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Kim enters this week in elite ball-striking form, ranking 5th in driving accuracy and 6th in scoring average this season. He has made 6 of 8 cuts at Torrey Pines. His precision off the tee is the perfect antidote to the South Course’s penal rough. Excellent value at 25/1.
The West Coast Swing truly hits its stride this week as the PGA Tour arrives at one of its most iconic venues. The Farmers Insurance Open at Torrey Pines offers a unique test, splitting the field across the North and South courses for the first two days before the weekend battle takes place exclusively on the beastly South Course.
The South Course is a genuine major championship venue, having hosted two U.S. Opens. It demands everything from a player: length, precision, and a deft touch on the undulating Poa Annua greens. While the North Course offers a chance to score low, the tournament is invariably won or lost on the punishing South layout.
Why Si Woo Kim is the Best Bet at 25/1
While the top of the market is crowded with elite talent like Xander Schauffele and Ludvig Åberg, the real value lies slightly further down the board. Si Woo Kim stands out as the premier selection this week, offering a perfect blend of current form and statistical fit for Torrey Pines.
Elite Ball-Striking Form
Torrey Pines is not a place where you can fake it. The rough is penal, and the South Course is relentless. Kim arrives in San Diego playing some of the best golf of his career. He has started the 2026 season with intent, securing a T11 finish at the Sony Open followed by a T6 at The American Express last week.
What makes this form so compelling is how he is achieving it. He is flushing the ball. His long game is dialled in, which is the primary requirement for navigating the 7,765 yards of the South Course.
Accuracy Over Power?
Historically, Torrey Pines was viewed as a “bomber’s paradise,” where distance was the only currency. However, recent renovations and the setup of the rough have shifted the dynamic. While distance helps, accuracy is now paramount. You cannot attack these small, firm greens from the thick Kikuyu rough.
This shift plays directly into Kim’s hands. Ranking 5th in Driving Accuracy (hitting over 77% of fairways) and 17th in Greens in Regulation gives him a distinct advantage over the erratic bombers. He avoids the trouble that leads to bogeys, allowing him to score on the Par 5s.
Course History and Reliability
Kim is no stranger to the cliffs of La Jolla. He has made the cut in six of his eight appearances here. This consistency proves he is comfortable with the unique visual tests Torrey presents. While his putting stats (ranked 145th) are his current weakness, the Poa Annua greens at Torrey Pines are a great leveller. They are bumpy and difficult for everyone, often negating the advantage of pure putters and turning the event into a ball-striking contest—a contest Kim is currently winning.
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The Dangers in the Field
The field is stacked, and there are obvious threats to our selection.
Main Threats
- Xander Schauffele (6/1): The local favourite and highest-ranked player in the field. He knows every blade of grass here but his odds are very short.
- Ludvig Åberg (18/1): Won at this venue (Genesis Invitational) last year. However, he withdrew last week due to illness, making him a risky proposition.
Why We Fade Them
Schauffele offers little value at single-digit odds in a full field. Åberg’s health is a major question mark. Betting is about finding the discrepancy between price and probability, and Kim at 25/1 represents significantly better value than the favourites.
Other notables like Hideki Matsuyama and Jason Day also arrive in form. Matsuyama is fresh off a win at the Hero World Challenge, while Day is a two-time winner here. However, Kim’s superior accuracy statistics give him the edge over both in our analysis for this specific renewal.
Weather and Conditions
The forecast predicts sunny and calm conditions throughout the four days. This is significant. Without the wind to protect the course, scoring will be lower than in previous years. This turns the event into a “birdie-fest” on the North Course and a test of aggressive iron play on the South. Kim’s aggressive approach play (ranked high in Birdie Average) suits a shootout better than a grind.
Back Si Woo Kim at 25/1 with William HillFrequently Asked Questions
Where is the Farmers Insurance Open played?
The tournament is held at the Torrey Pines Golf Course in La Jolla, San Diego, California. It utilises both the North and South courses for the first two rounds, with the final two rounds played exclusively on the South Course.
When does the tournament start?
The first round is scheduled to begin at 4.50pm GMT on Thursday, January 29. Note that this year sees a return to the traditional Thursday-Sunday format.
What is the prize money?
The total purse for the event is $9.6 million, with the winner taking home a cheque for $1.674 million.
Where can I watch the Farmers Insurance Open in the UK?
Live coverage is available on Sky Sports Golf across all four days, with coverage starting at 5:00pm GMT on Thursday.
