Uzbekistan
ColombiaWorld Cup | Thu 18 Jun, 03:00
Uzbekistan v Colombia Stats
Data last updated: Wed 16 Sep 2026, 13:52 UK timeMatch Report
Fixture analysis
Uzbekistan face Colombia in World Cup on Thu 18 Jun, 03:00. World Cup Group K Opening Test in Mexico City. Uzbekistan have kept 12 clean sheets in their last 20 matches, conceding only 13 goals across that run.
Requires Colombia to win the match within regular time while the total combined score stays at three goals or fewer
- Price warning: current odds imply about 18%, above the 13% model chance, so this is a football-led pick rather than a clear value bet; reduce stake or wait for a better price.
- At 9/2, Requires Colombia to win the match within regular time while the total combined score stays at three goals or fewer implies roughly 18%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 13%.
- Colombia hold a clear attacking advantage with 38 goals in their last 20 outings, yet Uzbekistan's stubborn defence has conceded only 13 goals in.
Requires Colombia to win the match within regular time while the total combined score stays at three goals or fewer is still the main football pick, but the current price is short: the market implies about 18% while the model sits nearer 13% (-5 pts). Keep staking reduced or wait for a better price unless final team news strengthens the selection. Better value alternative: Uzbekistan Draw No Bet shows a +15 pts edge at 5.5.
Why This Pick Is Price-Sensitive
Football case vs market price
The 13% for Requires Colombia to win the match within regular time while the total combined score stays at three goals or fewer sits against roughly 18% implied by the current price. Colombia hold a clear attacking advantage with 38 goals in their last 20 outings, yet Uzbekistan's stubborn defence has conceded only 13 goals in.
Verdict
BT4Y analyst view
BT4Y analyst view: Uzbekistan Win is the preferred angle because colombia hold a clear attacking advantage with that scoring level in their last 20 outings, yet Uzbekistan's stubborn defence has conceded only that scoring level in that same period. That combination of firepower and stubbornness makes them awkward: they can open games up, but they are not simply a chaos team.
That combination of firepower and stubbornness makes them awkward: they can open games up, but they are not simply a chaos team.
Key Data Signals
Requires Colombia to win the match within regular time while the total combined score stays at three goals or fewer evidence
Colombia hold a clear attacking advantage with 38 goals in their last 20 outings, yet Uzbekistan's stubborn defence.
What To Watch In The Data
Requires Colombia to win the match within regular time while the total combined score stays at three goals or fewer notes
Market odds
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Goals, BTTS and over/under
Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.
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Recent form
Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.
Uzbekistan
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Colombia
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Player stats
Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.
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Head-to-head
Recent meetings and how much they still matter.
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Season team stats
World Cup
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League standings snapshot
Current table context.
| Pos | Team | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colombia | 7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Uzbekistan | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -9 |
Key match trends
Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.
Next step
Betting context
Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.
