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Four straight home wins… but can Hoffenheim handle Gladbach’s away surge under the lights? Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.
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BTTS has hit in 11 straight meetings. Hoffenheim score 3+ per game at home recently, while Gladbach have 9 points in 4 away games.
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Both teams have significant defensive weaknesses at set pieces and transitions. Their attacking metrics suggest they will cancel each other out in a high-scoring draw.
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Hoffenheim vs Borussia Monchengladbach Predictions and Best Bets
Hoffenheim vs Gladbach — William Hill Market Snapshot
Swipe through key markets with illustrative probabilities and sample William Hill odds based on our match analysis.
Hoffenheim’s four-match home winning streak makes them clear favourites, though Gladbach’s away form poses a threat.
With 11 straight BTTS results in this fixture, markets heavily anticipate goals at both ends at the PreZero Arena.
- Home Fortress, Big Goals: Hoffenheim have won four straight at the PreZero Arena, and they’ve scored 13 goals in that run — the crowd is getting a show.
- Away Form Has Bite: Borussia Mönchengladbach have taken nine points from their last four away games, arriving with a sharper edge and a clearer belief on the road.
- This Fixture Loves Drama: Both teams have scored in Hoffenheim’s last 11 Bundesliga meetings with Gladbach — it rarely stays quiet, and it rarely stays tidy.
Home Dominance vs Away Surge
Hoffenheim’s scoring power at home meets a Gladbach side that has become highly efficient on their travels recently.
The hosts are averaging over 3 goals per game in their current home winning run.
Gladbach arrive with a sharper edge on the road, securing high-value results in recent trips.
Attacking Efficiency
Comparing the frequency of shots and possession control between the two sides.
Hoffenheim return after an unwanted pause — heavy snowfall postponed their trip to Werder Bremen — and Christian Ilzer now has one job: keep the momentum roaring at the PreZero Arena. The recent league form has been serious: six wins in nine has lifted Hoffenheim into sixth, just three points off the podium places.
But Borussia Mönchengladbach arrive improved and awkward. Eugen Polanski’s side have grabbed nine points from their last four away games, and that’s the sort of surge that can flip a midweek fixture on its head. Hoffenheim’s home streak is loud, Gladbach’s away confidence is real, and with kick-off at 19:30, it feels like the kind of night where the first punch doesn’t decide the fight — the second one does.
Team News & Lineups
Team News
Hoffenheim absences
- Bazoumana Touré (called up to national team) — out until 19.01.2026
- K. Olagie Frees (broken ankle)
- D. Geiger (ill)
- Ihlas Bebou (unknown injury)
Borussia Mönchengladbach absences
- No injuries or suspensions listed.
Probable Lineups
Hoffenheim:
Baumann; Coufal, Hranac, Kabak, Prass; Kramaric, Avdullahu, Burger; Lemperle, Asllani, Toure
Borussia Mönchengladbach:
Nicolas; Sander, Elvedi, Diks; Scally, Reitz, Engelhardt, Netz; Honorat, Neuhaus; Tabakovic
What it means
Hoffenheim’s big headache is the wing picture: Bazoumana Touré is listed as unavailable, yet appears in the probable XI. If he doesn’t feature, it’s a hit to a side that already leans into attacking down the left and thrives off wide momentum.
Gladbach look settled, and the plan is obvious — feed Haris Tabakovic (9 goals, 3.9 aerials won) with runners and delivery, then make the second balls ugly.
The Tale of the Tape
| Metric | Hoffenheim | Borussia M’gladbach |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 6th | 10th |
| Points | 27 (15 games) | 19 (16 games) |
| Goals For / Against (league) | 29 / 20 | 22 / 24 |
| Shots per game (league) | 12.7 | 11.6 |
| Possession % (league) | 53.6% | 46.0% |
| Pass % (league) | 80.4% | 83.4% |
| Clean sheets (overall sample shown) | 4 | 7 |
| Corners per game (overall sample shown) | 5.24 | 5.05 |
Hoffenheim want the ball and play higher up the pitch — more possession, more territory, more repeat pressure. Gladbach are comfortable without it, and their cleaner passing number hints at a side that picks moments rather than forcing them.
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Tactical Battle: How the Match Plays Out
Hoffenheim: wide thrust, quick breaks, and a soft spot behind it
Ilzer’s Hoffenheim have teeth in transition. They’re strong on counter attacks, strong on direct free kicks, and strong in aerial duels — which fits a team that can go from regaining the ball to threatening the box in a flash.
At home, it’s been relentless. Four straight wins, 13 goals, and the same basic rhythm: get the ball wide, get it forward early, and let the attacking line run at you. Vladimír Coufal is a key conductor — 4 assists and a team-leading 7.13 rating — and he’s exactly the type who turns a “safe” pass into a chance.
