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York crestYork
v
Port Vale crestPort Vale

League Two | Sat 24 Oct, 15:00

York v Port Vale Stats

Data last updated: Sat 24 Oct 2026, 20:12 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

York and Port Vale meet in a League Two clash where both sides have shown moderate attacking intent but differing defensive solidity. York, sitting 6th, have averaged 4.6 corners per game, while Port Vale, 20th, average 4.4, indicating a likely competitive battle for set-piece opportunities. York's recent form includes 6 points from their last matches with a moderate goal output, whereas Port Vale have collected 10 points but with a more cautious approach. This match promises tactical battles on the flanks, with both teams likely to generate multiple corners as they seek to break down defensive lines.

BT4Y best bet

Over 9.5 Corners

  • York average 4.6 corners per game, Port Vale 4.4, combining for over 9 corners on average
  • Both teams have attacking players who generate significant shots and pressure, increasing corner chances
  • Recent form shows York and Port Vale create sustained pressure leading to set-piece opportunities
  • Player stats indicate active wing play and shot volume supporting frequent corner scenarios
  • League position gap suggests York may push more offensively, adding to corner count potential

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model estimates a 69% chance for over 9.5 corners, supported by both teams' corner averages near 4.5 per game and active attacking roles. York's offensive pressure combined with Port Vale's defensive challenges create a fertile environment for frequent corners. The of 11.2% indicates the current of 1.73 offer a positive expected return. is high at 81%, reflecting consistent corner generation patterns and player activity on the wings. This pick balances statistical corner volume with tactical tendencies for wide play and defensive pressure.

Corner averagesYork 4.6, Port Vale 4.4 per game
Strong positive
Model chance69% model chance vs 57.8% implied (+11.2 pts)
Strong positive
Value edge69% model chance vs 57.8% implied (+11.2 pts)
Strong positive
Player attacking activityHigh shot and key pass rates from wide players
Positive
Confidence level81% model confidence
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

This match is poised for a high number of corners due to York's proactive wing play and Port Vale's defensive vulnerabilities. The statistical corner averages combined with player attacking roles suggest sustained pressure on the flanks, making over 9.5 corners a compelling selection. The data-driven approach aligns well with tactical expectations for this League Two fixture.

Main risk

Corner volume can be sterile if territory does not become shots, crosses or repeat box entries.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · corners market

“York's and Port Vale's attacking styles and corner averages strongly indicate a match rich in set-piece opportunities, making the over 9.5 corners market a smart angle to explore.”

Key Data Signals

Over 9.5 Corners evidence

York average 4.6 corners per game, Port Vale 4.4, combining for over 9 corners on average

Both teams have attacking players who generate significant shots and pressure, increasing corner chances

Recent form shows York and Port Vale create sustained pressure leading to set-piece opportunities

Player stats indicate active wing play and shot volume supporting frequent corner scenarios

What To Watch In The Data

Over 9.5 Corners notes

  • In the last two head-to-head meetings, the average goals per game is 3, indicating moderate attacking exchanges.
  • Over the last five matches, both teams have maintained corner averages near 4.5, reflecting a steady tempo and wing pressure.
  • These trends suggest a match conducive to surpassing 9.5 corners through sustained wide play and defensive clearances.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

York1.2
Avg goals scored
Port Vale0.8
York1
Avg goals conceded
Port Vale0.6
York60%
BTTS rate
Port Vale20%
York20%
Over 2.5 goals
Port Vale0%
Best odds for this sectionUnder 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 66% vs implied 51% · edge +14.7 pts
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
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BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 60%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 44%
2
Check odds @ 2
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 22%
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 34%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 52%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
Both York and Port Vale have modest goal-scoring records, with York averaging 1.2 goals and Port Vale 0.8 per game. BTTS rates are moderate, but the focus here is on set-piece generation rather than goals. The low over 2.5 goals rates imply a tighter defensive match, which often leads to more corners as teams probe wide areas to create chances.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

York

DDDWL
Last 51W 3D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 5D 2L
20 Oct 2026H Accrington ST1-1
17 Oct 2026A Newport County1-1
10 Oct 2026H Northampton1-1
26 Sep 2026H Gillingham3-0
19 Sep 2026A Chesterfield0-2

Port Vale

DWWLW
Last 53W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 3D 4L
20 Oct 2026A Gillingham1-1
17 Oct 2026H Chesterfield1-0
10 Oct 2026H Grimsby1-0
19 Sep 2026A Walsall0-2
12 Sep 2026H Exeter City1-0
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetfred guide price · Model 71% vs implied 56% · edge +15 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
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Port Vale Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 57%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Port Vale to WinBetMGM guide price · model 42%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 25%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
York Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 45%
1.55
Check odds @ 1.55
Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 52%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
York to WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Recent form data shows York has earned 6 points with a low over 2.5 goals rate of 20%, while Port Vale has 10 points and no recent overs. However, both teams maintain corner averages close to 4.5 per game, reflecting consistent territorial pressure and attacking intent that should sustain corner opportunities in this fixture.

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Useful next reads

League Two hubcorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesfootball stats hubfootball hubfootball predictions hubbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionPort Vale Draw No BetBetfred guide price · Model 57% vs implied 42% · edge +15 pts
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Load more odds for this section
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 75%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Port Vale to WinBetMGM guide price · model 42%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 60%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 25%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
York Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 45%
1.55
Check odds @ 1.55
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 34%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
The 69% for Over 9.5 Corners sits against roughly 57.8% implied by the current price (+11.2 pts). York lead the corner sample at 4.6 per match, with Port Vale lower at 4.4.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

20%York Over 2.5
0%Port Vale Over 2.5
3H2H avg goals
In the last two head-to-head meetings, the average goals per game is 3, indicating moderate attacking exchanges. Over the last five matches, both teams have maintained corner averages near 4.5, reflecting a steady tempo and wing pressure. These trends suggest a match conducive to surpassing 9.5 corners through sustained wide play and defensive clearances.

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