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Vanuatu crestVanuatu
v
Fiji crestFiji

Friendlies | Sat 06 Jun, 05:30

Vanuatu v Fiji Stats

Data last updated: Fri 05 Jun 2026, 05:21 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

This friendly match between Vanuatu and Fiji offers an intriguing offensive contest despite limited recent data for both sides. Both teams have shown tendencies toward open play in previous encounters, with an average of 3 goals per game in their last seven meetings. Fiji's attacking options, led by forwards like M. Krishna, suggest a potential for goal-scoring opportunities, while Vanuatu's defensive solidity remains uncertain due to scarce data. The match's friendly nature may encourage attacking freedom, increasing the likelihood of multiple goals in this fixture.

BT4Y match pick · price watch

Over 2.5 Goals

  • Price warning: current odds imply about 60%, above the 55% model chance, so this is a football-led pick rather than a clear value bet; reduce stake or wait for a better price.
  • Last seven head-to-head matches average 3 goals per game.
  • Nand is a proven goal threat with 2.73 goals per 90 minutes.
  • Limited recent data for both teams increases uncertainty in defensive assessments.
  • Friendly match context often leads to more open, attacking play.
Price warning

Over 2.5 Goals is still the main football pick, but the current price is short: the market implies about 60% while the model sits nearer 55% (-5.4 pts). Keep staking reduced or wait for a better price unless final team news strengthens the selection. Better value alternative: BTTS No shows a +9.4 pts edge at 2.24.

Why This Pick Is Price-Sensitive

Football case vs market price

The model identifies a moderate 54.8% chance for Over 2.5 Goals, supported by historical head-to-head averages of 3 goals per match. Fiji's attacking players, particularly M. Krishna, contribute to this outlook with their goal-scoring profiles. Although data for both teams is limited, the friendly match setting typically encourages open play and goal opportunities. This combination of factors underpins the selection, though the limited data warrants cautious staking.

Price / value55% model chance vs 60% implied (-5.4 pts)
Negative
Historical H2H Goals3 goals per game average in last 7 matches
Positive
Fiji Attacking ThreatM. Nand with 2.73 goals per 90 minutes
Positive
Data QualityLimited recent data for both teams
Neutral
Match ContextFriendly match encourages open play
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect an open and attacking friendly between Vanuatu and Fiji, with Fiji's forwards likely to create chances. The historical goal average and attacking profiles suggest Over 2.5 Goals is a reasonable expectation, reflecting both sides' offensive potential and the match's open nature.

Main risk

Limited recent data for both teams means defensive tendencies are less certain, increasing unpredictability in goal totals.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Attacking potential and match context

“Fiji's attacking players bring genuine goal threat, and combined with the open nature of a friendly, this fixture is well set for multiple goals despite limited defensive data.”

Key Data Signals

Over 2.5 Goals evidence

Last seven head-to-head matches average 3 goals per game.

Nand is a proven goal threat with 2.73 goals per 90 minutes.

Limited recent data for both teams increases uncertainty in defensive assessments.

Friendly match context often leads to more open, attacking play.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 2.5 Goals notes

  • The last seven meetings between Vanuatu and Fiji have averaged 3 goals per game, indicating a consistent trend toward higher scoring encounters.
  • This trend, combined with the friendly match context, suggests a tempo and openness conducive to Over 2.5 Goals, with both teams likely to engage in attacking play and transitions leading to scoring chances.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

4Vanuatu wins
2Draws
1Fiji wins
17 Nov 2025Vanuatu v Fiji2-0
27 Jun 2024Fiji v Vanuatu1-2
01 Dec 2023Vanuatu v Fiji2-4
20 Mar 2023Fiji v Vanuatu1-2
10 Jun 2019Fiji v Vanuatu0-0
09 Dec 2017Vanuatu v Fiji1-1
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 55% vs implied 60% · edge -5.4 pts
1.66
Check odds @ 1.66
Load more odds for this section
Fiji to WinBet365 guide price · model 41%
2.96
Check odds @ 2.96
DrawBetUK guide price · model 30%
3.8
Check odds @ 3.8
Vanuatu to WinBet365 guide price · model 43%
2.09
Check odds @ 2.09
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 50%
1.56
Check odds @ 1.56
The seven previous matches between Vanuatu and Fiji provide a meaningful sample, averaging 3 goals per game. This historical data supports the expectation of a relatively high-scoring game, reflecting a pattern of open contests between these teams that favors the Over 2.5 Goals selection.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Vanuatu

Last 50W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for Vanuatu yet.

