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Can Al Fayha survive the Kingdom Arena storm as Al-Hilal chase another statement win? Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.
Read Rationale▾
Al-Hilal have won 12 consecutive league matches and face an Al Fayha side that has conceded in 12 straight away fixtures. The leaders average 2.54 goals per game, making a multi-goal victory at the Kingdom Arena highly probable.
Read Rationale▾
With Al-Hilal keeping 10 clean sheets and Al Fayha struggling with a -14 goal difference, a dominant 3-0 win for the hosts aligns with their scoring average of 2.67 per home game and defensive solidity.
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Al-Hilal vs Al Fayha Predictions and Best Bets
Al-Hilal vs Al Fayha — bet365 Market Snapshot
Swipe through key markets with illustrative probabilities and sample bet365 odds based on our match analysis.
The league leaders enter as heavy favorites given their 12-match winning streak and flawless home record at the Kingdom Arena.
With Al-Hilal averaging 2.54 goals per game and Al Fayha conceding in 12 straight away trips, a high-scoring outcome is anticipated.
- Relentless run: Al-Hilal have won 12 consecutive Saudi Pro League matches and haven’t lost any of their last 23 league games.
- Home heat: Al-Hilal are on a 10-game winning run at the Kingdom Arena across all competitions, including six straight league wins in that streak.
- Away-day pain: Al Fayha have won just 1 of their last 11 league games and have conceded 1+ in 12 straight away league fixtures.
Scoring Dominance: Total Goals Scored
A comparison of offensive output throughout the current Saudi Pro League campaign.
The leaders average 2.67 goals per game, maintaining a constant offensive threat.
The visitors have struggled for goals, failing to reach 1.0 per game on average.
Match Control: Average Shots per Game
Visualising the disparity in shot volume and offensive pressure.
High shot volume translates to consistent pressure on the opponent’s defensive block.
Reflects a more conservative approach focused on transitions and set pieces.
Al-Hilal are back at the Kingdom Arena with that familiar mission: keep the title charge moving and keep everyone else looking up. Simone Inzaghi’s side lead the Saudi Pro League by seven points, and they’ve been ruthless since those early-season draws — 12 straight league wins has turned the race into a chase.
Al Fayha arrive in 12th, only four places above the relegation zone, and in desperate need of stability. Recent results show a team trying to stop the bleeding: three defeats in their last six, but also three draws — clinging on, then hoping for a moment.
The setting feels clear. Riyadh, 13°, a big stadium, a league leader in full flow… and a visitor who must defend their box like it’s a final. Kick-off is 17:30.
Team News & Lineups
Injuries / Absences
- Al-Hilal: No injuries/suspensions listed
- Al Fayha: No injuries/suspensions listed
Probable Lineups
Al-Hilal:
Al Rubaie; Al Yami, Tambakti, Mari, Hernandez; Malcom, Milinkovic-Savic, Ruben Neves, Kanno; Marcos Leonardo, Nunez
Al Fayha:
Mosquera; Bamsaud, Smalling, Villanueva, Al Baqawi; Dahal, Benzia, Semedo, Al Beshe; Remeseiro,
What it means: Al-Hilal’s midfield is stacked for control — Neves plus runners either side means pressure can come in waves. Al Fayha’s listed XI is missing one final name, but the spine is obvious: Smalling at the heart of the back line, and a midfield asked to cover a lot of ground.
The Tale of the Tape
| Metric | Al-Hilal | Al Fayha |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 1st | 12th |
| Points | 41 | 14 |
| Record | 13W-2D-0L | 3W-5D-7L |
| Goals (scored / conceded) | 40 / 14 | 13 / 27 |
| Avg goals per game (all matches listed) | 2.54 scored / 0.83 conceded | 0.81 scored / 1.69 conceded |
| Shots per game | 17.38 | 10.13 |
| Possession | 61% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 10 | 4 |
| Corners per game | 7.00 | 4.94 |
This points to a familiar script: Al-Hilal dominate territory and chance volume, Al Fayha defend deep and try to stay alive through long spells. The gulf in goals is loud — 40 scored versus 13 — but the bigger warning for the visitors is the pattern away from home: they’ve conceded in 12 straight away league matches.
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Tactical Battle: How the Match Plays Out
Al-Hilal: pin them back, then punch through the middle
Al-Hilal’s rhythm has been brutal: constant ball circulation, heavy possession (61%), and shot volume (17.38 per game) that forces opponents into permanent defending. The last league match summed it up perfectly — they went behind to Mohammed Al Burayk’s late first-half goal for Neom SC, then came back with strikes from Hassan Tambakti and Ruben Neves to win 2-1. They don’t blink.
