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Zaglebie Lubin crestZaglebie Lubin
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Miedz Legnica crestMiedz Legnica

Friendlies Clubs | Sat 27 Jun, 09:30

Zaglebie Lubin v Miedz Legnica Stats

Data last updated: Fri 26 Jun 2026, 04:22 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

This friendly fixture between Zaglebie Lubin and Miedz Legnica offers an intriguing attacking contest as both teams have shown tendencies for open play and goal-scoring in recent matches. Zaglebie Lubin has averaged 1.2 goals per game while conceding 1.8, indicating a somewhat leaky defense. Miedz Legnica has been more prolific offensively, scoring 1.8 goals per game but also conceding 2.0, suggesting defensive vulnerabilities. Both sides have a high rate of matches exceeding 2.5 goals, setting the stage for an entertaining encounter with attacking intent from both teams.

BT4Y match pick

Over 2.5 Goals

  • Zaglebie Lubin and Miedz Legnica both have high Over 2.5 Goals rates: 60% and 80% respectively.
  • Miedz Legnica averages 1.8 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per match, indicating open games.
  • Zaglebie Lubin concedes 1.8 goals per game, highlighting defensive gaps.
  • Recent form shows both teams involved in matches with multiple goals, supporting an Over 2.5 outcome.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model assigns a 65.9% chance for Over 2.5 Goals, reflecting the attacking profiles and defensive vulnerabilities of both teams. Miedz Legnica’s 80% Over 2.5 rate combined with Zaglebie Lubin’s 60% rate suggests a strong likelihood of multiple goals. The average goals per game in their recent matches and head-to-head encounters further support this. No price warnings apply, making this a solid standard stake selection based on the available data.

Model chance65.9% probability for Over 2.5 Goals
Strong positive
Team Over 2.5 ratesZaglebie Lubin 60%, Miedz Legnica 80%
Strong positive
Goals scored and concededCombined average goals per game around 3.0
Positive
Head-to-head average goals2.29 goals per match in last 7 meetings
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect an open and attacking friendly where both Zaglebie Lubin and Miedz Legnica look likely to contribute goals. The attacking tendencies and defensive frailties on both sides suggest Over 2.5 Goals is a reasonable expectation. Recent form and historical goal averages reinforce the likelihood of multiple goals in this encounter.

Main risk

The main risk is that friendly matches can sometimes lack full intensity or feature rotated squads, which might reduce scoring chances compared to competitive fixtures.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Over 2.5 Goals

“Given the attacking openness and defensive lapses shown by both sides, this fixture is well set up for Over 2.5 Goals. The data clearly points to a game with multiple scoring opportunities and a lively tempo.”

Key Data Signals

Over 2.5 Goals evidence

Zaglebie Lubin and Miedz Legnica both have high Over 2.5 Goals rates: 60% and 80% respectively.

Miedz Legnica averages 1.8 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per match, indicating open games.

Zaglebie Lubin concedes 1.8 goals per game, highlighting defensive gaps.

Recent form shows both teams involved in matches with multiple goals, supporting an Over 2.5 outcome.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 2.5 Goals notes

  • In the last seven head-to-head meetings, the average goals per match stand at 2.29, reinforcing a trend towards multiple goals.
  • This sample, combined with recent Over 2.5 rates for both teams, suggests a sustained tempo and attacking intent that favors a higher-scoring game in this fixture.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Zaglebie Lubin1.2
Avg goals scored
Miedz Legnica1.8
Zaglebie Lubin1.8
Avg goals conceded
Miedz Legnica2
Zaglebie Lubin80%
BTTS rate
Miedz Legnica100%
Zaglebie Lubin60%
Over 2.5 goals
Miedz Legnica80%
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 66% vs implied 69% · edge -3.1 pts
1.45
Check odds @ 1.45
Load more odds for this section
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 84%
1.13
Check odds @ 1.13
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 48%
2.08
Check odds @ 2.08
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 38%
2.68
Check odds @ 2.68
Both teams have shown a clear propensity for goals and both teams to score in recent matches, with Zaglebie Lubin’s BTTS rate at 80% and Miedz Legnica’s at 100%. This suggests open play and defensive vulnerabilities on both sides, increasing the likelihood of multiple goals and BTTS outcomes in this friendly encounter.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 66% vs implied 69% · edge -3.1 pts
1.45
Check odds @ 1.45
Load more odds for this section
Miedz Legnica Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 62%
3.8
Check odds @ 3.8
Miedz Legnica to WinBet365 guide price · model 53%
6.5
Check odds @ 6.5
DrawBet365 guide price · model 26%
4.2
Check odds @ 4.2
Zaglebie Lubin Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
Zaglebie Lubin to WinBet365 guide price · model 31%
1.38
Check odds @ 1.38
The Over 2.5 Goals market is supported by a of 65.9%, indicating a strong probability of multiple goals. Without available , the selection is presented as a solid standard stake based on data rather than a value bet. The combined attacking output and defensive concessions of both teams justify this market as a sensible choice for goal-focused bettors.

