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Can Hibs turn Easter Road into a statement again — or will Dundee United’s counter punch spoil the night? Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.
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Read Rationale ▾
Hibernian have avoided defeat in 18 of their last 20 home Premiership games, displaying significant resilience at Easter Road. Dundee United arrive having failed to score in three straight matches, while Hibs’ superior passing and possession should allow them to dominate territory and eventually break through the visitors’ defence.
Read Rationale ▾
With Dundee United struggling for goals and Hibernian boasting 10 clean sheets across competitions, a home shutout is highly plausible. Hibs’ average of 1.58 goals per game suggests they have the firepower to strike twice against a United side that often concedes when pinned back in their own half.
Readers’ Tip
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Easter Road gets the lights, the noise, and a proper Premiership edge as Hibernian try to snap a wobble and tighten their grip on the top six. David Gray’s side sit fifth with 36 points from 24 games, but the recent league rhythm has stalled.
Match Preview: Hibernian vs Dundee United
Dundee United, led by Jim Goodwin, arrive eighth with 25 points from 23 needing a spark fast. Recent league form has been rough, and the biggest issue is blunt: they haven’t scored in three straight Premiership matches. Kick-off is 19:45 and the mood feels sharp — Hibs want control, United want chaos.
Hibernian vs Dundee United Snapshot
Hibs have avoided defeat in 18 of 20 home games, while United struggle to score in recent Premiership matches.
Hibs average 13.4 shots per game, creating pressure that often leads to goals against mid-table Scottish Premiership opposition.
Dundee United have failed to score in three straight games, making a 2-0 Hibs victory a high-probability outcome.
Hibs’ 13.4 shots per game highlight their offensive dominance compared to United’s lower ball retention and defensive vulnerabilities.
- Home resilience meets a stubborn matchup: Hibernian have avoided defeat in 18 of their last 20 home Premiership games, yet they’ve managed just one win in their last nine home league meetings with Dundee United.
- A shot-heavy fixture with a possession twist: Hibs average 13.4 shots per game with 48.0% possession, while Dundee United still fire 12.5 shots per game despite only 40.3% possession — expect bursts, not long spells.
- One attack is flowing, the other has dried up: Hibernian have 38 league goals in 24 and have scored in 24 of their last 33 matches, while Dundee United have failed to score in their last three Premiership games.
Technical Control: Pass Accuracy
Hibernian rely on a precise passing game to build attacks, while Dundee United operate with a significantly more direct profile.
Hibs’ ability to retain the ball allows them to create through-ball opportunities through the centre.
A lower accuracy reflects a direct style focused on crosses and long balls rather than sustained build-up.
Scoring Reliability
A comparison of offensive output where one side has maintained consistency and the other has hit a recent drought.
The hosts have found the net in over 70% of their recent fixtures across all competitions.
United are searching for their first league goal in 270+ minutes of Premiership football.
Team News & Probable Lineups
Injuries / Absences
Hibernian: A. Šuto (F) – unknown injury.
Dundee United: No injuries or suspensions listed.
Probable Lineups
Hibernian (possible XI): Sallinger; Kiranga, Hanley, Iredale; Megwa, Newell, Barlaser, Obita; Andrews; Boyle, Youan
Dundee United (possible XI): Brewer; Cleall-Harding, Graham, Keresztes; Strain, Stephenson, Sibbald, Ferry; Sapsford, Moller, Trapanovski
Tactical Implications
Hibs look set for a shape that can attack through the middle and keep bodies close to the ball — perfect for their strengths in through balls and creating chances.
United’s set-up screams transition football: long balls, crosses, and quick raids. But if they can’t convert those moments — and their finishing has been a noted weakness — they risk spending long stretches defending.
Tale of the Tape
| Metric (Premiership) | Hibernian | Dundee United |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 5th | 8th |
| Points / Games | 36 / 24 | 25 / 23 |
| Goals scored | 38 | 28 |
| Shots per game | 13.4 | 12.5 |
| Possession | 48.0% | 40.3% |
| Pass accuracy | 80.8% | 70.0% |
| Clean sheets | 10 | 6 |
| Corners (avg) | 4.7 | 3.66 |
Hibs have the cleaner platform: more points, more goals, more possession, and notably better pass accuracy. United can still cause problems — the shot numbers prove they’ll get attempts — but the profile is more direct and more volatile, with lower ball retention and a tendency to give away danger in key moments.
