Football Stats Hub

West Ham W crestWest Ham W
v
Manchester City W crestManchester City W

FA WSL | Sat 16 May, 13:00

West Ham W v Manchester City W Stats

Data last updated: Fri 15 May 2026, 03:31 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

West Ham W face Manchester City W in FA WSL on Sat 16 May, 13:00. West Ham W come in with 8 recent points and 0.8 goals per match, while Manchester City W have 10 points and 2.2 goals per match in the same lens.

BT4Y best bet

West Ham W Draw No Bet

  • At 7, West Ham W Draw No Bet implies roughly 14%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 45%.
  • Manchester City W have the stronger recent points return, taking 10 points from the sample compared with 8 for West Ham W.
  • Manchester City W have the cleaner defensive sample at 1 conceded per match, which helps the West Ham W Draw No Bet angle more than a raw possession edge.
  • West Ham W sit 10 in the table, while Manchester City W sit 1, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 45% for West Ham W Draw No Bet sits against roughly 14% implied by the current price. Manchester City W have the stronger recent points return, taking 10 points from the sample compared with 8 for West Ham W.

Model chance vs price45% model chance against roughly 14% implied
Strong positive
Manchester City W have the stronger recent points return, taking.Visible data support
Positive
Manchester City W have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.Visible data support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: West Ham W Draw No Bet is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers Manchester City W have the stronger recent points return, taking 10 points from the sample compared with 8 for West Ham W. Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Key Data Signals

West Ham W Draw No Bet evidence

Manchester City W have the stronger recent points return, taking 10 points from the sample compared with 8 for West Ham W.

Manchester City W have the cleaner defensive sample at 1 conceded per match, which helps the West Ham W Draw No Bet angle more than a raw possession edge.

West Ham W sit 10 in the table, while Manchester City W sit 1, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

West Ham W Draw No Bet notes

    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    West Ham W2
    Avg corners for
    Manchester City W7.5
    West Ham W7.67
    Avg total corners
    Manchester City W11
    West Ham W1.67
    Avg yellow cards
    Manchester City W1
    West Ham W4.33
    Avg shots
    Manchester City W15.5
    Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 47% vs implied 58% · edge -10.4 pts
    1.73
    Check odds @ 1.73
    Over 9.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.

    Continue the research

    Useful next reads

    corners trends hubplayer stats betting angleslatest football statsmain football hubtoday's predictionsbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    West Ham W0.8
    Avg goals scored
    Manchester City W2.2
    West Ham W1.2
    Avg goals conceded
    Manchester City W1
    West Ham W20%
    BTTS rate
    Manchester City W40%
    West Ham W20%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Manchester City W60%
    Best odds for this sectionUnder 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 48% vs implied 33% · edge +15 pts
    3
    Check odds @ 3
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 57%
    1.73
    Check odds @ 1.73
    BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 47%
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    Over 1.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 74%
    1.1
    Check odds @ 1.1
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 56%
    1.36
    Check odds @ 1.36
    Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 38%
    1.83
    Check odds @ 1.83
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickWest Ham W Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 45% vs implied 14% · edge +30.7 pts
    7
    Check odds @ 7
    Load more odds for this section
    West Ham W to WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
    11
    Check odds @ 11
    BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 47%
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 56%
    1.36
    Check odds @ 1.36
    West Ham W Draw No Bet is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    West Ham W

    WWDLD
    Last 52W 2D 1L
    Last 5 record
    Last 104W 2D 4L
    04 May 2026A Aston Villa W2-0
    26 Apr 2026A Liverpool W1-0
    29 Mar 2026H London City Lionesses W1-1
    21 Mar 2026A Arsenal W0-5
    18 Mar 2026H Manchester United W0-0

    Manchester City W

    WLWWD
    Last 53W 1D 1L
    Last 5 record
    Last 107W 1D 2L
    03 May 2026H Liverpool W1-0
    25 Apr 2026A Brighton W2-3
    28 Mar 2026A Manchester United W3-0
    21 Mar 2026H Tottenham Hotspur W5-2
    15 Mar 2026A Aston Villa W0-0
    Market aligned with main pickWest Ham W Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 45% vs implied 14% · edge +30.7 pts
    7
    Check odds @ 7
    Load more odds for this section
    Home / DrawBetUK guide price · model 51%
    4.46
    Check odds @ 4.46
    West Ham W to WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
    11
    Check odds @ 11
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    0West Ham W wins
    1Draws
    9Manchester City W wins
    21 Dec 2025West Ham W v Manchester City W1-5
    01 Nov 2025Manchester City W v West Ham W1-0
    05 Mar 2025West Ham W v Manchester City W1-1
    06 Oct 2024Manchester City W v West Ham W2-0
    21 Apr 2024Manchester City W v West Ham W5-0
    01 Oct 2023West Ham W v Manchester City W0-2
    Market aligned with main pickWest Ham W to WinBet365 guide price · Model 27% vs implied 9% · edge +17.9 pts
    11
    Check odds @ 11
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 47%
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 56%
    1.36
    Check odds @ 1.36
    The head-to-head sample gives context for West Ham W to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    Season team stats

    FA WSL

    West Ham W22
    Played
    Manchester City W22
    West Ham W0.9
    Avg goals for
    Manchester City W2.8
    West Ham W2
    Avg goals against
    Manchester City W0.9
    West Ham W3
    Clean sheets
    Manchester City W8
    Market aligned with main pickWest Ham W Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 45% vs implied 14% · edge +30.7 pts
    7
    Check odds @ 7
    Load more odds for this section
    West Ham W to WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
    11
    Check odds @ 11
    Season data supports West Ham W Draw No Bet when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    League standings snapshot

    Current table context.

    PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
    1Manchester City W5522181343
    10West Ham W19225413-25
    West Ham W sit in position 10, while Manchester City W sit in position 1, so table pressure belongs in the West Ham W Draw No Bet assessment.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    20%West Ham W Over 2.5
    60%Manchester City W Over 2.5
    3.4H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: West Ham W sit at 20% and Manchester City W sit at 60% with the H2H average at 3.4 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

    Related football research

    Fixture links

    Prediction context

    Football predictions hub

    Find the latest football previews and betting angles from the main predictions hub.

    More stats pages

    Browse football stats pages

    Open the main stats hub for the latest fixture dashboards.

    Competition and hubs

    corners trends hubplayer stats betting angleslatest football statsmain football hubtoday's predictionsbest bets research

    Next step

    Betting context

    Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

    View match centre