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A showcase for PGA and LPGA stars
The Grant Thornton Invitational returns to Tiburon Golf Club in Naples, Florida from Friday 12 December to Sunday 14 December, bringing together 16 mixed pairs drawn from the PGA Tour and LPGA Tour. With a $4 million purse shared evenly between partners, this is a genuinely collaborative event rather than a simple exhibition, and every shot over the three days carries financial and competitive weight. Read on for the best bet of the night and the analysis in addition to the best betting offers to take full advantage of.
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Golf betting tips: Grant Thornton Invitational Predictions
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Nicolai Hojgaard has the length to dominate the par-fives and the recovery stats to handle the trouble at Dubai Creek. Ranked 4th in the field for world ranking points accumulated over the last six months, he represents the perfect blend of proven quality and winning form at a price that offers significantly more reward than the market leaders.
- Ten of the last 12 Alfred Dunhill Championships have been won by South Africans.
- Royal Johannesburg East is a 7,656-yard par-72 with four par fives and water in play on seven holes.
- Louis Oosthuizen recorded 77.78% Greens in Regulation in 2020, ranking second on the DP World Tour.
Grant Thornton Invitational 2025 — bet365 Market Snapshot
Swipe through key outright and team specials for the mixed PGA–LPGA pairs event at Tiburon, with illustrative probabilities and sample bet365-style odds based on our analysis.
Exchange prices point to Korda and McCarthy as narrow favourites over Henderson and Conners, with Woad and Clanton rated a live mixed-team threat at a bigger outright quote.
Several proven pairings sit just behind the market leaders, with last year’s champions and in-form duos all capable of exploiting Tiburon’s low-scoring formats over three days.
Historical totals of 26-under and 27-under at Tiburon suggest birdie-fests again, with markets weighing up how low the winning number goes and whether extra holes are needed to separate the pairs.
Markets lean on Luke Clanton’s power from the tee and Lottie Woad’s elite birdie-to-bogey numbers, alongside generic low-scoring lines that reflect how friendly Tiburon can be in these formats.
This is only the second year of the tournament in its current mixed format, but the concept has bedded in quickly. The event has a long history under previous sponsors and names, yet the shift to pairing one PGA Tour player with one LPGA Tour player has created a fresh angle. Jason Day and Lydia Ko set the early benchmark in 2023 by taking the inaugural mixed title, and last year Jake Knapp and Patty Tavatanakit combined to lift the trophy after a barrage of birdies.
The 2024 field again blends proven champions and rising talents. Well-known duos such as Denny McCarthy and Nelly Korda, Corey Conners and Brooke Henderson, and the defending champions Day and Ko headline the market according to various odds snapshots, while combinations like Wyndham Clark and Lexi Thompson or Chris Gotterup and Jennifer Kupcho add further depth. Among the most intriguing of all are the former Florida State team-mates Luke Clanton and Lottie Woad, who now reunite at professional level.
Market Confidence: Leading Mixed Pairs
Outright prices highlight Korda and McCarthy as narrow favourites at Tiburon, with Woad and Clanton rated as one of the main chasing duos in a compact 16-team mixed-field.
Decimal odds around 6.4 suggest the Florida-based pairing sit just ahead of the pack, reflecting Nelly Korda’s Tiburon record and Denny McCarthy’s elite putting over four-birdie-friendly rounds.
Trading in the mid-teens on exchange layers, their implied chance sits a little behind the headline favourites but ahead of much of the field, thanks to combined ball-striking and birdie-making upside.
Tee-to-Green Strength: Greens Hit & Control
Tiburon rewards pairs who repeatedly find fairways and greens. Luke Clanton’s PGA Tour numbers and Lottie Woad’s rookie-season LPGA profile both underline how often they give themselves makeable birdie putts.
Ranking 17th for GIR with 312.6 yards of driving distance, Clanton couples above-average accuracy with top-tier length, ideal for setting up short approaches on Tiburon’s par fives and reachable par fours.
Combining 80.80% driving accuracy with over 80% GIR, Woad ranks among the very best for hitting targets, an asset that should translate into steady birdie chances and low-stress alternate-shot holes.
Scoring Edge: Averages & Par-Five Conversion
In a 54-hole sprint where winning totals push past 26-under, pairs need both low scoring averages and strong par-five returns to stay with the pace from Friday’s scramble onwards.
Ranking eighth for par-five scoring with a birdie-or-better rate above 53% on the long holes, Clanton is well placed to attack Tiburon’s scorable par fives in both scramble and four-ball formats.
A 69.31 scoring average, 24.31% birdie-or-better rate and a birdie-to-bogey ratio ranked second on the LPGA Tour show how often Woad converts chances while limiting mistakes, crucial in alternate shot.
Format and scoring expectations at Tiburon
The Gold Course at Tiburon Golf Club hosts the action, as it has done since the early days of the old Shark Shootout. The layout is a par-72 measuring around 7,382 yards for the PGA Tour players, with the LPGA Tour stars playing a shorter, tailored set of tees at roughly 6,595 yards. Bermuda greens, plenty of water and strategic bunkering ensure that precision still matters, but the scoring patterns are clear: this is a low-number environment when elite pairs are given three different team formats across 54 holes.
The structure of the week explains the ultra-aggressive scoring. Friday is played as a scramble, where both players hit from the best ball on each shot, naturally encouraging attacking lines and conservative risk management. Saturday switches to foursomes (alternate shot), where rhythm and chemistry are vital and mistakes can be magnified. Sunday then becomes a modified four-ball, blending individual scoring pressure with team flexibility. With that sequence, it is no surprise that winning totals have been 27-under and 26-under in the first two years of the new sponsorship era.
