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Vasco DA Gamav
Atletico ParanaenseSerie A | Mon 11 May, 00:30
Vasco DA Gama v Atletico Paranaense Stats
BT4Y best bet
Atletico Paranaense to Win
- At 4.2, Atletico Paranaense to Win is priced at roughly 24% implied probability. Our model has it closer to 52%, so the current line is showing a +28.6-point value edge.
- Vasco DA Gama have a recent record of 1W-2D-2L, while Atletico Paranaense come in at 2W-1D-2L across the same last-five lens.
- The result profile supports the Atletico Paranaense to Win angle: Vasco DA Gama have taken 1 win from their last 5 matches, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded.
- The result profile supports the Atletico Paranaense to Win angle: Atletico Paranaense have taken 2 wins from their last 5 matches, with BTTS landing in 40% of that sample.
- If the bookmaker is still close to 4.2, this is the market to check first because the data and the price are both pointing in the same direction.
Market odds
Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.
Best odds for this sectionAway WinBetMGM guide price · Model 52% vs implied 24% · edge +28.6 pts
4.2
Bet HERE @ 4.2Load more odds for this section
Key match trends
A quick read of the strongest visible indicators.
60%Vasco DA Gama Over 2.5
40%Atletico Paranaense Over 2.5
2.3H2H avg goals
Recent form
Results and scoring shape from recent games.
Vasco DA Gama
DLWDL
Last 51W 2D 2L
Last 5 recordLast 104W 4D 2L
03 May 2026A Flamengo2-2
26 Apr 2026A Corinthians0-1
18 Apr 2026H Sao Paulo2-1
11 Apr 2026A Remo1-1
05 Apr 2026H Botafogo1-2
Atletico Paranaense
DWLWL
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 recordLast 105W 1D 4L
03 May 2026H Gremio0-0
26 Apr 2026H Vitoria3-1
19 Apr 2026A Palmeiras0-1
12 Apr 2026H Chapecoense-sc2-0
05 Apr 2026A Atletico-MG1-2
Best odds for this sectionAway WinBetMGM guide price · Model 52% vs implied 24% · edge +28.6 pts
4.2
Bet HERE @ 4.2Load more odds for this section
Goals, BTTS and over/under
Goal-market data and related prices.
Vasco DA Gama1.2
Avg goals scoredAtletico Paranaense1.2
Vasco DA Gama1.4
Avg goals concededAtletico Paranaense0.8
Vasco DA Gama80%
BTTS rateAtletico Paranaense40%
Vasco DA Gama60%
Over 2.5 goalsAtletico Paranaense40%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 70% vs implied 51% · edge +18.7 pts
1.95
Bet HERE @ 1.95Load more odds for this section
Head-to-head
Recent meetings and related markets.
3Vasco DA Gama wins
2Draws
5Atletico Paranaense wins
12 Sep 2024Atletico Paranaense v Vasco DA Gama2-1
30 Aug 2024Vasco DA Gama v Atletico Paranaense2-1
27 Aug 2024Vasco DA Gama v Atletico Paranaense2-1
05 May 2024Atletico Paranaense v Vasco DA Gama1-0
25 Nov 2023Atletico Paranaense v Vasco DA Gama0-0
23 Jul 2023Vasco DA Gama v Atletico Paranaense0-2
Best odds for this sectionAway WinBetMGM guide price · Model 52% vs implied 24% · edge +28.6 pts
4.2
Bet HERE @ 4.2Load more odds for this section
Corners, cards and shots
Detailed stat markets where available.
Vasco DA Gama5.6
Avg corners forAtletico Paranaense5.4
Vasco DA Gama9.6
Avg total cornersAtletico Paranaense9
Vasco DA Gama2.4
Avg yellow cardsAtletico Paranaense2.8
Vasco DA Gama19.4
Avg shotsAtletico Paranaense13.6
Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 62% vs implied 53% · edge +8.4 pts
1.88
Bet HERE @ 1.88Load more odds for this section
Player stats
Player props and player-level signals.
Load more player angles
K. ViverosAtletico Paranaense · Attacker
Goal threat76/100
Shots /901.95
SOT /901.46
Philippe CoutinhoVasco DA Gama · Midfielder
Goal threat66/100
Shots /903.4
SOT /902.38
A. GómezVasco DA Gama · Midfielder
Goal threat56/100
Shots /902.71
SOT /901.16
AndreyVasco DA Gama · Attacker
Goal threat45/100
Shots /903.21
SOT /903.21
BruninhoAtletico Paranaense · Midfielder
Goal threat41/100
Shots /902.39
SOT /901.86
C. SpinelliVasco DA Gama · Attacker
Goal threat52/100
Shots /904
SOT /901.43
JádsonAtletico Paranaense · Midfielder
Goal threat4/100
Shots /900
SOT /900
B. ZapelliAtletico Paranaense · Midfielder
Goal threat18/100
Shots /901.3
SOT /900.33
Season team stats
Serie A
Vasco DA Gama15
PlayedAtletico Paranaense15
Vasco DA Gama1.4
Avg goals forAtletico Paranaense1.3
Vasco DA Gama1.4
Avg goals againstAtletico Paranaense1.1
Vasco DA Gama1
Clean sheetsAtletico Paranaense4
Best odds for this sectionAway WinBetMGM guide price · Model 52% vs implied 24% · edge +28.6 pts
4.2
Bet HERE @ 4.2Load more odds for this section
League standings snapshot
Current table context.
| Pos | Team | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Atletico Paranaense | 23 | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 4 |
| 8 | Vasco DA Gama | 20 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 0 |
Next step
Betting context
Use the best-bet case above as the starting point, then check the live odds and the full prediction before staking.
