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Can Angers rediscover their home edge, or will Marseille’s firepower answer that Nantes shock? Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.
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Marseille's 36-goal attack meets an Angers side missing defensive starters. OM's 60% possession will eventually break down the hosts.
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Marseille average over two goals per game while Angers average less than one shot on target per match phase.
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Angers vs Marseille Predictions and Best Bets
Angers vs Marseille — bet365 Market Snapshot
Swipe through key markets with illustrative probabilities and sample bet365 odds based on our match analysis.
Pricing reflects Marseille’s strong attacking engine against an Angers side that averages significantly lower shot volumes per game.
Marseille’s high scoring rate (36 goals) suggests a professional away win, with the 0-1 and 0-2 scorelines heavily favoured.
- Kopa Keeps It Tight: In six of eight Ligue 1 home games, Angers have conceded one goal or fewer, with three clean sheets showing why nights here can turn gritty.
- Shot Volume Gap: Angers average just 9.2 shots per game in Ligue 1, while Marseille fire 14.1 — the tempo battle could be decisive from minute one.
- Marseille’s Attacking Engine: OM have scored 36 goals in 17 league matches, led by Mason Greenwood (11) and Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang (5 goals, 5 assists).
Attacking Volume: Shots per Game
Marseille’s proactive style results in significantly higher shot frequency compared to Angers’ conservative setup.
With 60% possession, Marseille consistently create chances and test the opposition goalkeeper.
Angers rely on clinical efficiency, averaging fewer than 10 attempts per fixture.
Technical Control: Pass Accuracy
The gap in passing precision illustrates Marseille’s ability to dominate transitions and maintain pressure.
Their ability to retain the ball under pressure is among the highest in the league.
A lower completion rate reflects a more direct approach when winning back possession.
Two sides searching for their first Ligue 1 win of 2026 collide at Stade Raymond Kopa, and both arrive with bruises. Angers slipped to 10th after a narrow 2-1 defeat at Le Havre, and the new year has been a grind: two straight defeats, plus a Coupe de France exit on penalties to Toulouse.
Marseille, though, bring their own jolt of frustration. They’re third, but that standing looked shakier after a surprising 2-0 home loss to Nantes. This is the kind of fixture that tests personality: can Angers turn their compact home habits into another awkward night, or does Marseille’s quality simply force the game open?
There’s also unfinished business — these sides drew 2-2 in Marseille in late October.
Kick-off is 20:05.
Team News & Lineups
Injuries / absences
- Angers: Louis Mouton (unknown injury), Lilian Rao-Lisoa (suspended).
- Marseille: no injuries or suspensions listed.
Angers possible XI
- Koffi
- Arcus, Bamba, Lefort, Sinate
- Courcoul, Belkebla
- Capelle, Mouton, Sbai
- Cherif
Marseille possible XI
- Rulli
- Pavard, Egan-Riley, Medina
- Weah, O’Riley, Hojberg, Palmieri
- Greenwood, Paixao, Aubameyang
What it means
Angers may need to rethink the attacking balance if Mouton can’t go — and the Rao-Lisoa suspension cuts into their defensive options. The spine still looks rugged, though, with Hervé Koffi (rating 7.30, 5 man-of-the-match awards) giving them a real platform.
Marseille’s XI screams control and punch. Højbjerg sets the rhythm, O’Riley links phases, and the front three has bite — Greenwood carries the goal threat, Paixão adds movement, and Aubameyang brings both finishing and service.
The Tale of the Tape
| Metric | Angers | Marseille |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 10th | 3rd |
| Points | 22 | 32 |
| Goals scored (Ligue 1) | 18 | 36 |
| Shots per game (Ligue 1) | 9.2 | 14.1 |
| Possession % (Ligue 1) | 41.6% | 60.0% |
| Pass % (Ligue 1) | 82.0% | 89.4% |
| Clean sheets (all comps snapshot) | 6 | 9 |
This reads like a classic “volume vs restraint” contest. Marseille want to own the ball and stack attacks; Angers are comfortable without it and look built to nick it and break. If OM turn possession into clean chances, Angers will spend the night defending their box. If Angers keep OM to half-chances, the crowd will sense a wobble.
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Tactical Battle: How the Match Plays Out
Angers’ route: soak it up, spring the counter, protect the lead
Angers don’t win the possession fight — they rarely even try. Their league possession sits at 41.6%, and the style is clear: play in their own half, use width, and counter with intent. They’re very strong at protecting the lead and stealing the ball, and they can be sharp when the game turns into quick, direct sequences.