The schedule is fan-friendly too. The first round begins at 2.15pm local time on Friday, with UK viewers able to follow live on Sky Sports Golf from 6pm. For viewers and bettors alike, the combination of a strong field, a well-known course and a variety of formats produces a rich tactical puzzle, rather than a standard four-round strokeplay event.
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Course specialists and storyline pairings
Tiburon’s Gold Course is no stranger to elite women’s golf. The LPGA Tour’s CME Group Tour Championship is staged on the same layout, and Nelly Korda’s finish sequence of 5-10-8-5-3 in that event, capped by closing rounds of 64, 65 and 68 last month, underlines how comfortable she is around these greens and fairways. Lexi Thompson also owns a sterling record there, including finishes of 2-1-6-5-8 between 2017 and 2021, and a more recent top-20 where she ranked eighth for strokes-gained putting.
On the men’s side, several players bring compelling resumes. Wyndham Clark openly described 2025 as a season to forget, yet at the Hero World Challenge he finished tied eighth in a 20-man field and ranked seventh for strokes-gained putting, leading the field in total feet of putts made. Chris Gotterup’s summer highlights included a two-shot victory at the Scottish Open, a solo third in The Open Championship and top-10 finishes in elite company at the Tour Championship, with his scoring bursts including a 61 in Scotland.
The emotional heartbeat of the week, though, may once again be Jake Knapp, who returns to competition after the sudden death of his girlfriend in September. He and Patty Tavatanakit are defending champions and opened with a 14-under 58 in last year’s scramble, underlining how well their games dovetail. Tavatanakit has just finished seventh in the CME Group Tour Championship on this course, continuing a pattern of quick starts.
Against that backdrop of in-form partnerships and course specialists, the former Florida State duo of Luke Clanton and Lottie Woad step into the spotlight as one of the most analytically appealing pairings in the field.
Best Bet
Here at bettingtips4you we only provide a single prediction for each event rather than a long list of alternatives. We believe that concentrating on one carefully reasoned selection offers more value than flooding readers with options, because it keeps the focus on quality not quantity. It also makes life easier for you, as you are not forced to choose between overlapping angles, and it allows us to track our performance transparently over time with a single clear recommendation per tournament. Our Best Bet for the Grant Thornton Invitational is:
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Clanton/Woad to win at 11/1
The case for this pairing rests on a blend of course fit, complementary skill sets and the specific demands of the three-format structure at Tiburon. Luke Clanton’s PGA Tour statistics paint the picture of a powerful, modern ball-striker whose strengths are most pronounced from tee to green. He ranks 21st in driving distance at 312.6 yards and 33rd in strokes-gained off the tee at +0.313, while sitting 17th in greens in regulation at 70.59%. Those numbers indicate a player who drives it long, finds a high proportion of greens and consistently creates birdie chances.
Clanton’s iron play is also robust in the key distance bands Tiburon will ask of him. He stands 16th in proximity from approaches over 100 yards and 25th in fairway proximity overall, with particularly strong rankings for approaches from 175-200 yards and 150-175 yards. His par-five scoring average of 4.49 ranks eighth, and his birdie-or-better rate on par fives sits above 53%, which is ideal on a course where aggressive play on the long holes is essential to keep pace across scramble and four-ball formats. In short, he profiles as a player who can repeatedly set up short birdie putts for his partner on the scorable holes.
While Clanton’s putting metrics are less impressive – he is 148th in strokes-gained putting and his putting average of 1.780 per green in regulation is towards the weaker end – that weakness is precisely where Lottie Woad’s numbers become so valuable. Woad’s current strokes-gained profile on the LPGA Tour is outstanding: +1.98 in total, with +1.83 tee-to-green, +0.56 off the tee, +1.13 on approach and a small positive figure in strokes-gained putting. She couples that with a greens-in-regulation rate of 80.21% and a driving accuracy of 80.80%, indicating a tee-to-green game that is both efficient and repeatable.
On the greens, Woad averages 1.76 putts per green in regulation and 30.06 putts per round, but it is the scoring composite that really stands out. Her scoring average of 69.31 sits alongside a birdie-or-better percentage of 24.31% and a birdie-to-bogey ratio of 2.41, ranking second on the LPGA Tour in that area. Over 32 rounds she has delivered 25 sub-par rounds, four top-10 finishes and one official win in a relatively small sample of events, which suggests that when she drives the ball in play and hits her usual volume of greens she converts opportunities at a high rate.
From a format perspective, this combination looks tailor-made for Tiburon. In the scramble round, Clanton’s length and high GIR rate provide multiple aggressive lines off the tee and into the greens, while Woad’s accuracy and solid putting allow the pair to tidy up when his riskier plays do not pay off. In foursomes, the shared strength in tee-to-green play – both gain heavily in that department – should reduce stress, as neither partner is routinely leaving the other in trouble. During the modified four-ball on Sunday, Clanton’s ability to attack par fives and Woad’s consistency in converting birdies and avoiding big mistakes (her bogey average is just 1.69 per round) create a platform for a final-day surge.
The wider market focus on established combinations like McCarthy/Korda, Conners/Henderson, Day/Ko, or Kim/Thitikul is understandable given their profiles and previous results. However, that attention also means Clanton/Woad are trading at a more generous 11/1 despite bringing a statistical blend that matches the course demands extremely well. With elite tee-to-green numbers on both sides, strong birdie production from Woad, powerful par-five scoring from Clanton and the added layer of shared college background in the same state, this looks a pairing with genuine winning upside in a 16-team field.
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