Fiji

Last 50W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for Fiji yet.

Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 71% vs implied 69% · edge +1.6 pts
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Load more odds for this section
Fiji Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 52%
2.14
Check odds @ 2.14
Fiji to WinBet365 guide price · model 41%
2.96
Check odds @ 2.96
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 73%
1.26
Check odds @ 1.26
DrawBetUK guide price · model 30%
3.8
Check odds @ 3.8
Vanuatu Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 54%
1.63
Check odds @ 1.63
Vanuatu to WinBet365 guide price · model 43%
2.09
Check odds @ 2.09
Recent form data is limited for both teams, but the historical tendency for matches between Vanuatu and Fiji to produce multiple goals supports the Over 2.5 Goals selection. The friendly nature of the fixture often leads to less defensive rigidity, increasing the chance of goals in this encounter.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Vanuatu-
Avg goals scored
Fiji-
Vanuatu-
Avg goals conceded
Fiji-
Vanuatu-
BTTS rate
Fiji-
Vanuatu-
Over 2.5 goals
Fiji-
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 55% vs implied 60% · edge -5.4 pts
1.66
Check odds @ 1.66
Load more odds for this section
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 54%
2.24
Check odds @ 2.24
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 49%
2.16
Check odds @ 2.16
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 73%
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
Over 3.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 37%
2.56
Check odds @ 2.56
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 50%
1.56
Check odds @ 1.56
Historical head-to-head data shows an average of 3 goals per game across seven meetings, indicating a tendency for matches between these teams to be relatively high scoring. The attacking profiles of Fiji's forwards further support the likelihood of goals, while the friendly status may encourage open play and goal-scoring opportunities for both sides.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 55% vs implied 60% · edge -5.4 pts
1.66
Check odds @ 1.66
Load more odds for this section
Fiji Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 52%
2.14
Check odds @ 2.14
Fiji to WinBet365 guide price · model 41%
2.96
Check odds @ 2.96
DrawBetUK guide price · model 30%
3.8
Check odds @ 3.8
Vanuatu Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 54%
1.63
Check odds @ 1.63
Vanuatu to WinBet365 guide price · model 43%
2.09
Check odds @ 2.09
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 50%
1.56
Check odds @ 1.56
The Over 2.5 Goals market is priced without explicit but the model's 54.8% chance suggests a moderate probability rather than strong value. Without clear price data, this selection should be viewed as a reasonable expectation rather than a strong value bet, with cautious staking advised given the limited data.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Friendlies

Vanuatu1
Played
Fiji1
Vanuatu2
Avg goals for
Fiji1
Vanuatu1
Avg goals against
Fiji2
Vanuatu0
Clean sheets
Fiji0
Best odds for this sectionFiji Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 52% vs implied 47% · edge +4.8 pts
2.14
Check odds @ 2.14
Load more odds for this section
Fiji to WinBet365 guide price · model 41%
2.96
Check odds @ 2.96
Vanuatu Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 54%
1.63
Check odds @ 1.63
Vanuatu to WinBet365 guide price · model 43%
2.09
Check odds @ 2.09
Season-long data is sparse, but the available head-to-head goal averages and attacking player profiles suggest a propensity for higher scoring games. Both teams' offensive output in previous meetings supports the expectation of Over 2.5 Goals despite limited broader season statistics.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

-Vanuatu Over 2.5
-Fiji Over 2.5
3H2H avg goals
The last seven meetings between Vanuatu and Fiji have averaged 3 goals per game, indicating a consistent trend toward higher scoring encounters. This trend, combined with the friendly match context, suggests a tempo and openness conducive to Over 2.5 Goals, with both teams likely to engage in attacking play and transitions leading to scoring chances.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.