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Werder Bremenv
Borussia DortmundBundesliga | Sat 16 May, 14:30
Werder Bremen v Borussia Dortmund Stats
BT4Y best bet
Under 2.5 Goals
- At 3, Under 2.5 Goals is priced at roughly 33% implied probability. Our model has it closer to 45%, so the current line is showing a +12-point value edge.
- Werder Bremen are at 60% for Over 2.5 in their last-five sample, Borussia Dortmund are at 60%, and the H2H goal average is 2.8.
- The goals data supports the Under 2.5 Goals angle: Werder Bremen have taken 1 win from their last 5 matches, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.8 conceded.
- The goals data supports the Under 2.5 Goals angle: Borussia Dortmund have taken 2 wins from their last 5 matches, with BTTS landing in 40% of that sample.
- If the bookmaker is still close to 3, this is the market to check first because the data and the price are both pointing in the same direction.
Market odds
Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 73% vs implied 74% · edge -0.2 pts
1.36
Bet HERE @ 1.36Load more odds for this section
Key match trends
A quick read of the strongest visible indicators.
60%Werder Bremen Over 2.5
60%Borussia Dortmund Over 2.5
2.8H2H avg goals
Recent form
Results and scoring shape from recent games.
Werder Bremen
LLDWL
Last 51W 1D 3L
Last 5 recordLast 104W 1D 5L
09 May 2026A 1899 Hoffenheim0-1
02 May 2026H FC Augsburg1-3
26 Apr 2026A VfB Stuttgart1-1
18 Apr 2026H Hamburger SV3-1
12 Apr 2026A 1. FC Köln1-3
Borussia Dortmund
WLWLL
Last 52W 0D 3L
Last 5 recordLast 106W 0D 4L
08 May 2026H Eintracht Frankfurt3-2
03 May 2026A Borussia Mönchengladbach0-1
26 Apr 2026H SC Freiburg4-0
18 Apr 2026A 1899 Hoffenheim1-2
11 Apr 2026H Bayer Leverkusen0-1
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 81% vs implied 78% · edge +2.9 pts
1.28
Bet HERE @ 1.28Load more odds for this section
Goals, BTTS and over/under
Goal-market data and related prices.
Werder Bremen1.2
Avg goals scoredBorussia Dortmund1.6
Werder Bremen1.8
Avg goals concededBorussia Dortmund1.2
Werder Bremen80%
BTTS rateBorussia Dortmund40%
Werder Bremen60%
Over 2.5 goalsBorussia Dortmund60%
Best odds for this sectionUnder 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 45% vs implied 33% · edge +12 pts
3
Bet HERE @ 3Load more odds for this section
Head-to-head
Recent meetings and related markets.
1Werder Bremen wins
2Draws
7Borussia Dortmund wins
13 Jan 2026Borussia Dortmund v Werder Bremen3-0
25 Jan 2025Borussia Dortmund v Werder Bremen2-2
31 Aug 2024Werder Bremen v Borussia Dortmund0-0
09 Mar 2024Werder Bremen v Borussia Dortmund1-2
20 Oct 2023Borussia Dortmund v Werder Bremen1-0
11 Feb 2023Werder Bremen v Borussia Dortmund0-2
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 73% vs implied 74% · edge -0.2 pts
1.36
Bet HERE @ 1.36Load more odds for this section
Corners, cards and shots
Detailed stat markets where available.
Werder Bremen5
Avg corners forBorussia Dortmund4
Werder Bremen12
Avg total cornersBorussia Dortmund6.4
Werder Bremen2
Avg yellow cardsBorussia Dortmund2.2
Werder Bremen11.8
Avg shotsBorussia Dortmund11.4
Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBetUK guide price · Model 56% vs implied 51% · edge +5.7 pts
1.98
Bet HERE @ 1.98Player stats
Player props and player-level signals.
Load more player angles
S. GuirassyBorussia Dortmund · Attacker
Goal threat84/100
Shots /902.58
SOT /901.39
K. AdeyemiBorussia Dortmund · Attacker
Goal threat67/100
Shots /901.95
SOT /901.05
J. BrandtBorussia Dortmund · Midfielder
Goal threat61/100
Shots /901.85
SOT /901.01
S. MusahWerder Bremen · Attacker
Goal threat47/100
Shots /902.57
SOT /901.93
V. BonifaceWerder Bremen · Attacker
Goal threat45/100
Shots /903.32
SOT /901.66
N. StarkWerder Bremen · Defender
Goal threat10/100
Shots /900.37
SOT /900.12
K. ToppWerder Bremen · Attacker
Goal threat29/100
Shots /901.91
SOT /900.41
L. BittencourtWerder Bremen · Midfielder
Goal threat11/100
Shots /900.87
SOT /900
Season team stats
Bundesliga
Werder Bremen33
PlayedBorussia Dortmund33
Werder Bremen1.1
Avg goals forBorussia Dortmund2.1
Werder Bremen1.8
Avg goals againstBorussia Dortmund1
Werder Bremen6
Clean sheetsBorussia Dortmund14
Best odds for this sectionAway Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 64% vs implied 63% · edge +1.9 pts
1.6
Bet HERE @ 1.6Load more odds for this section
League standings snapshot
Current table context.
| Pos | Team | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 70 | 33 | 21 | 7 | 5 | 34 |
| 15 | Werder Bremen | 32 | 33 | 8 | 8 | 17 | -21 |
Next step
Betting context
Use the best-bet case above as the starting point, then check the live odds and the full prediction before staking.
