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Villarreal crestVillarreal
v
Sevilla crestSevilla

La Liga | Wed 13 May, 18:00

Villarreal v Sevilla Stats

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • At 1.67, Both Teams to Score is priced at roughly 60% implied probability. Our model has it closer to 76%, so the current line is showing a +16.1-point value edge.
  • Villarreal have scored in 100% of the recent sample and Sevilla have scored in 80%, with BTTS rates of 100% and 60%.
  • The goals data supports the Both Teams to Score angle: Villarreal have taken 3 wins from their last 5 matches, averaging 2.2 goals scored and 1 conceded.
  • The goals data supports the Both Teams to Score angle: Sevilla have taken 3 wins from their last 5 matches, with BTTS landing in 60% of that sample.
  • If the bookmaker is still close to 1.67, this is the market to check first because the data and the price are both pointing in the same direction.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 76% vs implied 60% · edge +16.1 pts
1.67
Bet HERE @ 1.67
Load more odds for this section
Home WinBetMGM guide price · model 60%
2.05
Bet HERE @ 2.05
Home Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 69%
1.58
Bet HERE @ 1.58
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 61%
1.8
Bet HERE @ 1.8
Away Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 42%
2.35
Bet HERE @ 2.35
Away WinBetUK guide price · model 24%
3.75
Bet HERE @ 3.75
DrawBet365 guide price · model 25%
3.4
Bet HERE @ 3.4
Key match trends

A quick read of the strongest visible indicators.

60%Villarreal Over 2.5
60%Sevilla Over 2.5
3.1H2H avg goals
Recent form

Results and scoring shape from recent games.

Villarreal

DWWDW
Last 53W 2D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 105W 3D 2L
10 May 2026A Mallorca1-1
02 May 2026H Levante5-1
26 Apr 2026H Celta Vigo2-1
23 Apr 2026A Oviedo1-1
12 Apr 2026A Athletic Club2-1

Sevilla

WWLLW
Last 53W 0D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 2D 5L
09 May 2026H Espanyol2-1
04 May 2026H Real Sociedad1-0
26 Apr 2026A Osasuna1-2
23 Apr 2026A Levante0-2
11 Apr 2026H Atletico Madrid2-1
Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 85% vs implied 82% · edge +2.7 pts
1.22
Bet HERE @ 1.22
Load more odds for this section
Home WinBetMGM guide price · model 60%
2.05
Bet HERE @ 2.05
Home Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 69%
1.58
Bet HERE @ 1.58
Away Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 42%
2.35
Bet HERE @ 2.35
Away WinBetUK guide price · model 24%
3.75
Bet HERE @ 3.75
DrawBet365 guide price · model 25%
3.4
Bet HERE @ 3.4
Away / DrawBetfred guide price · model 49%
1.44
Bet HERE @ 1.44
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Goal-market data and related prices.

Villarreal2.2
Avg goals scored
Sevilla1.2
Villarreal1
Avg goals conceded
Sevilla1.2
Villarreal100%
BTTS rate
Sevilla60%
Villarreal60%
Over 2.5 goals
Sevilla60%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 76% vs implied 60% · edge +16.1 pts
1.67
Bet HERE @ 1.67
Load more odds for this section
Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 79%
1.25
Bet HERE @ 1.25
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 61%
1.8
Bet HERE @ 1.8
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 43%
3
Bet HERE @ 3
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 43%
2
Bet HERE @ 2
BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 28%
2.1
Bet HERE @ 2.1
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and related markets.

5Villarreal wins
3Draws
2Sevilla wins
23 Sep 2025Sevilla v Villarreal1-2
25 May 2025Villarreal v Sevilla4-2
23 Aug 2024Sevilla v Villarreal1-2
11 May 2024Villarreal v Sevilla3-2
03 Dec 2023Sevilla v Villarreal1-1
23 Apr 2023Sevilla v Villarreal2-1
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 76% vs implied 60% · edge +16.1 pts
1.67
Bet HERE @ 1.67
Load more odds for this section
Home WinBetMGM guide price · model 60%
2.05
Bet HERE @ 2.05
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 61%
1.8
Bet HERE @ 1.8
Away WinBetUK guide price · model 24%
3.75
Bet HERE @ 3.75
DrawBet365 guide price · model 25%
3.4
Bet HERE @ 3.4
Corners, cards and shots

Detailed stat markets where available.

Villarreal4.2
Avg corners for
Sevilla4.6
Villarreal11.2
Avg total corners
Sevilla9
Villarreal2
Avg yellow cards
Sevilla3.4
Villarreal11.8
Avg shots
Sevilla13.2
Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · Model 64% vs implied 53% · edge +11.8 pts
1.9
Bet HERE @ 1.9
Player stats

Player props and player-level signals.

Best player angleG. Mikautadze Anytime GoalscorerG. Mikautadze · 11 goals · 1.29 SOT/90
80/100
Bet HERE
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Álex Forés 1+ Shot On TargetÁlex Forés · 2.34 shots on target/90
84/100
Bet HERE
M. Sierra 2+ ShotsM. Sierra · 5.71 shots/90
82/100
Bet HERE
D. Lukebakio To Assist / Key Pass AngleD. Lukebakio · 0 assists · 4.5 key passes/90
72/100
Bet HERE
Peque Fernández To Be FouledPeque Fernández · 4.37 fouls won/90
80/100
Bet HERE
T. Nianzou Card RiskT. Nianzou · 5 yellows · 2.08 fouls/90
80/100
Bet HERE
G. Mikautadze
G. MikautadzeVillarreal · Attacker
Goal threat75/100
Shots /902.3
SOT /901.29
Gerard Moreno
Gerard MorenoVillarreal · Attacker
Goal threat73/100
Shots /901.9
SOT /901.09
A. Adams
A. AdamsSevilla · Attacker
Goal threat70/100
Shots /902.17
SOT /901.35
Álex Forés
Álex ForésVillarreal · Attacker
Goal threat34/100
Shots /902.34
SOT /902.34
Alfon González
Alfon GonzálezSevilla · Midfielder
Goal threat49/100
Shots /901.96
SOT /901.96
M. Sierra
M. SierraSevilla · Attacker
Goal threat38/100
Shots /905.71
SOT /901.43
Ilias Akhomach
Ilias AkhomachVillarreal · Attacker
Goal threat28/100
Shots /902.43
SOT /900.97
T. Nianzou
T. NianzouSevilla · Defender
Goal threat10/100
Shots /900.83
SOT /900
Season team stats

La Liga

Villarreal35
Played
Sevilla35
Villarreal1.9
Avg goals for
Sevilla1.2
Villarreal1.1
Avg goals against
Sevilla1.6
Villarreal8
Clean sheets
Sevilla6
Best odds for this sectionHome WinBetMGM guide price · Model 60% vs implied 49% · edge +11.2 pts
2.05
Bet HERE @ 2.05
Load more odds for this section
Home Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 69%
1.58
Bet HERE @ 1.58
Away Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 42%
2.35
Bet HERE @ 2.35
Away WinBetUK guide price · model 24%
3.75
Bet HERE @ 3.75
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
3Villarreal6935216825
13Sevilla403511717-13

Next step

Betting context

Use the best-bet case above as the starting point, then check the live odds and the full prediction before staking.