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VfB Stuttgart crestVfB Stuttgart
v
Bayer Leverkusen crestBayer Leverkusen

Bundesliga | Sat 09 May, 14:30

VfB Stuttgart v Bayer Leverkusen Stats

BT4Y best bet

Bayer Leverkusen to Win

  • At 2.8, Bayer Leverkusen to Win is priced at roughly 36% implied probability. Our model has it closer to 70%, so the current line is showing a +34.3-point value edge.
  • VfB Stuttgart have a recent record of 1W-2D-2L, while Bayer Leverkusen come in at 4W-0D-1L across the same last-five lens.
  • The result profile supports the Bayer Leverkusen to Win angle: VfB Stuttgart have taken 1 win from their last 5 matches, averaging 2 goals scored and 2 conceded.
  • The result profile supports the Bayer Leverkusen to Win angle: Bayer Leverkusen have taken 4 wins from their last 5 matches, with BTTS landing in 80% of that sample.
  • If the bookmaker is still close to 2.8, this is the market to check first because the data and the price are both pointing in the same direction.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionAway WinBetMGM guide price · Model 70% vs implied 36% · edge +34.3 pts
2.8
Bet HERE @ 2.8
Load more odds for this section
Away Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 76%
1.7
Bet HERE @ 1.7
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 76%
1.33
Bet HERE @ 1.33
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 71%
1.33
Bet HERE @ 1.33
Home Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
2.1
Bet HERE @ 2.1
Over 3.5 CardsBet365 guide price · model 52%
1.62
Bet HERE @ 1.62
DrawBetUK guide price · model 18%
4
Bet HERE @ 4
Key match trends

A quick read of the strongest visible indicators.

60%VfB Stuttgart Over 2.5
80%Bayer Leverkusen Over 2.5
3.7H2H avg goals
Recent form

Results and scoring shape from recent games.

VfB Stuttgart

DDLWL
Last 51W 2D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 4D 2L
02 May 2026A 1899 Hoffenheim3-3
26 Apr 2026H Werder Bremen1-1
19 Apr 2026A Bayern München2-4
12 Apr 2026H Hamburger SV4-0
04 Apr 2026H Borussia Dortmund0-2

Bayer Leverkusen

WWLWW
Last 54W 0D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 105W 4D 1L
02 May 2026H RB Leipzig4-1
25 Apr 2026A 1. FC Köln2-1
18 Apr 2026H FC Augsburg1-2
11 Apr 2026A Borussia Dortmund1-0
04 Apr 2026H VfL Wolfsburg6-3
Best odds for this sectionAway WinBetMGM guide price · Model 70% vs implied 36% · edge +34.3 pts
2.8
Bet HERE @ 2.8
Load more odds for this section
Away / DrawBetfred guide price · model 84%
1.5
Bet HERE @ 1.5
Away Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 76%
1.7
Bet HERE @ 1.7
Home Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
2.1
Bet HERE @ 2.1
DrawBetUK guide price · model 18%
4
Bet HERE @ 4
Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 48%
1.36
Bet HERE @ 1.36
Home WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%
2.15
Bet HERE @ 2.15
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Goal-market data and related prices.

VfB Stuttgart2
Avg goals scored
Bayer Leverkusen2.8
VfB Stuttgart2
Avg goals conceded
Bayer Leverkusen1.4
VfB Stuttgart60%
BTTS rate
Bayer Leverkusen80%
VfB Stuttgart60%
Over 2.5 goals
Bayer Leverkusen80%
Best odds for this sectionOver 1.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · Model 88% vs implied 91% · edge -2.9 pts
1.1
Bet HERE @ 1.1
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 76%
1.33
Bet HERE @ 1.33
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 71%
1.33
Bet HERE @ 1.33
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 53%
1.8
Bet HERE @ 1.8
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 33%
3.4
Bet HERE @ 3.4
BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 28%
3.25
Bet HERE @ 3.25
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and related markets.