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Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Zaglebie Lubin

DDDLL
Last 50W 3D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 4D 2L
31 Jan 2026A Slask Wroclaw2-2
22 Jan 2026A Widzew Łódź1-1
21 Jan 2026A Levski Sofia0-0
17 Jan 2026H Podbrezová2-3
16 Jan 2026H Qarabag1-3

Miedz Legnica

DLDWL
Last 51W 2D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 2D 2L
29 Jan 2026H Bihor Oradea2-2
25 Jan 2026H Epitsentr Dunayivtsi1-2
25 Jan 2026H Nasaf1-1
21 Jan 2026H Zorya Luhansk3-2
17 Jan 2026H Chrobry Głogów2-3
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetfred guide price · Model 79% vs implied 39% · edge +40.7 pts
2.6
Check odds @ 2.6
Load more odds for this section
Miedz Legnica Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 62%
3.8
Check odds @ 3.8
Miedz Legnica to WinBet365 guide price · model 53%
6.5
Check odds @ 6.5
DrawBet365 guide price · model 26%
4.2
Check odds @ 4.2
Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 57%
1.08
Check odds @ 1.08
Zaglebie Lubin Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
Zaglebie Lubin to WinBet365 guide price · model 31%
1.38
Check odds @ 1.38
Recent form data shows Zaglebie Lubin averaging 1.2 goals and conceding 1.8 per game, while Miedz Legnica scores 1.8 and concedes 2.0. Both teams have high Over 2.5 rates (60% and 80%), indicating a trend towards open, high-scoring matches. This recent output supports the expectation of multiple goals in this friendly.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

3Zaglebie Lubin wins
2Draws
2Miedz Legnica wins
24 Jun 2023Zaglebie Lubin v Miedz Legnica1-1
27 Feb 2023Zaglebie Lubin v Miedz Legnica2-1
12 Aug 2022Miedz Legnica v Zaglebie Lubin0-1
24 Jun 2022Zaglebie Lubin v Miedz Legnica1-2
07 Jul 2021Zaglebie Lubin v Miedz Legnica1-1
17 Feb 2019Zaglebie Lubin v Miedz Legnica3-0
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 66% vs implied 69% · edge -3.1 pts
1.45
Check odds @ 1.45
Load more odds for this section
Miedz Legnica to WinBet365 guide price · model 53%
6.5
Check odds @ 6.5
DrawBet365 guide price · model 26%
4.2
Check odds @ 4.2
Zaglebie Lubin to WinBet365 guide price · model 31%
1.38
Check odds @ 1.38
The head-to-head record over seven matches shows an average of 2.29 goals per game, indicating moderately open encounters historically. While not overwhelmingly high, this average supports the likelihood of multiple goals, especially when combined with current attacking form and defensive records of both teams.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Season team stats

Friendlies Clubs

Zaglebie Lubin6
Played
Miedz Legnica6
Zaglebie Lubin1.3
Avg goals for
Miedz Legnica2.2
Zaglebie Lubin1.8
Avg goals against
Miedz Legnica1.8
Zaglebie Lubin1
Clean sheets
Miedz Legnica0
Best odds for this sectionMiedz Legnica Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 62% vs implied 26% · edge +35.8 pts
3.8
Check odds @ 3.8
Load more odds for this section
Miedz Legnica to WinBet365 guide price · model 53%
6.5
Check odds @ 6.5
Zaglebie Lubin Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
Zaglebie Lubin to WinBet365 guide price · model 31%
1.38
Check odds @ 1.38
Season-long statistics reveal both teams maintain attacking approaches but with defensive vulnerabilities, as reflected in their goals conceded averages. The offensive output combined with leaky defenses aligns with the Over 2.5 Goals market, suggesting that matches involving these teams frequently see three or more goals.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%Zaglebie Lubin Over 2.5
80%Miedz Legnica Over 2.5
2.29H2H avg goals
In the last seven head-to-head meetings, the average goals per match stand at 2.29, reinforcing a trend towards multiple goals. This sample, combined with recent Over 2.5 rates for both teams, suggests a sustained tempo and attacking intent that favors a higher-scoring game in this fixture.

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