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Vietnam crestVietnam
v
Myanmar crestMyanmar

Friendlies | Sat 18 Jul, 13:00

Vietnam v Myanmar Stats

Data last updated: Fri 17 Jul 2026, 05:12 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Vietnam and Myanmar face off in a friendly where attacking intent is expected from both sides. Vietnam has shown strong offensive output recently, averaging over three goals per game and maintaining a perfect Over 2.5 Goals rate. Myanmar also exhibits an aggressive approach with a similar high scoring trend but a more porous defense. This match offers an open tactical battle with both teams likely to prioritize offensive experimentation and goal-scoring opportunities, setting the stage for a potentially high-scoring encounter.

BT4Y best bet

Over 2.5 Goals

  • Vietnam averages 3.25 goals per game with 100% Over 2.5 Goals rate in recent matches.
  • Myanmar concedes 3 goals per game and also has a 100% Over 2.5 Goals rate recently.
  • Head-to-head meetings average 2.75 goals, indicating a history of multiple goals.
  • Key attacking players like Phạm Tuấn Hải and Nguyễn Tiến Linh contribute significantly to Vietnam's goal threat.
  • Myanmar's midfielder Wai Lin Aung provides shots on target and fouls won, adding to attacking dynamics.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model assigns a 78% chance for Over 2.5 Goals, supported by both teams' recent attacking form and defensive vulnerabilities. Vietnam's consistent goal-scoring and Myanmar's defensive concessions create a strong environment for multiple goals. The perfect Over 2.5 record in recent matches for both sides reinforces this expectation. While data quality is solid, the friendly nature of the match may introduce some tactical experimentation, but the attacking profiles suggest a lively game with several scoring chances.

Vietnam recent scoring3.25 goals per game, 100% Over 2.5 rate
Strong positive
Myanmar defensive record3 goals conceded per game
Positive
Head-to-head average goals2.75 goals per match
Positive
Key attacking playersPhạm Tuấn Hải (0.79 goals/90), Nguyễn Tiến Linh (0.5 goals/90)
Positive
Match typeFriendly with attacking focus
Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Vietnam's strong recent goal-scoring form combined with Myanmar's defensive vulnerabilities make Over 2.5 Goals a compelling choice. Vietnam's attackers like Phạm Tuấn Hải and Nguyễn Tiến Linh provide consistent threat, while Myanmar's openness at the back suggests multiple goals are likely in this open, friendly encounter.

Main risk

The friendly match setting may lead to experimental line-ups and defensive adjustments that could reduce goal-scoring despite attacking trends.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match attacking dynamics

“Vietnam's attacking prowess and Myanmar's defensive frailties set the stage for a high-scoring friendly. Expect open play and goal opportunities from both sides, making Over 2.5 Goals a sensible selection.”

Key Data Signals

Over 2.5 Goals evidence

Vietnam averages 3.25 goals per game with 100% Over 2.5 Goals rate in recent matches.

Myanmar concedes 3 goals per game and also has a 100% Over 2.5 Goals rate recently.

Head-to-head meetings average 2.75 goals, indicating a history of multiple goals.

Key attacking players like Phạm Tuấn Hải and Nguyễn Tiến Linh contribute significantly to Vietnam's goal threat.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 2.5 Goals notes

  • Recent matches and head-to-head encounters show a strong trend toward Over 2.5 Goals, with an average of 2.75 goals in their last four meetings.
  • Both teams' recent Over 2.5 rates at 100% over their last fixtures suggest a continuation of this trend, driven by attacking tempo and defensive gaps.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Vietnam3.25
Avg goals scored
Myanmar3.5
Vietnam0.5
Avg goals conceded
Myanmar3
Vietnam50%
BTTS rate
Myanmar100%
Vietnam100%
Over 2.5 goals
Myanmar100%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 76% vs implied 50% · edge +26 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
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BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 28%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Both Vietnam and Myanmar have demonstrated high scoring rates and defensive vulnerabilities, with Vietnam scoring over three goals per game and Myanmar conceding three. Vietnam's 50% BTTS rate versus Myanmar's 100% suggests Myanmar is more prone to conceding and scoring, supporting a goal-rich game scenario.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 76% vs implied 50% · edge +26 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
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Myanmar to WinBetfred guide price · model 23%
11
Check odds @ 11
Vietnam to WinBet365 guide price · model 74%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 18%
6
Check odds @ 6
The Over 2.5 Goals market aligns well with the strong attacking data from both teams. Although no explicit are provided, the model's 78% indicates a robust football read for multiple goals, making this a price-sensitive but attractive option given the teams' recent scoring patterns.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Vietnam

WWWW
Last 54W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 0D 0L
13 Jul 2026H Gangwon FC2-1
08 Jul 2026H Yongin City2-1
05 Jul 2026A Siheung Citizen6-0
26 Mar 2026H Bangladesh3-0

Myanmar

LW
Last 51W 0D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 0D 1L
09 Jun 2026A Philippines1-5
06 Jun 2026H Guam6-1
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 45% vs implied 25% · edge +20 pts
4
Check odds @ 4
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Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 86%
1.05
Check odds @ 1.05
Myanmar to WinBetfred guide price · model 23%
11
Check odds @ 11
Vietnam to WinBet365 guide price · model 74%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 18%
6
Check odds @ 6
Vietnam's recent form is prolific offensively, averaging 3.25 goals per game with a perfect Over 2.5 Goals rate. Myanmar also maintains a 100% Over 2.5 record but concedes heavily, reflecting defensive frailty. This form data strongly supports expectations of a high-scoring match.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

3Vietnam wins
1Draws
0Myanmar wins
21 Dec 2024Vietnam v Myanmar5-0
03 Jan 2023Vietnam v Myanmar3-0
20 Nov 2018Myanmar v Vietnam0-0
20 Nov 2016Myanmar v Vietnam1-2
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 76% vs implied 50% · edge +26 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
Load more odds for this section
Myanmar to WinBetfred guide price · model 23%
11
Check odds @ 11
Vietnam to WinBet365 guide price · model 74%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 18%
6
Check odds @ 6
The four previous meetings between Vietnam and Myanmar have averaged 2.75 goals per game, indicating a history of relatively open contests with multiple goals. While the sample is modest, it supports the expectation of a goal-rich encounter in this friendly.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Season team stats

Friendlies

Vietnam4
Played
Myanmar2
Vietnam3.3
Avg goals for
Myanmar3.5
Vietnam0.5
Avg goals against
Myanmar3
Vietnam2
Clean sheets
Myanmar0
Best odds for this sectionMyanmar to WinBetfred guide price · Model 23% vs implied 9% · edge +13.9 pts
11
Check odds @ 11
Load more odds for this section
Vietnam to WinBet365 guide price · model 74%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
Season-long statistics reinforce the attacking outlook, with Vietnam's strong goal-scoring and low goals conceded contrasting Myanmar's leaky defense. Both teams' Over 2.5 Goals rates at 100% in recent matches highlight a consistent pattern of multiple goals, underpinning the bet selection.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

100%Vietnam Over 2.5
100%Myanmar Over 2.5
2.75H2H avg goals
Recent matches and head-to-head encounters show a strong trend toward Over 2.5 Goals, with an average of 2.75 goals in their last four meetings. Both teams' recent Over 2.5 rates at 100% over their last fixtures suggest a continuation of this trend, driven by attacking tempo and defensive gaps.

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