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Can Luke Littler light up Alexandra Palace with another explosive start on Day 11?
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The PDC World Darts Championship reaches a fever pitch on Day 11 as the defending champion and world number one, Luke Littler, headlines a massive session at Alexandra Palace. The festive period always brings a unique atmosphere to North London, and the crowds will be expectant as ‘The Nuke’ returns to the oche to face Welshman David Davies. It is a Super Sunday line-up that promises high drama, with multiple former champions and rising stars vying for a spot in the post-Christmas schedule.
Read on for the best bet for the PDC World Darts Championship and the analysis in addition to the best betting offers to take full advantage of.
Darts betting tips: PDC World Darts Championship Day Eleven Best Bet
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Luke Littler enters this final as the standard-bearer for the sport. His unbeaten run at Alexandra Palace and his relentless 100+ averages make him the formidable favourite. While Van Veen’s run has been heroic, Littler’s proven ability to dominate this specific stage should see him successfully defend his title.
- Luke Littler recorded a formidable three-dart average of 100.97 in his first-round victory.
- The Nuke is operating at a 180s per leg ratio of 0.44 for the 2025 season.
- David Davies recorded a significantly lower average of 85.80 in his tournament opener.
Littler vs Davies — bet365 Market Snapshot
Swipe through key markets with illustrative probabilities and live bet365 odds for Day 11.
The defending champion is an overwhelming favourite, with markets suggesting near certainty in his progression.
A straight-sets whitewash is the most expected outcome, with a 3-1 victory for Littler seen as the main alternative.
Markets favour Littler heavily in the 180s count, with strong interest in him starting fast in the opening set.
While Littler’s title defence is the undeniable main event, the card is stacked with intriguing narratives. Gerwyn Price, a man who has often had a complicated relationship with the Ally Pally crowd, looks to continue his smooth progress against Wesley Plaisier. Price has looked imperious so far, and his collision with the Dutchman will be a fascinating subplot to Littler’s headline act. Elsewhere, 2018 champion Rob Cross continues his campaign against the veteran Ian White, a player known for his scoring power but who has struggled to translate that into deep runs on this specific stage in recent years.
Scoring Power: 3-Dart Average (Round 1)
A massive gap in scoring potential exists between the two, with Littler operating at a world-class standard in his opening match.
The defending champion was one of only three players to break the 100-average barrier in the opening round.
Davies secured a 3-0 win but averaged significantly lower, leaving him vulnerable against elite scoring.
Maximum Hitting: 180s Per Leg (2025)
The ‘Nuke’ is prolific on the treble 20 bed, hitting maximums more than twice as often as his opponent this season.
In Round 1, he exceeded even this high standard, hitting 7 maximums in just 14 legs (0.50 ratio).
Davies managed three 180s in his opener, but his seasonal stats suggest he struggles to keep pace with heavy scorers.
The afternoon and evening sessions also feature the likes of Joe Cullen, who produced a ‘Rockstar’ performance in the opening round, taking on the methodical Mensur Suljovic. German number one Martin Schindler aims to confirm his growing status against Keane Barry, while Damon Heta faces the challenge of Stefan Bellmont.
With the tournament moving into the decisive second-round phase, the margin for error shrinks. Every leg counts, and for players like Littler and Price, the expectation is not just to win, but to win well. The defending champion, in particular, set a blistering standard in his opener, and the darting world will be watching to see if he can replicate that intensity against a debutant opponent in Davies.
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Luke Littler Over 1 180 In Set 1 at 1/1
The case for Luke Littler flying out of the traps relies on the blistering scoring power he displayed in his opening round victory. The numbers available from his first performance at this year’s Championship are ominous for any opponent, let alone a debutant. In his straight-sets demolition of Darius Labanauskas, Littler averaged an incredible 100.97, a figure that placed him among the elite performers of the first round. More pertinently for this selection, his maximum hitting was relentless.
The Nuke fired in seven 180s across just 14 legs of darts in round one. That equates to a maximum every two legs, or a 180 per leg ratio of 0.50. When you break that down into the short format of a single set, the probability of him finding the treble 20 bed multiple times is significant. A set is the best of five legs; if Littler maintains his current ratio, he is statistically likely to hit at least two maximums if the set goes to a fourth or fifth leg. Even in a quick 3-0 set win, his capacity to stack trebles means he is perfectly capable of landing two or more in a matter of minutes.
Furthermore, Littler’s rhythm in round one was electric. He covered the ‘5+ 180s’ line after just two sets in that match, highlighting how quickly he finds his range. His opponent, David Davies, is a competent player who won his own first-round tie 3-0, but his average of 85.80 and 180s per leg ratio of 0.17 suggests he may struggle to contain the champion. If Davies can pinch even one leg in the opening set—or simply push the legs long enough for Littler to have 9 or 12 darts per leg—the window for maximums opens even wider.
There is always a small risk in set-specific betting. A ‘What could go wrong’ scenario involves Littler winning the first set too efficiently—perhaps checking out huge finishes without needing to score heavy, or Davies folding so quickly that only three legs are played, limiting the volume of visits to the board. However, given Littler’s aggressive style and tendency to attack the treble 20 relentlessly, backing him to land a couple of maximums in the opening stanza is a logical play based on the evidence at hand.
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