The issue is volume. At 9.2 shots per game, Angers can’t afford waste. That makes Sidiki Cherif pivotal — he’s their top league scorer with 4 goals, and he has to turn small moments into something dangerous. Support matters too: Carlens Arcus has 2 assists, Yassin Belkhdim has 2 assists, and getting early balls into the right areas is non-negotiable.
But there are soft spots. Angers are weak in aerial duels and defending set pieces, and they’re also weak at avoiding fouls in dangerous areas — that’s a risky combination against a side that loves long shots and direct free-kicks.
Marseille’s plan: dominate the ball, hit from range, and attack the wings
Marseille arrive built to suffocate teams. They average 60.0% possession, 89.4% pass accuracy, and 14.1 shots per match in Ligue 1. They play in the opposition half, use short passing, and keep rolling their first eleven.
The danger men are obvious. Mason Greenwood has 11 league goals and takes 3.6 shots per game, while Aubameyang gives them dual threat: 5 goals and 5 assists. Marseille also have a very strong edge at shooting from direct free-kicks and creating long-shot opportunities — ideal against an Angers side that can concede set-piece danger.
The one crack to poke at? Marseille are very weak at defending through balls. If Angers can win it and slide one pass early, the whole pattern of the match changes.
Key Moments to Watch
- Set pieces and fouls near the box: Angers’ weakness defending set pieces meets Marseille’s strength from direct free-kicks — a dangerous collision.
- First 20 minutes of rhythm: Marseille will try to lock Angers in; Angers will try to drag OM into stop-start phases and frustrate.
- Greenwood’s shot volume: 3.6 shots per game is a lot — if he’s finding pockets early, Angers’ back line will be stretched.
- Counter-attack timing: Angers are strong on the break; the quality of the first pass out decides whether it’s relief… or a real chance.
What could go wrong?
For Angers, one lapse on a set piece or a sloppy foul can hand Marseille the kind of chance they don’t need twice. For Marseille, domination without a breakthrough can turn into impatience — and with Angers comfortable defending deep, a single through ball or turnover can flip the night into a scrap.
Best Bet for Angers vs Marseille
Can Marseille’s attacking engine overcome the gritty Kopa resistance?
The Punter’s Cheat Sheet
| Factor | The Numbers | Betting Signal |
| Firepower | OM 36 goals; SCO 18 goals | Marseille Win |
| Shot Volume | OM 14.1/gm; SCO 9.2/gm | Over 1.5 Goals |
| Home Resilience | SCO 6 of 8 home games ≤ 1 goal conceded | Under 3.5 Goals |
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Marseille to Win and Over 1.5 Goals
Marseille enter this fixture with a clear statistical superiority that makes them heavy favorites to secure all three points. They possess the league’s third-best record and a prolific attacking engine that has produced 36 goals in just 17 matches. This offensive efficiency is spearheaded by Mason Greenwood, who has 11 goals, and Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang, who contributes both as a scorer and a creator with five goals and five assists.
The tactical setup heavily favors the visitors. Marseille dominate the ball with 60% possession and a high pass accuracy of 89.4%, which allows them to pin opponents in their own half. Angers, by contrast, operate with just 41.6% possession and average only 9.2 shots per game. This discrepancy in volume means Marseille will have significantly more opportunities to break the deadlock, while Angers must rely on near-perfect efficiency from very limited chances.
Furthermore, Angers have specific defensive vulnerabilities that play directly into Marseille’s strengths. The home side is weak at defending set pieces and frequently concedes fouls in dangerous areas. Marseille are specialists in direct free-kicks and long-range shooting, providing them with multiple avenues to goal even if the Angers low block proves difficult to penetrate initially.
Marseille have already scored twice against Angers this season in their previous 2-2 draw, and with Angers missing key defensive personnel like the suspended Lilian Rao-Lisoa, the visitors have the quality to exploit a thinned backline. Given Marseille’s average of over two goals per game, combining the win with Over 1.5 goals offers the most logical value.
What could go wrong? Angers are disciplined at home, having kept three clean sheets and conceding more than one goal in only two of their eight home matches. If Hervé Koffi continues his elite form (7.30 rating) and Marseille become impatient while dominating possession, a frustrated 0-0 or a 1-0 smash-and-grab for the hosts via a counter-attack is the primary risk.
Correct Score Lean
Angers 0-2 Marseille
Marseille’s 14.1 shots per game and 60% possession suggest they will eventually break through a stubborn but limited Angers defense. Angers have struggled to find the net recently, suffering two straight defeats and failing to score more than once in their last outing. With Marseille boasting a 2.1 goal-per-game average and Mason Greenwood in clinical form, a two-goal margin reflects the gap in quality. Marseille’s ability to control the rhythm through Højbjerg should prevent Angers from launching effective counters, leading to a professional away victory and a clean sheet.
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