The issue? Hoffenheim’s weak points are loud too: defending set pieces and defending counter attacks. If they over-commit and lose shape, this can turn into a track meet — the kind of match where the better finishers decide it.
Gladbach: play in their own half, then spring the striker
Polanski’s Gladbach lean into structure. They’re happy playing in their own half, using short passes, and attacking through the middle when the lane opens. They’re also very strong at protecting the lead and stealing the ball — perfect tools for a side arriving with nine points from four away trips.
The attacking focal point is crystal clear: Haris Tabakovic. Nine league goals, aggressive aerial numbers, and a role that invites crosses and early balls into the danger zone. With Franck Honorat providing 4 assists, the service is there if they can win territory.
But Gladbach carry their own red flags: defending against through ball attacks is very weak, and defending set pieces is weak. If Hoffenheim’s runners time their movements and Kramaric can slip passes between lines, Gladbach can get stretched fast.
Where it tilts
Hoffenheim’s best route is tempo: win it, go wide, go early, then arrive in numbers. Gladbach’s best route is patience: absorb, nick it, then hit the middle with purpose — and let Tabakovic bully the box.
Key Moments to Watch
- Set-piece duels at both ends: Both sides have defending set pieces listed as a weakness — corners and wide free kicks could feel like penalties in disguise.
- The Tabakovic aerial battle: If Tabakovic pins centre-backs and wins first contact, Gladbach can turn scrappy moments into clean looks.
- Coufal’s delivery: Coufal’s 4 assists matter here — one good early ball can bypass Gladbach’s midfield block and start the avalanche.
- Through balls behind the block: Gladbach struggle defending through ball attacks; Hoffenheim have the profiles to exploit that if the timing is sharp.
What could go wrong?
Hoffenheim’s home swagger can turn into overconfidence — push too high, lose one duel, and their weakness against counter attacks gets exposed. For Gladbach, sit too deep for too long and the pressure becomes suffocating; one lapse defending a set piece or a runner in behind, and the away plan starts to unravel quickly.
Best Bet for Hoffenheim vs Borussia M’gladbach
Will the PreZero Arena Fortress Hold Against Gladbach’s Away Surge?
The Punter’s Cheat Sheet
| Factor | The Numbers | Betting Signal |
| Scoring Form | Hoffenheim 13 goals in 4; Gladbach 9 pts in 4 away | Over 2.5 Goals |
| Head-to-Head | BTTS landed in last 11 consecutive meetings | Both Teams to Score |
| Set Pieces | Both sides listed as “Weak” at defending dead balls | Over 1.5 Goals |
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Both Teams to Score & Over 2.5 Goals
This fixture is the definition of a statistical guarantee for goals. Hoffenheim enter this contest in blistering home form, having secured four straight victories at the PreZero Arena while racking up 13 goals in that span. Their tactical identity under Christian Ilzer is built on high-tempo wide thrusts and quick transitions that consistently overwhelm visiting defenses.
Borussia Mönchengladbach are equally dangerous on the road, arriving with nine points from their last four away trips. They possess a clinical edge through Haris Tabakovic, who has already netted nine league goals and provides a dominant aerial presence that Hoffenheim’s backline will struggle to contain. Because Gladbach are comfortable playing in their own half and striking through the middle, they are perfectly built to exploit Hoffenheim’s documented weakness against counter-attacks.
The most compelling evidence lies in the historical data: both teams have scored in the last 11 straight Bundesliga meetings between these two clubs. Neither side prioritizes defensive solidity; Hoffenheim play a high line that leaves space behind, while Gladbach struggle significantly when defending through-balls. When you combine Hoffenheim’s home scoring rate with Gladbach’s renewed away confidence, the game is structured to be a high-scoring affair.
Furthermore, both teams are explicitly weak at defending set pieces. With Vladimír Coufal’s elite delivery for the hosts and Franck Honorat’s service for the visitors, dead-ball situations will likely result in high-quality scoring chances. This match will not be a cagey tactical battle; it will be a proactive exchange of blows where both attacks have the clear advantage over the opposing defenses.
What could go wrong? Hoffenheim have recently dealt with a postponed fixture due to weather, which could result in some early “rust” or a lack of rhythm in the opening stages. Additionally, the potential absence of Bazoumana Touré takes away a primary wide threat for the hosts, which might slow down their transition speed and limit the service into the box.
Correct Score Lean
Hoffenheim 2-2 Borussia M’gladbach
A high-scoring draw is the logical conclusion for two sides with matching strengths and identical defensive flaws. Hoffenheim’s home momentum is undeniable, but Gladbach’s recent efficiency on the road suggests they can match the hosts’ output. Both teams average over 11 shots per game and both struggle to defend set pieces and counter-attacks. Given that the “Both Teams to Score” trend has hit 11 times in a row, a 2-2 result respects Hoffenheim’s scoring power while acknowledging Gladbach’s resilience and Tabakovic’s finishing form.
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