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Veles crestVeles
v
Arsenal Tula crestArsenal Tula

Friendlies Clubs | Sat 27 Jun, 13:00

Veles v Arsenal Tula Stats

Data last updated: Fri 26 Jun 2026, 04:22 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

This friendly between Veles and Arsenal Tula offers an intriguing attacking contest as both sides have shown a tendency for open play and goal-scoring in recent matches. Arsenal Tula arrives with solid recent form, securing 7 points and averaging 2 goals scored while conceding only 2, indicating balanced offensive and defensive capabilities. Veles, despite no points recently, has been involved in high-scoring games, with all their last matches exceeding 2.5 goals and both teams scoring consistently. The match promises an open tempo with both teams likely to push forward, creating multiple goal opportunities in a low-stakes environment where defensive rigidity may be less emphasized.

BT4Y best bet

Over 2.5 Goals

  • Veles' last matches have all gone over 2.5 goals, showing a strong attacking pattern.
  • Arsenal Tula has an 80% over 2.5 goals rate in recent games, supporting goal expectancy.
  • Both teams have a 100% BTTS rate recently, indicating frequent goals at both ends.
  • The head-to-head average goals stand at 1.67, suggesting moderate scoring history.
  • Recent form data shows Arsenal Tula scoring and conceding goals consistently, hinting at open play.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model estimates a 73.1% chance for over 2.5 goals, driven by both teams' recent attacking output and high BTTS rates. Veles' 100% over 2.5 rate and Arsenal Tula's 80% rate in recent matches highlight a pattern of open, goal-rich games. The friendly setting often encourages less defensive caution, increasing scoring chances. While no specific price data is available, the football context strongly supports the likelihood of multiple goals in this fixture.

Veles recent over 2.5 rate100%
Strong positive
Arsenal Tula recent over 2.5 rate80%
Positive
Both teams BTTS rate100%
Strong positive
Model chance for Over 2.573.1%
Strong positive
Head-to-head average goals1.67
Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect an open and attacking friendly where both Veles and Arsenal Tula have shown recent tendencies to score and concede goals. Arsenal Tula's better recent form combined with Veles' high-scoring matches suggests multiple goals are likely. The data supports a lively game with chances at both ends, making over 2.5 goals a sensible expectation.

Main risk

The main risk lies in the limited sample size and friendly match context, which can lead to unpredictable line-ups and defensive focus shifts that might reduce scoring despite recent trends.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Attacking openness and goal likelihood

“The attacking patterns from both sides in recent friendlies point to a game where goals will flow freely, especially given the high BTTS rates and open tactical setups typical of such fixtures.”

Key Data Signals

Over 2.5 Goals evidence

Veles' last matches have all gone over 2.5 goals, showing a strong attacking pattern.

Arsenal Tula has an 80% over 2.5 goals rate in recent games, supporting goal expectancy.

Both teams have a 100% BTTS rate recently, indicating frequent goals at both ends.

The head-to-head average goals stand at 1.67, suggesting moderate scoring history.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 2.5 Goals notes

  • In the last three head-to-head meetings, the average goals scored were 1.67, a moderate figure.
  • However, recent form and BTTS rates suggest an upward trend in goal frequency, especially in friendlies where defensive caution is reduced, supporting the over 2.5 goals trend.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Veles2
Avg goals scored
Arsenal Tula2.4
Veles3
Avg goals conceded
Arsenal Tula1.8
Veles100%
BTTS rate
Arsenal Tula100%
Veles100%
Over 2.5 goals
Arsenal Tula80%

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

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Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Veles

L
Last 50W 0D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 1L
13 Feb 2026A Ska-khabarovsk2-3

Arsenal Tula

DDLWW
Last 52W 2D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 2D 4L
26 Jun 2026A FC Sochi3-3
21 Jun 2026H Spartak Kostroma1-1
17 Jun 2026H Volga Ulyanovsk1-2
20 Feb 2026H Atyrau3-1
14 Feb 2026A Chayka4-2

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Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

1Veles wins
2Draws
0Arsenal Tula wins
06 May 2023Arsenal Tula v Veles1-1
16 Oct 2022Veles v Arsenal Tula1-0
27 Oct 2021Veles v Arsenal Tula1-1

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Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Season team stats

Friendlies Clubs

Veles1
Played
Arsenal Tula9
Veles2
Avg goals for
Arsenal Tula2
Veles3
Avg goals against
Arsenal Tula2.3
Veles0
Clean sheets
Arsenal Tula0

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Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

100%Veles Over 2.5
80%Arsenal Tula Over 2.5
1.67H2H avg goals
In the last three head-to-head meetings, the average goals scored were 1.67, a moderate figure. However, recent form and BTTS rates suggest an upward trend in goal frequency, especially in friendlies where defensive caution is reduced, supporting the over 2.5 goals trend.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.