Football Stats Hub

Worthing crestWorthing
v
Sutton Utd crestSutton Utd

National League | Sat 31 Oct, 15:00

Worthing v Sutton Utd Stats

Data last updated: Fri 30 Oct 2026, 15:28 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Worthing hosts Sutton Utd in a National League clash where Worthing's recent form and league position suggest a strong chance of victory. Worthing sits fifth with 28 points, showing solid attacking output and defensive resilience, while Sutton Utd is twelfth with 21 points and a less potent offense. Worthing's ability to score and maintain pressure at home contrasts with Sutton Utd's struggles to find the net consistently, setting the stage for a match where Worthing aims to capitalize on their momentum and home advantage.

BT4Y best bet

Worthing to Win

  • Worthing has secured 11 points recently, compared to Sutton Utd's 4 points.
  • Worthing averages 2.6 goals scored per game, significantly higher than Sutton Utd's 0.8.
  • Worthing concedes fewer goals on average (1.2) than Sutton Utd (1.6).
  • Worthing's matches have an 80% rate of over 2.5 goals, indicating open games.
  • Head-to-head meetings average 4.5 goals, supporting attacking play in this fixture.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Worthing to win with a 74% chance, reflecting their superior recent form, higher goal-scoring rate, and stronger defensive record compared to Sutton Utd. Worthing's home advantage and consistent ability to produce high-scoring matches underpin this . The 1.83 offer positive value given the implied chance is only 54.6%, making this a compelling selection based on both statistical trends and tactical context.

Recent formWorthing 11 points vs Sutton Utd 4 points
Strong positive
Goals scored per gameWorthing 2.6 vs Sutton Utd 0.8
Strong positive
Goals conceded per gameWorthing 1.2 vs Sutton Utd 1.6
Positive
Over 2.5 goals rateWorthing 80% vs Sutton Utd 20%
Strong positive
Head-to-head average goals4.5 goals in 2 matches
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Worthing's superior recent form and attacking prowess make them the clear favorite to win this National League fixture. Their higher league standing and ability to score consistently provide a strong foundation, while Sutton Utd's struggles in front of goal reduce their chances of causing an upset.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · match outcome

“Worthing's consistent scoring and home form create a tactical edge that Sutton Utd will find difficult to overcome. Their offensive rhythm and defensive solidity position them well to secure the win.”

Key Data Signals

Worthing to Win evidence

Worthing has secured 11 points recently, compared to Sutton Utd's 4 points.

Worthing averages 2.6 goals scored per game, significantly higher than Sutton Utd's 0.8.

Worthing concedes fewer goals on average (1.2) than Sutton Utd (1.6).

Worthing's matches have an 80% rate of over 2.5 goals, indicating open games.

What To Watch In The Data

Worthing to Win notes

  • Over the last two head-to-head matches, an average of 4.5 goals per game suggests a high-tempo, attacking fixture.
  • Worthing's 80% over 2.5 goals rate in recent games supports expectations of an open match with multiple scoring opportunities.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Worthing2.6
Avg goals scored
Sutton Utd0.8
Worthing1.2
Avg goals conceded
Sutton Utd1.6
Worthing80%
BTTS rate
Sutton Utd40%
Worthing80%
Over 2.5 goals
Sutton Utd20%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 73% vs implied 62% · edge +11.6 pts
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Load more odds for this section
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 80%
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 62%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 44%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 42%
2.35
Check odds @ 2.35
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 31%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Worthing's matches frequently exceed 2.5 goals with an 80% rate, while Sutton Utd's games are less prolific. The high average goals in their recent head-to-head (4.5 goals) indicate an open game with attacking intent, supporting expectations of goals and potential BTTS scenarios.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

player stats betting anglesstats dashboardfootball analysis hubprediction centrebest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickWorthing to WinBetUK guide price · Model 70% vs implied 55% · edge +15 pts
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Load more odds for this section
Worthing Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 78%
1.52
Check odds @ 1.52
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 73%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 62%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
The 69.6% for Worthing to Win sits against roughly 54.6% implied by the current price (+15 pts). Worthing have the stronger recent points return, taking 11 points from the sample compared with 4 for Sutton Utd.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Worthing

DWWWD
Last 53W 2D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 106W 4D 0L
27 Oct 2026H Southend3-3
24 Oct 2026A Kidderminster Harriers2-1
10 Oct 2026H Solihull Moors5-0
03 Oct 2026A Gateshead2-1
29 Sep 2026A Yeovil Town1-1

Sutton Utd

WLLDL
Last 51W 1D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 3D 5L
28 Oct 2026H Aldershot Town2-0
24 Oct 2026A Harrogate Town1-3
09 Oct 2026H Boreham Wood0-2
03 Oct 2026A Kidderminster Harriers1-1
30 Sep 2026A Tamworth0-2
Market aligned with main pickWorthing to WinBetUK guide price · Model 70% vs implied 55% · edge +15 pts
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Load more odds for this section
Worthing Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 78%
1.52
Check odds @ 1.52
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 86%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
Worthing's recent accumulation of 11 points contrasts sharply with Sutton Utd's 4 points, highlighting a momentum advantage. This form disparity reflects Worthing's ability to convert chances and maintain defensive discipline, increasing their likelihood of victory.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

80%Worthing Over 2.5
20%Sutton Utd Over 2.5
4.5H2H avg goals
Over the last two head-to-head matches, an average of 4.5 goals per game suggests a high-tempo, attacking fixture. Worthing's 80% over 2.5 goals rate in recent games supports expectations of an open match with multiple scoring opportunities.

Loading deeper match data…