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Wealdstone crestWealdstone
v
Southend crestSouthend

National League | Sat 31 Oct, 15:00

Wealdstone v Southend Stats

Data last updated: Fri 30 Oct 2026, 15:29 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Southend enters this National League clash in strong form, sitting third in the table with 29 points, while Wealdstone are 19th with 15 points. Southend's recent performances show a more potent attack and a tighter defense, averaging 2.2 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game compared to Wealdstone's 1.0 scored and 2.4 conceded. The visitors' consistency and higher league standing suggest they will look to control the match and capitalize on their attacking edge, making them favorites despite the away venue.

BT4Y best bet

Southend to Win

  • Southend ranks 3rd with 29 points, Wealdstone 19th with 15 points.
  • Southend averages 2.2 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game this season.
  • Wealdstone has a higher goals against average at 2.4 per game.
  • Southend’s recent form includes 9 points gained versus Wealdstone’s 4 in recent matches.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model assigns Southend a 70% chance to win, reflecting their superior league position and recent form. Their attack is more productive, and their defense more resilient than Wealdstone’s, which concedes more goals. The of 1.73 offer positive value given the 57.8% implied chance, making Southend a strong pick. The data quality is solid for both teams, supporting in this selection.

Model Win Probability70%
Strong positive
Implied Market Chance70% model chance vs 57.8% implied (+12.2 pts)
Positive
Value Edge70% model chance vs 57.8% implied (+12.2 pts)
Strong positive
Recent Form PointsSouthend 9 vs Wealdstone 4
Positive
Goals Against AverageSouthend 1.6 vs Wealdstone 2.4
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Southend’s superior league standing and recent scoring form make them the logical choice to win this fixture. Their ability to score more and concede fewer goals than Wealdstone underpins this pick, while Wealdstone’s defensive vulnerabilities increase the likelihood of a Southend victory.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Southend to Win

“Southend’s consistent scoring and defensive solidity set them apart in this matchup, making them the clear favorites to secure all three points away from home.”

Key Data Signals

Southend to Win evidence

Southend ranks 3rd with 29 points, Wealdstone 19th with 15 points.

Southend averages 2.2 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game this season.

Wealdstone has a higher goals against average at 2.4 per game.

Southend’s recent form includes 9 points gained versus Wealdstone’s 4 in recent matches.

What To Watch In The Data

Southend to Win notes

  • Over the last ten meetings, the average goals per game is 2.3, indicating a moderately open fixture.
  • Southend’s higher over 2.5 goals rate this season suggests this match could see more goals than the historical average, driven by their attacking style and Wealdstone’s defensive frailties.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Wealdstone1
Avg goals scored
Southend2.2
Wealdstone2.4
Avg goals conceded
Southend1.6
Wealdstone60%
BTTS rate
Southend100%
Wealdstone60%
Over 2.5 goals
Southend80%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 76% vs implied 69% · edge +6.6 pts
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
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Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 86%
1.12
Check odds @ 1.12
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 68%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 50%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 36%
2.7
Check odds @ 2.7
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 28%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
Southend’s matches have a high over 2.5 goals rate at 80%, with all games featuring both teams scoring. Wealdstone’s 60% over 2.5 and BTTS rates suggest openness in defense. This fixture is likely to see goals from both sides, driven by Southend’s attacking threat and Wealdstone’s defensive concessions.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickSouthend to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 70% vs implied 58% · edge +12.2 pts
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
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Southend Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 76%
1.45
Check odds @ 1.45
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 76%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 68%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
The 70% for Southend to Win sits against roughly 57.8% implied by the current price (+12.2 pts). Southend have the stronger recent points return, taking 9 points from the sample compared with 4 for Wealdstone.

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Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Wealdstone

LWLLD
Last 51W 1D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 1D 6L
27 Oct 2026H Solihull Moors2-3
24 Oct 2026A Aldershot Town1-0
10 Oct 2026H Yeovil Town0-6
03 Oct 2026A Barrow1-2
29 Sep 2026A Forest Green1-1

Southend

DDWWD
Last 52W 3D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 105W 4D 1L
27 Oct 2026A Worthing3-3
24 Oct 2026H FC Halifax Town2-2
10 Oct 2026A Boston United2-1
03 Oct 2026H AFC Fylde3-1
30 Sep 2026A Eastleigh1-1
Market aligned with main pickSouthend to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 70% vs implied 58% · edge +12.2 pts
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
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Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 84%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
Southend Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 76%
1.45
Check odds @ 1.45
Southend’s recent form is superior, having earned 9 points compared to Wealdstone’s 4 in recent matches. This momentum reflects better tactical execution and , which should translate into control and likely victory in this game.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%Wealdstone Over 2.5
80%Southend Over 2.5
2.3H2H avg goals
Over the last ten meetings, the average goals per game is 2.3, indicating a moderately open fixture. Southend’s higher over 2.5 goals rate this season suggests this match could see more goals than the historical average, driven by their attacking style and Wealdstone’s defensive frailties.

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