
- If Rangers overcommit to their high-half control, Motherwell’s counter strength becomes the game’s sharpest blade. If Motherwell sit too deep trying to protect the lead — an admitted issue — Rangers’ ability to create chances, finish, and attack set pieces can turn a good first hour into a grim final half-hour.
Key Moments to Watch
- Set pieces vs set-piece defending: Rangers are strong attacking set pieces, while Motherwell are strong defending them — something has to give, and one clean delivery could swing it.
- Transitions after turnovers: Rangers are very strong at stealing the ball; Motherwell are strong on counter attacks. The two best “weapons” on show might be the moments immediately after possession changes.
- The creators in the pocket: Elijah Just for Motherwell (6 assists) and Nicolas Raskin for Rangers (5 assists) can tilt the pitch with one pass. If either gets time, the game speeds up fast.
- Discipline and disruption: Rangers have 5 red cards in the Premiership. In a high-intensity, in-form clash, one rash moment can flip the whole night.
What Could Go Wrong?
Motherwell’s perfect recent home rhythm can turn frantic if they concede first — especially against a Rangers side used to controlling territory and piling up shots. Rangers, meanwhile, can dominate the ball and still get stung if their counter-defence opens up and Maswanhise gets running at a back line facing its own goal. This one has quality, momentum… and just enough volatility to explode either way.
📊 Market Explainer
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)
This market requires both teams to find the net at least once during the 90 minutes. It is independent of the final result.
Pros: Action-packed; remains alive until the final whistle.
Cons: High-risk if one side focuses entirely on a low block.
Correct Score
A high-reward market where you must predict the exact final scoreline.
Pros: Offers significantly higher prices.
Cons: Low probability; highly volatile as a single late goal can ruin the selection.
⚔️ Match Mismatch: Aerial Threat
Key Tactical Mismatch
Winning 16.2 aerials per match. Extremely strong on attacking set pieces.
Struggling in the air with only 13.3 duels won; listed as very weak on aerial duels.
🎯 Tip 1 Rationale: Both Teams To Score (8/11)
The statistical profile of both Motherwell and Rangers suggests a match where clean sheets will be difficult to maintain. Motherwell have transformed Fir Park into a scoring haven, securing six consecutive home victories. In four of those matches, they have scored two or more goals, underlining their offensive potency. Tawanda Maswanhise remains the primary threat with 13 league goals, supported by the creative brilliance of Elijah Just, who has already provided six assists. Motherwell’s preference for short passing and possession football (58.9%) allows them to control portions of the game, while their strength on the counter-attack poses a constant threat to a Rangers side that often commits bodies forward.
Tactical Indicators:
- Motherwell have won 6 straight home games, scoring 2+ goals in 4 of them.
- Rangers have scored in 29 consecutive league matches against Motherwell.
- Both sides have nearly identical defensive records, conceding 17 and 18 goals respectively.
Conversely, Rangers bring a high-volume attacking approach, averaging 16.2 shots per Premiership match. They have scored in 29 consecutive league meetings against Motherwell, a streak that spans years of dominance. With Nicolas Raskin pulling the strings in midfield and full-back James Tavernier contributing seven goals from deep, Rangers have multiple avenues to goal. However, Rangers are noted for being weak at defending counter-attacks, which is a specific strength of the hosts. This tactical friction makes it highly likely that both goalkeepers will be beaten.
Risk Factor: A cautious tactical approach from Motherwell or a rare clinical defensive performance from Jack Butland could limit the scoring to one side.
🎯 Tip 2 Rationale: Correct Score 1-1 (11/2)
Predicting a 1-1 draw is supported by the remarkable similarity in the defensive and possession metrics of both clubs. Motherwell sit fourth with 17 goals conceded, while Rangers sit second having conceded 18. Both teams average roughly 59% possession and utilize short passing systems with high completion rates (86% and 85%). This suggests a battle for control where neither side is likely to be completely overrun. Motherwell’s unbeaten half-time streak of 15 matches shows they are incredibly difficult to break down early, setting the stage for a cagey affair that could easily finish level.
While Rangers have the edge in shot volume, Motherwell’s ability to protect Fir Park cannot be ignored. The hosts are prone to losing focus when leading, but their recent form suggests they have the grit to earn a point against title challengers. Rangers, despite their attacking talent, have shown they can be stopped, and their five red cards this season indicate a potential for disruption that could hinder their pursuit of a winner. Given the high-pressure environment and the form of both teams, a 1-1 stalemate offers a realistic reflection of their matched capabilities.
Risk Factor: Rangers’ aerial dominance on set pieces or a Tawanda Maswanhise breakaway could easily tip this into a 1-2 or 2-1 result.
❓ Interactive Q&A
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What does Both Teams to Score (BTTS) mean?
BTTS is a bet where you need both Motherwell and Rangers to score at least one goal each during the match. It doesn’t matter who wins or if the game ends in a draw, as long as the scoreline is something like 1-1, 2-1, or 3-2.
⊕
Why is 1-1 a plausible scoreline for this game?
A 1-1 draw is plausible because Motherwell have a formidable home record and unbeaten half-time streak, while Rangers have scored in 29 consecutive games against them. Both defences have conceded almost identical numbers this season, suggesting a tight, low-margin contest.
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How does the ‘Draw No Bet’ market work?
‘Draw No Bet’ removes the option of a draw. If you back Rangers and they win, you win; if the match ends in a draw, your stake is returned in full.
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Who are the key players to watch for Motherwell?
Tawanda Maswanhise is the main goal threat with 13 goals, while Elijah Just is the primary playmaker with 6 assists. Their ability to combine on the counter-attack will be vital for the home side.
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What is Rangers’ biggest tactical advantage?
Rangers’ biggest advantage is their aerial dominance and set-piece strength. They win significantly more aerial duels (16.2) than Motherwell, who are statistically weak in this area.
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Are there any major injuries affecting the game?
Motherwell are missing goalkeeper A. Oxborough due to a hand injury. Rangers have no listed injuries or suspensions for this Premiership fixture.
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What does ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ mean?
This is a bet that there will be three or more total goals scored in the match by either team. Common winning scores include 2-1, 3-0, or 2-2.
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How does Motherwell’s home form compare to Rangers?
Motherwell have won six straight home games at Fir Park. Rangers are also in great form, winning five of their last six league games, making this a clash of the Premiership’s most in-form sides.
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