Football Stats Hub

Yeovil Town crestYeovil Town
v
Altrincham crestAltrincham

National League | Sat 24 Oct, 15:00

Yeovil Town v Altrincham Stats

Data last updated: Sat 24 Oct 2026, 17:35 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Yeovil Town and Altrincham meet in a National League clash with both sides showing attacking intent this season. Yeovil Town ranks 4th with 25 points, while Altrincham is close behind in 6th with 24 points, highlighting a competitive fixture. Yeovil's strong defensive record contrasts with Altrincham's more open style, suggesting a dynamic encounter. Both teams have contributed to high-scoring matches recently, with Yeovil averaging 3.6 goals for per game and conceding just 0.4, while Altrincham scores 2 per game but concedes more frequently. This sets the stage for an engaging contest with goal-scoring opportunities at a premium.

BT4Y best bet

Over 2.5 Goals

  • Yeovil Town averages 3.6 goals scored per game this season, indicating strong offensive capability.
  • Altrincham has an 80% rate of matches going over 2.5 goals, showing a tendency for high-scoring games.
  • Yeovil Town concedes only 0.4 goals per game, suggesting a solid defense that could be tested.
  • The head-to-head average goals over the last 10 matches is 2.3, supporting a moderately high scoring trend.
  • Both teams have recent form points close to each other, indicating a balanced and competitive match likely to produce goals.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model estimates a 67.7% chance of Over 2.5 Goals, supported by Yeovil Town's potent attack averaging 3.6 goals per game and Altrincham's high over 2.5 goals rate of 80%. The implied of 1.7 reflect positive value with an 8.9% edge, indicating the market underestimates the likelihood of a high-scoring match. Both teams' offensive output and recent form data align well with the model's projection, making Over 2.5 Goals a compelling selection for this fixture.

Yeovil Town Goals For3.6 per game
Strong positive
Altrincham Over 2.5 Rate80%
Strong positive
Model Chance67.7% model chance vs 58.8% implied (+8.9 pts)
Strong positive
Implied Market Chance67.7% model chance vs 58.8% implied (+8.9 pts)
Positive
Value Edge67.7% model chance vs 58.8% implied (+8.9 pts)
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

This match is poised for multiple goals given Yeovil Town's attacking efficiency and Altrincham's openness in defense. The data shows both teams have been involved in high-scoring games recently, and their close league positions suggest an open, competitive game. Over 2.5 Goals is a logical choice reflecting the tactical balance and recent scoring trends.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Goal-scoring potential

“Yeovil Town's attacking prowess combined with Altrincham's tendency for open games creates a fertile environment for goals. Expect a lively encounter with multiple scoring opportunities from both sides.”

Key Data Signals

Over 2.5 Goals evidence

Yeovil Town averages 3.6 goals scored per game this season, indicating strong offensive capability.

Altrincham has an 80% rate of matches going over 2.5 goals, showing a tendency for high-scoring games.

Yeovil Town concedes only 0.4 goals per game, suggesting a solid defense that could be tested.

The head-to-head average goals over the last 10 matches is 2.3, supporting a moderately high scoring trend.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 2.5 Goals notes

  • Over the last 10 head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 2.3, indicating a moderately high scoring trend.
  • Combined with recent form where both teams frequently participate in over 2.5 goal games, the trend suggests a lively tempo and attacking intent likely to produce multiple goals in this fixture.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Yeovil Town3.6
Avg goals scored
Altrincham2
Yeovil Town0.4
Avg goals conceded
Altrincham1
Yeovil Town40%
BTTS rate
Altrincham60%
Yeovil Town60%
Over 2.5 goals
Altrincham80%
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 68% vs implied 59% · edge +8.9 pts
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
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Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 86%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 67%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 50%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
BTTS NoBetUK guide price · model 37%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 36%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Yeovil Town averages 3.6 goals scored per game with a 60% over 2.5 rate, while Altrincham scores 2 goals per game and has an 80% over 2.5 rate. BTTS rates are moderate, with Yeovil at 40% and Altrincham at 60%, pointing to matches where goals are often shared but not always from both sides. This combination favors a total goals market over BTTS.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 68% vs implied 59% · edge +8.9 pts
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
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Yeovil Town Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 71%
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
Yeovil Town to WinBetMGM guide price · model 62%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 67%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Over 8.5 CornersBetUK guide price
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Altrincham Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 42%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
DrawBet365 guide price · model 24%
3.7
Check odds @ 3.7
The 67.7% for Over 2.5 Goals sits against roughly 58.8% implied by the current price (+8.9 pts). The Over 2.5 trend is 60% for Yeovil Town and 80% for Altrincham, so the goals angle is not just a price call.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Yeovil Town

WWDWW
Last 54W 1D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 106W 2D 2L
10 Oct 2026A Wealdstone6-0
03 Oct 2026H Boston United6-0
29 Sep 2026H Worthing1-1
26 Sep 2026A Kidderminster Harriers1-0
18 Sep 2026H Solihull Moors4-1

Altrincham

WLWWW
Last 54W 0D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 108W 0D 2L
10 Oct 2026H Aldershot Town3-1
03 Oct 2026A Boreham Wood1-3
29 Sep 2026A Gateshead1-0
26 Sep 2026H AFC Hornchurch3-0
19 Sep 2026A AFC Fylde2-1
Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 86% vs implied 75% · edge +10.8 pts
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
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Yeovil Town Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 71%
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
Yeovil Town to WinBetMGM guide price · model 62%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Altrincham Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 42%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
Away / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 47%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
DrawBet365 guide price · model 24%
3.7
Check odds @ 3.7
Altrincham to WinBetfred guide price · model 23%
3.2
Check odds @ 3.2
Recent form data shows Yeovil Town has accumulated 13 points with a strong defensive record, conceding only 0.4 goals per game, while scoring 3.6. Altrincham has 12 points, scoring 2 goals per game but conceding more frequently. Both teams have high over 2.5 goals rates, reflecting recent matches with multiple goals and supporting the likelihood of a high-scoring encounter.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%Yeovil Town Over 2.5
80%Altrincham Over 2.5
2.3H2H avg goals
Over the last 10 head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 2.3, indicating a moderately high scoring trend. Combined with recent form where both teams frequently participate in over 2.5 goal games, the trend suggests a lively tempo and attacking intent likely to produce multiple goals in this fixture.

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