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VfB Stuttgart crestVfB Stuttgart
v
Bayer Leverkusen crestBayer Leverkusen

Bundesliga | Sat 06 Mar, 14:30

VfB Stuttgart v Bayer Leverkusen Stats

Data last updated: Thu 29 Oct 2026, 12:26 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

VfB Stuttgart face Bayer Leverkusen in Bundesliga on Sat 06 Mar, 14:30. Both teams demonstrate elite reliability in front of goal, with long scoring streaks across league and cup competitions. Leverkusen's strong home record (5 wins in 8) positions them as clear favorites against a dangerous but inconsistent Stuttgart.

BT4Y best bet

Over 2.5 Goals

  • Over 2.5 Goals is rated around 69% by the current BT4Y model.
  • Stuttgart’s away games rarely stay quiet: over 2.5 goals have landed in each of their last nine away Bundesliga matches, reflecting an approach that.
  • The Over 2.5 trend is 40% for VfB Stuttgart and 80% for Bayer Leverkusen, so the goals angle is not just a price call.
  • Bayer Leverkusen are carrying more of the scoring load at 2 goals per match, with VfB Stuttgart at 1.
  • BTTS rates of 40% for VfB Stuttgart and 60% for Bayer Leverkusen show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model rates Over 2.5 Goals around 69% on the latest available numbers. The Over 2.5 trend is 40% for VfB Stuttgart and 80% for Bayer Leverkusen, so the goals angle is not just a price call. Stuttgart’s away games rarely stay quiet: over 2.5 goals have landed in each of their last nine away Bundesliga matches, reflecting an approach that.

The Over 2.5 trend is 40% for VfB Stuttgart.Visible data support
Positive
Bayer Leverkusen are carrying more of the scoring load at.Visible data support
Positive
Stuttgart’s away games rarely stay quiet: over 2.5 goals.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Over that scoring level is the preferred angle because stuttgart’s away games rarely stay quiet: over 2.5 goals have landed in each of their last nine away Bundesliga matches, reflecting an approach that produces chances and accepts risk. The Over 2.5 trend is 40% for VfB Stuttgart and 80% for Bayer Leverkusen, so the goals angle is not just a price call. A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Key Data Signals

Over 2.5 Goals evidence

Stuttgart’s away games rarely stay quiet: over 2.5 goals have landed in each of their last nine away.

The Over 2.5 trend is 40% for VfB Stuttgart and 80% for Bayer Leverkusen, so the goals angle is not just a price call.

Bayer Leverkusen are carrying more of the scoring load at 2 goals per match, with VfB Stuttgart at 1.

BTTS rates of 40% for VfB Stuttgart and 60% for Bayer Leverkusen show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 2.5 Goals notes

  • Use the last-five and H2H goal samples to judge whether Over 2.5 has a tempo route, not just a historical average.
  • The goal line needs both attacking patterns to create box entries, transitions or set-piece pressure.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

VfB Stuttgart1
Avg goals scored
Bayer Leverkusen2
VfB Stuttgart1.4
Avg goals conceded
Bayer Leverkusen1.8
VfB Stuttgart40%
BTTS rate
Bayer Leverkusen60%
VfB Stuttgart40%
Over 2.5 goals
Bayer Leverkusen80%

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

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Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

VfB Stuttgart

LLWLL
Last 51W 0D 4L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 0D 5L
23 Oct 2026H Borussia Mönchengladbach2-3
17 Oct 2026A Hamburger SV0-1
10 Oct 2026A SC Paderborn 072-0
19 Sep 2026H Borussia Dortmund0-1
12 Sep 2026A 1899 Hoffenheim1-2

Bayer Leverkusen

LWWWD
Last 53W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 1D 2L
25 Oct 2026A 1899 Hoffenheim0-3
18 Oct 2026H SC Freiburg2-1
10 Oct 2026A FSV Mainz 054-3
20 Sep 2026H RB Leipzig2-0
12 Sep 2026A FC Augsburg2-2

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Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%VfB Stuttgart Over 2.5
80%Bayer Leverkusen Over 2.5
3.5H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: VfB Stuttgart sit at 40% and Bayer Leverkusen sit at 80% with the H2H average at 3.5 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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