1VfB Stuttgart wins
5Draws
4Bayer Leverkusen wins
10 Jan 2026Bayer Leverkusen v VfB Stuttgart1-4
16 Mar 2025VfB Stuttgart v Bayer Leverkusen3-4
01 Nov 2024Bayer Leverkusen v VfB Stuttgart0-0
17 Aug 2024Bayer Leverkusen v VfB Stuttgart2-2
27 Apr 2024Bayer Leverkusen v VfB Stuttgart2-2
06 Feb 2024Bayer Leverkusen v VfB Stuttgart3-2
Best odds for this sectionAway WinBetMGM guide price · Model 70% vs implied 36% · edge +34.3 pts
2.8
Bet HERE @ 2.8
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 76%
1.33
Bet HERE @ 1.33
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 71%
1.33
Bet HERE @ 1.33
DrawBetUK guide price · model 18%
4
Bet HERE @ 4
Home WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%
2.15
Bet HERE @ 2.15
Corners, cards and shots

Detailed stat markets where available.

VfB Stuttgart7
Avg corners for
Bayer Leverkusen8
VfB Stuttgart11.2
Avg total corners
Bayer Leverkusen11.2
VfB Stuttgart1
Avg yellow cards
Bayer Leverkusen1.2
VfB Stuttgart16.2
Avg shots
Bayer Leverkusen20.6
Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 69% vs implied 51% · edge +17.7 pts
1.95
Bet HERE @ 1.95
Load more odds for this section
Over 3.5 CardsBet365 guide price · model 52%
1.62
Bet HERE @ 1.62
Player stats

Player props and player-level signals.

Best player angleD. Undav Anytime GoalscorerD. Undav · 18 goals · 1.85 SOT/90
86/100
Bet HERE
Load more player angles
D. Undav 1+ Shot On TargetD. Undav · 1.85 shots on target/90
83/100
Bet HERE
D. Undav 2+ ShotsD. Undav · 3.66 shots/90
82/100
Bet HERE
C. Führich To Assist / Key Pass AngleC. Führich · 6 assists · 2.48 key passes/90
73/100
Bet HERE
Tiago Tomás To Be FouledTiago Tomás · 2.5 fouls won/90
78/100
Bet HERE
E. Ben Seghir Card RiskE. Ben Seghir · 2 yellows · 1.22 fouls/90
78/100
Bet HERE
D. Undav
D. UndavVfB Stuttgart · Midfielder
Goal threat100/100
Shots /903.66
SOT /901.85
P. Schick
P. SchickBayer Leverkusen · Attacker
Goal threat95/100
Shots /902.73
SOT /901.54
E. Demirović
E. DemirovićVfB Stuttgart · Attacker
Goal threat79/100
Shots /901.83
SOT /901.22
Christian Kofane
Christian KofaneBayer Leverkusen · Attacker
Goal threat72/100
Shots /902.87
SOT /901.44
E. Ben Seghir
E. Ben SeghirBayer Leverkusen · Attacker
Goal threat13/100
Shots /900.81
SOT /900.41
A. Tape
A. TapeBayer Leverkusen · Defender
Goal threat12/100
Shots /900.81
SOT /900.41
Season team stats

Bundesliga

VfB Stuttgart32
Played
Bayer Leverkusen32
VfB Stuttgart2.1
Avg goals for
Bayer Leverkusen2.1
VfB Stuttgart1.4
Avg goals against
Bayer Leverkusen1.3
VfB Stuttgart11
Clean sheets
Bayer Leverkusen8
Best odds for this sectionAway WinBetMGM guide price · Model 70% vs implied 36% · edge +34.3 pts
2.8
Bet HERE @ 2.8
Load more odds for this section
Away Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 76%
1.7
Bet HERE @ 1.7
Home Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
2.1
Bet HERE @ 2.1
Home WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%
2.15
Bet HERE @ 2.15
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
4Bayer Leverkusen5832177823
5VfB Stuttgart5832177820

Next step

Betting context

Use the best-bet case above as the starting point, then check the live odds and the full prediction before staking.