Vardar Skopje

Riga

UEFA Europa Conference League | Wed 22 Jul, 19:00

Vardar Skopje v Riga Stats

Data last updated: Tue 21 Jul 2026, 04:33 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Vardar Skopje face Riga in UEFA Europa Conference League on Wed 22 Jul, 19:00. In this competition context, game state, selection calls and recent rhythm matter more than a simple table position.

BT4Y best bet

Vardar Skopje to Win

At 3.1, Vardar Skopje to Win implies roughly 32%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 43%.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 43% for Vardar Skopje to Win sits against roughly 32% implied by the current price.

Model chance vs price43% model chance against roughly 32% implied

Positive

Price sensitivityEdge +10.7 pts

Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Vardar Skopje Win is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

What To Watch In The Data

Vardar Skopje to Win notes

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickVardar Skopje to WinBetfred guide price · Model 43% vs implied 32% · edge +10.7 pts

3.1

Check odds @ 3.1

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Vardar Skopje Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 54%

2.25

Check odds @ 2.25

Over 8.5 CornersBetUK guide price

1.62

Check odds @ 1.62

Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 50%

1.73

Check odds @ 1.73

BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 50%

1.67

Check odds @ 1.67

Vardar Skopje to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.

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Useful next reads

UEFA Europa Conference League fixtures and predictions player stats betting angles football stats hub football hub football predictions hub best bets research acca fixture filtering

Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

-Vardar Skopje Over 2.5

-Riga Over 2.5

-H2H avg goals

Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Vardar Skopje-

Avg goals scored

Riga-

Vardar Skopje-

Avg goals conceded

Riga-

Vardar Skopje-

BTTS rate

Riga-

Vardar Skopje-

Over 2.5 goals

Riga-

Best odds for this sectionBTTS NoBet365 guide price · Model 54% vs implied 48% · edge +6.4 pts

2.1

Check odds @ 2.1

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Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 54%

2.08

Check odds @ 2.08

Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 68%

1.22

Check odds @ 1.22

Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 50%

1.73

Check odds @ 1.73

BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 50%

1.67

Check odds @ 1.67

Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 32%

2.75

Check odds @ 2.75

BTTS No is more of a watchlist angle than a must-bet; the clean-sheet route needs defensive and away-attacking data to support it.

Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Vardar Skopje

Last 50W 0D 0L

Last 5 record

Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for Vardar Skopje yet.

Riga

Last 50W 0D 0L

Last 5 record

Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for Riga yet.

Market aligned with main pickVardar Skopje to WinBetfred guide price · Model 43% vs implied 32% · edge +10.7 pts

3.1

Check odds @ 3.1

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Home / DrawBetfred guide price · model 73%

1.67

Check odds @ 1.67

Vardar Skopje Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 54%

2.25

Check odds @ 2.25

Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0Vardar Skopje wins

0Draws

0Riga wins

Market aligned with main pickVardar Skopje to WinBetfred guide price · Model 43% vs implied 32% · edge +10.7 pts

3.1

Check odds @ 3.1

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Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 50%

1.73

Check odds @ 1.73

BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 50%

1.67

Check odds @ 1.67

There is no strong recent head-to-head sample for Vardar Skopje to Win, which makes current output, injuries and market timing more important than historic meetings.

Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

UEFA Europa Conference League

Vardar Skopje2

Played

Riga4

Vardar Skopje2

Avg goals for

Riga2.5

Vardar Skopje4

Avg goals against

Riga1.3

Vardar Skopje0

Clean sheets

Riga1

Market aligned with main pickVardar Skopje to WinBetfred guide price · Model 43% vs implied 32% · edge +10.7 pts

3.1

Check odds @ 3.1

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Vardar Skopje Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 54%

2.25

Check odds @ 2.25

Season data supports Vardar Skopje to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

View match centre

Football Stats Hub

Vardar Skopje v Riga Stats

Match Report

Vardar Skopje to Win

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Verdict

What To Watch In The Data

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Riga

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Football Stats Hub

Vardar Skopje v Riga Stats

Match Report

Vardar Skopje to Win

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Verdict

What To Watch In The Data

Continue the research

Vardar Skopje

Riga

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