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Villarreal crestVillarreal
v
Celta Vigo crestCelta Vigo

La Liga | Sun 26 Apr, 20:00

Villarreal v Celta Vigo Stats

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • At 3, Both Teams to Score is priced at roughly 33% implied probability. Our model has it closer to 76%, so the current line is showing a +42.7-point value edge.
  • Villarreal have scored in 80% of the recent sample and Celta Vigo have scored in 60%, with BTTS rates of 80% and 60%.
  • The goals data supports the Both Teams to Score angle: Villarreal have taken 2 wins from their last 5 matches, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1 conceded.
  • The goals data supports the Both Teams to Score angle: Celta Vigo have taken 1 win from their last 5 matches, with BTTS landing in 60% of that sample.
  • If the bookmaker is still close to 3, this is the market to check first because the data and the price are both pointing in the same direction.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 76% vs implied 33% · edge +42.7 pts
3
Bet HERE @ 3
Load more odds for this section
Home WinBet365 guide price · model 66%
1.91
Bet HERE @ 1.91
Home Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 74%
1.52
Bet HERE @ 1.52
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 64%
1.73
Bet HERE @ 1.73
Away Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 42%
2.42
Bet HERE @ 2.42
Away WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
3.9
Bet HERE @ 3.9
DrawBetfred guide price · model 23%
3.6
Bet HERE @ 3.6
Key match trends

A quick read of the strongest visible indicators.

40%Villarreal Over 2.5
60%Celta Vigo Over 2.5
3.7H2H avg goals
Recent form

Results and scoring shape from recent games.

Villarreal

DWLWD
Last 52W 2D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 105W 2D 3L
23 Apr 2026A Oviedo1-1
12 Apr 2026A Athletic Club2-1
06 Apr 2026A Girona0-1
20 Mar 2026H Real Sociedad3-1
13 Mar 2026A Alaves1-1

Celta Vigo

LLWLD
Last 51W 1D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 2D 5L
22 Apr 2026A Barcelona0-1
12 Apr 2026H Oviedo0-3
05 Apr 2026A Valencia3-2
22 Mar 2026H Alaves3-4
15 Mar 2026A Real Betis1-1
Best odds for this sectionHome WinBet365 guide price · Model 66% vs implied 52% · edge +13.4 pts
1.91
Bet HERE @ 1.91
Load more odds for this section
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 86%
1.22
Bet HERE @ 1.22
Home Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 74%
1.52
Bet HERE @ 1.52
Away Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 42%
2.42
Bet HERE @ 2.42
Away WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
3.9
Bet HERE @ 3.9
DrawBetfred guide price · model 23%
3.6
Bet HERE @ 3.6
Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 46%
1.5
Bet HERE @ 1.5
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Goal-market data and related prices.

Villarreal1.4
Avg goals scored
Celta Vigo1.4
Villarreal1
Avg goals conceded
Celta Vigo2.2
Villarreal80%
BTTS rate
Celta Vigo60%
Villarreal40%
Over 2.5 goals
Celta Vigo60%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 76% vs implied 33% · edge +42.7 pts
3
Bet HERE @ 3
Load more odds for this section
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 82%
1.22
Bet HERE @ 1.22
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 64%
1.73
Bet HERE @ 1.73
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 46%
2.75
Bet HERE @ 2.75
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 40%
2.1
Bet HERE @ 2.1
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 28%
1.36
Bet HERE @ 1.36
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and related markets.

4Villarreal wins
3Draws
3Celta Vigo wins
31 Aug 2025Celta Vigo v Villarreal1-1
23 Apr 2025Celta Vigo v Villarreal3-0
26 Aug 2024Villarreal v Celta Vigo4-3
05 May 2024Celta Vigo v Villarreal3-2
20 Dec 2023Villarreal v Celta Vigo3-2
30 Apr 2023Villarreal v Celta Vigo3-1
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 76% vs implied 33% · edge +42.7 pts
3
Bet HERE @ 3
Load more odds for this section
Home WinBet365 guide price · model 66%
1.91
Bet HERE @ 1.91
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 64%
1.73
Bet HERE @ 1.73
Away WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
3.9
Bet HERE @ 3.9
DrawBetfred guide price · model 23%
3.6
Bet HERE @ 3.6
Corners, cards and shots

Detailed stat markets where available.

Villarreal2.6
Avg corners for
Celta Vigo3
Villarreal10.4
Avg total corners
Celta Vigo6.2
Villarreal1.4
Avg yellow cards
Celta Vigo2
Villarreal11.8
Avg shots
Celta Vigo8.6
Best odds for this sectionOver 4.5 CardsBet365 guide price · Model 53% vs implied 50% · edge +3.1 pts
2
Bet HERE @ 2
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Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 44%
1.67
Bet HERE @ 1.67
Player stats

Player props and player-level signals.

Best player angleBorja Iglesias Anytime GoalscorerBorja Iglesias · 14 goals · 1.32 SOT/90
82/100
Bet HERE
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Andrés Antañón 1+ Shot On TargetAndrés Antañón · 2.9 shots on target/90
84/100
Bet HERE
Andrés Antañón 2+ ShotsAndrés Antañón · 2.9 shots/90
78/100
Bet HERE
N. Pépé To Assist / Key Pass AngleN. Pépé · 6 assists · 2.15 key passes/90
71/100
Bet HERE
W. Swedberg To Be FouledW. Swedberg · 2.63 fouls won/90
78/100
Bet HERE
Ilias Akhomach Card RiskIlias Akhomach · 1 yellows · 4.38 fouls/90
80/100
Bet HERE
Borja Iglesias
Borja IglesiasCelta Vigo · Attacker
Goal threat80/100
Shots /901.93
SOT /901.32
Ferran Jutglà
Ferran JutglàCelta Vigo · Attacker
Goal threat78/100
Shots /902.33
SOT /901.48
G. Mikautadze
G. MikautadzeVillarreal · Attacker
Goal threat77/100
Shots /902.26
SOT /901.29
Andrés Antañón
Andrés AntañónCelta Vigo · Midfielder
Goal threat41/100
Shots /902.9
SOT /902.9
Álex Forés
Álex ForésVillarreal · Attacker
Goal threat34/100
Shots /902.34
SOT /902.34
Ilias Akhomach
Ilias AkhomachVillarreal · Attacker
Goal threat28/100
Shots /902.43
SOT /900.97
S. Mouriño
S. MouriñoVillarreal · Defender
Goal threat20/100
Shots /900.41
SOT /900.12
C. Macia
C. MaciaVillarreal · Midfielder
Goal threat6/100
Shots /901.17
SOT /900
Season team stats

La Liga

Villarreal36
Played
Celta Vigo36
Villarreal1.9
Avg goals for
Celta Vigo1.4
Villarreal1.2
Avg goals against
Celta Vigo1.3
Villarreal8
Clean sheets
Celta Vigo9
Best odds for this sectionHome WinBet365 guide price · Model 66% vs implied 52% · edge +13.4 pts
1.91
Bet HERE @ 1.91
Load more odds for this section
Home Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 74%
1.52
Bet HERE @ 1.52
Away Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 42%
2.42
Bet HERE @ 2.42
Away WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
3.9
Bet HERE @ 3.9
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
3Villarreal6936216924
6Celta Vigo50361311124

Next step

Betting context

Use the best-bet case above as the starting point, then check the live odds and the full prediction before staking.