Tactical Battle: Hibs’ Central Punch vs United’s Counter
Hibernian’s identity is clear: attack through the middle, work through balls, and take a lot of shots. That matches the likely selection, with Joe Newell and Daniel Barlaser shaping the tempo and Kai Andrews positioned to link into the forwards. If the ball sticks, Hibs can pin United back and turn the match into wave after wave — not reckless, just relentless.
United won’t try to out-pass Hibs. Their numbers point to it: 40.3% possession and 70.0% pass accuracy in the league. Instead, they’ll look for fast exits, direct passes, and deliveries — and they do have tools. Zachary Sapsford leads their league scoring with 6, while Ivan Dolcek has 5 and Luca Stephenson contributes goals and assists (4 goals, 3 assists). The idea is simple: survive the Hibs spell, then land one clean counter.
Where Hibs can hurt them
- They struggle with keeping possession and avoiding individual errors. That’s dangerous against a side that likes to turn pressure into shots.
- They’re also very weak defending against long shots. With Hibs averaging 13.4 shots per game, that’s an invitation for midfielders and second-wave runners to let fly when the box is crowded.
Where United can hurt Hibs
- Defending against attacks down the wings is a weakness, and United’s style includes attempting crosses often.
- Hibs are also weak at protecting the lead, which matters if they score first but don’t kill the game. United’s strengths include attacking set pieces and direct free kicks, so even a scrappy spell can swing momentum.
Key Moments to Watch
- Set pieces and dead-ball danger: Dundee United are very strong from direct free kicks and strong on attacking set pieces — cheap fouls near the area are a flashing warning.
- First goal timing and game state: Hibs’ average first goal time is 48′, while United’s is 40′. If the opener arrives early, the match shape flips fast.
- Discipline under pressure: Dundee United have 3 red cards and are weak at avoiding fouling in dangerous areas. Hibs, by contrast, have 0 red cards — that composure could matter late on.
- Wide deliveries vs Hibs’ flank defending: United’s crossing and direct play targets a known Hibs weakness down the wings. Watch how quickly Hibs’ wing-backs recover when possession turns over.
What Could Go Wrong?
For Hibs, it’s the classic trap: lots of the ball, lots of shots, and then one turnover exposes space out wide — especially if they over-commit and leave recovery runs too long. For Dundee United, it’s even starker: if the finishing problems bite again and they fall behind, their low-possession style can become a treadmill — defending, clearing, then defending some more — until the game slips away.
📊 Market Analysis & Tactical Rationale
Match Result (1X2)
A 1X2 market involves selecting the final outcome of the match: Home Win (1), Draw (X), or Away Win (2). It is the most straightforward market, offering clear entry for those looking at overall team superiority. Pros include high liquidity and simple mechanics; cons involve no protection if the game ends in a stalemate.
Correct Score
The Correct Score market requires the exact final scoreline to be predicted. While this carries higher volatility and a lower probability of landing, it offers significantly higher prices. It is best suited for scenarios where tactical trends point toward a specific defensive or offensive mismatch.
🎯 Pick 1: Hibernian to Win
Hibernian enter this fixture with a formidable record at Easter Road, having avoided defeat in 18 of their last 20 home Premiership matches. This level of resilience provides a stable platform for David Gray’s side, especially when facing a Dundee United team currently struggling for offensive inspiration. United have failed to find the net in their last three league outings, a drought that places immense pressure on their defensive line to remain perfect for 90 minutes.
⚔️ Tactical Indicators
- Hibs average 48.0% possession and 80.8% pass accuracy, ensuring control through the centre.
- Dundee United’s finishing is a noted weakness, failing to score in three straight Premiership games.
- Hibernian average 13.4 shots per game, creating sustained pressure on the visitors.
Risk Factor: Hibs have only won one of their last nine home league meetings against Dundee United, despite their overall strong home form.
🎯 Pick 2: Hibernian 2-0 Dundee United
A 2-0 scoreline aligns with the tactical reality of both sides. Hibernian have registered 10 clean sheets this season across competitions, and given Dundee United’s inability to score in 270+ minutes of league football, a home shutout is the most plausible baseline. Hibs’ scoring consistency—netting in 24 of their last 33 matches—suggests they are more than capable of breaking through a United side that struggles with individual errors and defending long-range strikes.
Risk Factor: Hibs are weak at protecting leads, and United are strong from direct free kicks, which could spoil a clean sheet.
❓ Interactive Q&A
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