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Vasco DA Gama crestVasco DA Gama
v
RB Bragantino crestRB Bragantino

Serie A | Mon 25 May, 00:30

Vasco DA Gama v RB Bragantino Stats

Data last updated: Tue 16 Jun 2026, 06:50 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Vasco DA Gama face RB Bragantino in Serie A on Mon 25 May, 00:30. Vasco DA Gama come in with 7 recent points and 1.2 goals per match, while RB Bragantino have 9 points and 1.6 goals per match in the same lens.

BT4Y best bet

RB Bragantino to Win

  • At 3.8, RB Bragantino Win implies roughly 26%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 54%.
  • RB Bragantino have the stronger recent points return, taking 9 points from the sample compared with 7 for Vasco DA Gama.
  • RB Bragantino have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.2 conceded per match, which helps the RB Bragantino Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
  • Vasco DA Gama sit 17 in the table, while RB Bragantino sit 5, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 54% for RB Bragantino Win sits against roughly 26% implied by the current price. RB Bragantino have the stronger recent points return, taking 9 points from the sample compared with 7 for Vasco DA Gama.

Model chance vs price54% model chance against roughly 26% implied
Strong positive
RB Bragantino have the stronger recent points return, taking 9.Visible data support
Positive
RB Bragantino have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.2 conceded.Visible data support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: RB Bragantino Win is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers RB Bragantino have the stronger recent points return, taking 9 points from the sample compared with 7 for Vasco DA Gama. Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Key Data Signals

RB Bragantino Win evidence

RB Bragantino have the stronger recent points return, taking 9 points from the sample compared with 7 for Vasco DA Gama.

RB Bragantino have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.2 conceded per match, which helps the RB Bragantino Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Vasco DA Gama sit 17 in the table, while RB Bragantino sit 5, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

RB Bragantino Win notes

    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    Vasco DA Gama5.4
    Avg corners for
    RB Bragantino4.4
    Vasco DA Gama9.6
    Avg total corners
    RB Bragantino9.2
    Vasco DA Gama2.8
    Avg yellow cards
    RB Bragantino2.4
    Vasco DA Gama18.2
    Avg shots
    RB Bragantino15.2
    Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 57% vs implied 58% · edge -0.9 pts
    1.73
    Check odds @ 1.73
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    Over 5.5 CardsBetMGM guide price
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    Over 9.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.

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    Useful next reads

    Serie A fixtures and predictionscorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesfootball stats hubfootball hubfootball predictions hubbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Vasco DA Gama1.2
    Avg goals scored
    RB Bragantino1.6
    Vasco DA Gama1.6
    Avg goals conceded
    RB Bragantino1.2
    Vasco DA Gama60%
    BTTS rate
    RB Bragantino40%
    Vasco DA Gama60%
    Over 2.5 goals
    RB Bragantino40%
    Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 67% vs implied 52% · edge +14.3 pts
    1.91
    Check odds @ 1.91
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 75%
    1.36
    Check odds @ 1.36
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 57%
    2.08
    Check odds @ 2.08
    Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 39%
    3.75
    Check odds @ 3.75
    Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 48%
    1.73
    Check odds @ 1.73
    BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 37%
    1.91
    Check odds @ 1.91
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickRB Bragantino to WinBetUK guide price · Model 54% vs implied 26% · edge +28.1 pts
    3.8
    Check odds @ 3.8
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    RB Bragantino Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 64%
    2.42
    Check odds @ 2.42
    BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 67%
    1.91
    Check odds @ 1.91
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 57%
    2.08
    Check odds @ 2.08
    RB Bragantino to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Vasco DA Gama

    LWDLW
    Last 52W 1D 2L
    Last 5 record
    Last 104W 3D 3L
    16 May 2026A Internacional1-4
    11 May 2026H Atletico Paranaense1-0
    03 May 2026A Flamengo2-2
    26 Apr 2026A Corinthians0-1
    18 Apr 2026H Sao Paulo2-1

    RB Bragantino

    WLWLW
    Last 53W 0D 2L
    Last 5 record
    Last 105W 0D 5L
    17 May 2026H Vitoria2-0
    10 May 2026A Santos0-2
    03 May 2026A Chapecoense-sc2-1
    26 Apr 2026H Palmeiras0-1
    19 Apr 2026H Remo4-2
    Market aligned with main pickRB Bragantino to WinBetUK guide price · Model 54% vs implied 26% · edge +28.1 pts
    3.8
    Check odds @ 3.8
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    Away / DrawBetfred guide price · model 80%
    1.79
    Check odds @ 1.79
    RB Bragantino Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 64%
    2.42
    Check odds @ 2.42
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    4Vasco DA Gama wins
    3Draws
    3RB Bragantino wins
    26 Oct 2025RB Bragantino v Vasco DA Gama0-3
    01 Jun 2025Vasco DA Gama v RB Bragantino0-2
    03 Aug 2024Vasco DA Gama v RB Bragantino2-2
    17 Apr 2024RB Bragantino v Vasco DA Gama2-1
    07 Dec 2023Vasco DA Gama v RB Bragantino2-1
    15 Aug 2023RB Bragantino v Vasco DA Gama1-1
    Market aligned with main pickRB Bragantino to WinBetUK guide price · Model 54% vs implied 26% · edge +28.1 pts
    3.8
    Check odds @ 3.8
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 67%
    1.91
    Check odds @ 1.91
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 57%
    2.08
    Check odds @ 2.08
    The head-to-head sample gives context for RB Bragantino to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    Season team stats

    Serie A

    Vasco DA Gama18
    Played
    RB Bragantino18
    Vasco DA Gama1.2
    Avg goals for
    RB Bragantino1.4
    Vasco DA Gama1.6
    Avg goals against
    RB Bragantino1.1
    Vasco DA Gama1
    Clean sheets
    RB Bragantino6
    Market aligned with main pickRB Bragantino to WinBetUK guide price · Model 54% vs implied 26% · edge +28.1 pts
    3.8
    Check odds @ 3.8
    Load more odds for this section
    RB Bragantino Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 64%
    2.42
    Check odds @ 2.42
    Season data supports RB Bragantino to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    League standings snapshot

    Current table context.

    PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
    5RB Bragantino29189276
    17Vasco DA Gama2018558-7
    Vasco DA Gama sit in position 17, while RB Bragantino sit in position 5, so table pressure belongs in the RB Bragantino Win assessment.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    60%Vasco DA Gama Over 2.5
    40%RB Bragantino Over 2.5
    3H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Vasco DA Gama sit at 60% and RB Bragantino sit at 40% with the H2H average at 3 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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    Betting context

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