Prediction Markets UK: The Ultimate Guide to Event Trading

bet365

bet365

Bet £10 Get £30 In Free Bets
Open Account Offer – New Customers only. Bet £10 and get £30 in Free Bets when you join bet365. Sign up, deposit between £5 and £10 to your account and bet365 will give you three times that value in Free Bets when you place qualifying bets to the same value settle. Free Bets are paid as Bet Credits. Min odds/bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. T&Cs apply. #Ad. 18+
BetMGM

BetMGM

Bet £10 Get £40 In Free Bets
New customers: Deposit £10+ within 7 days and place a sports bet (place element of E/W bets excluded). Min odds apply. Get 4 x £10 Free Bets (each requires 2+ selections). Valid 7 days. Excludes eSports and non-UK/IE horse racing. 18+.T&Cs apply.
Betfred

Betfred

Bet £10 Get £50 in Free Bets
New customers only. Register, deposit with Debit Card, and place first bet £10+ at Evens (2.0)+ on Sports within 7 days to get 3 x £10 in Sports Free Bets & 2 x £10 in Acca Free Bets within 10 hours of settlement. 7-day expiry. T&Cs Apply.
BetUK

BetUK

Bet £10 Get £30 In Free Bets
New cust only. Opt-in required. Deposit & place a bet within 7 days and settle a £10 min bet at 1.8+ odds for 3 x £10 Free Bets. 7 day expiry. Stake not returned. 18+. T&Cs apply.
LiveScoreBet

LiveScoreBet

Bet £10 Get £30 In Free Bets
New members only. £10+ bet on sports (ex. Virtuals) 1.5 min odds, settled within 14 days. Free Bets: accept in 7 days, valid 7 days. Stake not returned. T&C’s Apply #Ad. 18+
10Bet

10Bet

100% up to £50 on first deposit
New bettors. Select bonus at signup or use code SPORT. Wager deposit & bonus 8x. Valid 60 days. Odds, bet & payment limits apply. T&Cs Apply; 18+ #Ad.
Virgin Bet

Virgin Bet

Bet £10 Get £30 In Free Bets
New members only. £10 min deposit & bet on sportsbook, 1.5 min odds in 14 days. Free Bets: accept in 7 days, valid 7 days, stakes not returned. T&Cs Apply. #Ad. 18+
EasyBet

EasyBet

Bet £20 Get £20 In Free Bets
New customers only. To qualify for free bets, the new user must place and settle £20 on easyBet markets. The user must bet on at least 2 different events to qualify. The user must place and settle bets at odds of 2.0 or more. An event is classed as two different sporting events. Bets can be placed on singles, multiples and Bet Builders. The user must place and settle bets before the closing date of the promotion to qualify. Users making their first deposit by Skrill, Neteller or PaySafe card will not qualify for this promotion. T’s and C’s Apply. Be Gamble Aware.
18+#AdPlease gamble responsibly

Future of Forecasting

Welcome to the UK’s premier hub for Prediction Markets. Trade your insights on global news, politics, and economics with real-time crowd-sourced data.

Learn the Markets

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What is a Prediction Market?

Think of it as a stock exchange for events. Participants buy and sell “shares” in outcomes. If you’re right, your share pays out at £1. If you’re wrong, it’s 0. The price reflects the crowd’s belief in the probability.

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Legality in the UK

Unlike US platforms (Polymarket/Kalshi) which are often financial contracts, UK prediction markets are regulated by the Gambling Commission (UKGC) as Betting Intermediaries. This keeps your funds safe and winnings tax-free.

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Price vs. Probability

If a “Yes” contract for a General Election costs 52p, the market believes there is a 52% chance of that event happening. This “Wisdom of Crowds” often outperforms traditional polling and experts.

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Educational Library

Prediction Markets FAQ

Can I use Polymarket in the UK?
Technically, no. Polymarket is not licensed by the UK Gambling Commission. We recommend using UK-licensed platforms like Betfair, Smarkets, or the upcoming EasyBet Predictions to ensure your funds are protected by UK law.
Are winnings taxable?
In the UK, prediction markets are regulated as gambling. This means all profits for retail traders are currently 100% tax-free, providing a huge edge over financial trading platforms.
What events can I trade?
Almost anything with a clear Yes/No outcome. Popular markets include Election winners, GDP growth rates, entertainment awards (Oscars/Grammys), and even geopolitical developments like trade deals.
When will EasyBet Predictions launch?
The Prediction Market vertical is coming to EasyBet soon in 2026. In the meantime, users can sign up for a standard account to be first in line for the launch.