Inzaghi has the tools to attack in layers. Neves brings control and tempo, Milinkovic-Savic adds power and presence, and Malcom offers direct running to stress full-backs. Up top, Marcos Leonardo gives them a focal point with volume shooting — he’s hit 4 goals in 5 FIFA Club World Cup appearances, and he plays like a striker who expects service.
The key is how quickly Al-Hilal can turn dominance into clear chances. If they move the ball fast enough between midfield and the front two, Al Fayha’s lines get dragged, and that’s when cut-backs and second balls appear.
Al Fayha: defend the box, then try to steal territory in bursts
Pedro Emanuel’s side have been living on survival mode. The recent run is rough: 0 wins in their last six (three draws, three defeats), with heavy losses like 0-5 to Al Kholood and 5-0 at Al Qadsiah. That makes this trip simple in concept: protect the centre, defend the penalty area, and make Al-Hilal repeat attacks until frustration creeps in.
The probable XI suggests a defensive platform around Chris Smalling and Villanueva, with midfielders asked to screen and break the flow. The problem is the away trend: they concede 2.25 goals per away match on average, and they’ve let in at least one goal in 12 straight away league fixtures. If Al Fayha open up too early, it can get away from them.
Where the game tilts
If Al Fayha can keep it level for long enough, they can drag Al-Hilal into a game of patience. But the longer they sit in, the more set pieces and corners they face — and Al-Hilal average 7 corners a match. That’s pressure that never really stops.
Key Moments to Watch
- Early punch vs deep block: Al-Hilal score in 100% of their last 24 matches. If they start fast, Al Fayha’s plan gets ripped up quickly.
- Set pieces and second balls: Al-Hilal rack up 168 corners across the listed matches, and repeated delivery means repeated danger — especially with aerial presence in the side.
- Discipline under siege: Al Fayha’s midfield and back line will be making constant tackles and clearances; one mistimed challenge can swing momentum and territory.
What could go wrong? Al-Hilal can dominate the ball and still leave themselves open if they commit too many bodies into the final third and lose it in a bad spot. For Al Fayha, the risk is obvious: concede early, chase the game, and the defensive structure that keeps them alive starts to crack under wave after wave.
Best Bet for Al-Hilal vs Al Fayha
Will Al Fayha’s defense collapse under the Kingdom Arena lights?
| Factor | The Numbers | Betting Signal |
| Streak | Hilal: 12 straight wins; Fayha: 0 in 6 | Home Win |
| Away Form | Fayha: Conceded 1+ in 12 straight away | Hilal -1.5 |
| Output | Hilal: 40 goals scored; Fayha: 13 scored | Over 2.5 Goals |
| Corners | Hilal averages 7.00 corners per game | Over 8.5 Corners |
Al-Hilal -1.5 Asian Handicap
Al-Hilal are operating with a level of clinical efficiency that leaves the rest of the Saudi Pro League chasing shadows. They sit top of the table with 41 points and a relentless record of 13 wins and 2 draws. Their current momentum is defined by a 12-game winning streak in the league, a run fueled by a division-high 40 goals scored.
The disparity in quality between these two sides is significant. Al-Hilal generate 17.38 shots per game and maintain 61% possession, allowing them to pin opponents deep into their own territory. They have scored in 100% of their last 24 matches, showing that they possess the offensive variety to dismantle even the most stubborn defensive structures. With the Kingdom Arena providing a home advantage that has yielded 10 consecutive wins across all competitions, the atmosphere will be hostile for the visitors.
Al Fayha are currently in survival mode. They sit in 12th place, just four spots above the relegation zone, and are winless in their last six matches. Their defensive record away from home is particularly alarming; they have failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 straight away league fixtures. On average, Al Fayha concede 2.25 goals per game on their travels, a statistic that aligns perfectly with Al-Hilal’s scoring average of 2.54 per game.
Given that Al Fayha have recently suffered 5-0 defeats to both Al Kholood and Al Qadsiah, their structural integrity is prone to complete collapse once an initial breakthrough is made. Al-Hilal’s ability to win their last five meetings with four victories and one draw confirms their historical dominance in this matchup. Expect a comfortable margin of victory for the leaders.
What could go wrong? The main risk involves Al-Hilal’s occasional vulnerability on the break if they commit too many bodies into the final third without converting their early dominance. If Al Fayha can maintain a perfect defensive block for the first 45 minutes, the resulting pressure could lead the hosts to take lower-quality shots.
Correct Score Lean
Al-Hilal 3-0 Al Fayha This scoreline is supported by Al-Hilal’s average of 2.67 goals per game and their defensive solidity, having kept 10 clean sheets this season. Al Fayha have struggled significantly at the attacking end, scoring only 13 goals in 15 matches. With the visitors conceding over two goals per away game and Al-Hilal generating 7.00 corners per match, the constant pressure is likely to yield three unanswered goals for the league leaders.
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