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Werder Bremen crestWerder Bremen
v
Borussia Dortmund crestBorussia Dortmund

Bundesliga | Sat 20 Feb, 14:30

Werder Bremen v Borussia Dortmund Stats

Data last updated: Wed 21 Oct 2026, 05:28 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Werder Bremen face Borussia Dortmund in Bundesliga on Sat 20 Feb, 14:30. Borussia Dortmund return to Bundesliga action against Werder Bremen at Signal Iduna Park on Friday 9 October with a sharp contrast between control and volatility running through the fixture.

BT4Y best bet

Match and Both Teams to Score - Dortmund

  • At 29/20, Match and Both Teams to Score - Dortmund implies roughly 41%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 56%.
  • Selection: Match and Both Teams to Score - Dortmund.
  • Werder Bremen show a 100% BTTS rate and Borussia Dortmund show a 40% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
  • Werder Bremen average 2.2 goals scored and Borussia Dortmund average 1.8, so both attacking contributions need separating.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 56% for Match and Both Teams to Score - Dortmund sits against roughly 41% implied by the current price. Werder Bremen show a 100% BTTS rate and Borussia Dortmund show a 40% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market. Selection: Match and Both Teams to Score - Dortmund.

Model chance vs price56% model chance against roughly 41% implied
Strong positive
Werder Bremen show a 100% BTTS rate and Borussia Dortmund.Visible data support
Positive
Werder Bremen average 2.2 goals scored and Borussia Dortmund average.Visible data support
Positive
Selection: Match and Both Teams to Score - Dortmund.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Both Teams To Score is the preferred angle because selection: Match and Both Teams to Score - Dortmund. Werder Bremen show a that shared-scoring rate rate and Borussia Dortmund show a that shared-scoring rate rate, which is the right starting point for this market. Their away performances sharpen the concern.

Main risk

Their away performances sharpen the concern.

Key Data Signals

Match and Both Teams to Score - Dortmund evidence

Selection: Match and Both Teams to Score - Dortmund.

Werder Bremen show a 100% BTTS rate and Borussia Dortmund show a 40% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.

Werder Bremen average 2.2 goals scored and Borussia Dortmund average 1.8, so both attacking contributions need separating.

What To Watch In The Data

Match and Both Teams to Score - Dortmund notes

  • Use shots on target to decide whether attacking involvement is shared or one-sided.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Werder Bremen2.2
Avg goals scored
Borussia Dortmund1.8
Werder Bremen1.6
Avg goals conceded
Borussia Dortmund0.8
Werder Bremen100%
BTTS rate
Borussia Dortmund40%
Werder Bremen80%
Over 2.5 goals
Borussia Dortmund60%

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

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Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Werder Bremen

DDWDW
Last 52W 3D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 3D 1L
17 Oct 2026H SC Paderborn 072-2
09 Oct 2026A Borussia Dortmund2-2
19 Sep 2026H FC Augsburg3-2
12 Sep 2026A 1. FC Köln1-1
05 Sep 2026H RB Leipzig3-1

Borussia Dortmund

DDWWW
Last 53W 2D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 2D 0L
17 Oct 2026A Union Berlin0-0
09 Oct 2026H Werder Bremen2-2
19 Sep 2026A VfB Stuttgart1-0
12 Sep 2026H SC Paderborn 073-0
05 Sep 2026A 1899 Hoffenheim3-2

No priced odds are available for this section yet.

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Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

80%Werder Bremen Over 2.5
60%Borussia Dortmund Over 2.5
2.9H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Werder Bremen sit at 80% and Borussia Dortmund sit at 60% with the H2H average at 2.9 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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