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Utrecht crestUtrecht
v
NEC Nijmegen crestNEC Nijmegen

Eredivisie | Sun 08 Nov, 19:00

Utrecht v NEC Nijmegen Stats

Data last updated: Sat 07 Nov 2026, 04:36 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Utrecht hosts NEC Nijmegen in an Eredivisie clash where both teams have shown tendencies for active wing play and set-piece involvement, setting the stage for a high-corner count encounter. Utrecht's recent matches feature aggressive wide attacks and sustained pressure, while NEC Nijmegen counters with quick transitions and frequent wide deliveries. Both sides have moderate league positions and similar points tallies, indicating a competitive fixture with open play likely. The tactical setup and recent form suggest a lively match with frequent corner opportunities from crosses and defensive clearances.

BT4Y best bet

Over 9.5 Corners

  • Utrecht averages 6 corners per game, NEC Nijmegen 8, combining for a strong corner count.
  • Both teams favor wing play and crossing, increasing corner likelihood.
  • Recent form shows Utrecht and NEC Nijmegen matches often exceed 9.5 corners.
  • Defensive styles and fouling patterns contribute to set-piece frequency.
  • Player roles include attackers who win fouls and defenders who concede corners regularly.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model rates Over 9.5 Corners at a 69% chance, reflecting both teams' attacking styles and corner generation rates. Utrecht's average of 6 corners per game and NEC Nijmegen's 8 combine for a high total, supported by their recent matches frequently surpassing this corner threshold. The match tempo and wing-focused tactics create repeated crossing and defensive clearances, driving corner opportunities. The at 1.67 offer positive value with a 9.1% edge, making this a statistically and tactically sound selection for corner betting.

Utrecht average corners6 per game
Strong positive
NEC Nijmegen average corners8 per game
Strong positive
Model corner chance69%
Strong positive
Odds value edge69% model chance vs 59.9% implied (+9.1 pts)
Positive
Recent form corner frequencyHigh
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect a match with frequent wing attacks and set-piece situations as Utrecht and NEC Nijmegen both generate high corner counts. The tactical emphasis on wide play and pressing leads to numerous defensive clearances and fouls near the box, supporting the Over 9.5 Corners selection. Data confirms both teams consistently produce matches with elevated corner totals, making this bet well aligned with the match dynamics and recent trends.

Main risk

Corner volume can be sterile if territory does not become shots, crosses or repeat box entries.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · corner market analysis

“This fixture features two sides that rely heavily on wing play and crossing, naturally leading to a high volume of corners. The statistical corner averages and tactical patterns strongly suggest a lively contest with plenty of set-piece opportunities.”

Key Data Signals

Over 9.5 Corners evidence

Utrecht averages 6 corners per game, NEC Nijmegen 8, combining for a strong corner count.

Both teams favor wing play and crossing, increasing corner likelihood.

Recent form shows Utrecht and NEC Nijmegen matches often exceed 9.5 corners.

Defensive styles and fouling patterns contribute to set-piece frequency.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 9.5 Corners notes

  • Over the last ten matches, the average goals per game between these teams is 2.1, indicating moderate scoring but a tempo that encourages wing attacks and transitions.
  • This tempo supports a high corner count through sustained pressure and defensive clearances.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Utrecht1.6
Avg goals scored
NEC Nijmegen1.2
Utrecht2.4
Avg goals conceded
NEC Nijmegen1.4
Utrecht80%
BTTS rate
NEC Nijmegen80%
Utrecht80%
Over 2.5 goals
NEC Nijmegen40%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 76% vs implied 69% · edge +6.6 pts
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Load more odds for this section
Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 81%
1.14
Check odds @ 1.14
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 63%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Under 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 41%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 45%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 28%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
While goal scoring is moderate, both teams' matches show a strong correlation between open play and set-piece creation. The 80% BTTS rate for Utrecht and 80% for NEC Nijmegen suggests attacking intent that often translates into wing play and corners, even if goals are not prolific.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 76% vs implied 69% · edge +6.6 pts
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Load more odds for this section
Utrecht Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 63%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Utrecht to WinBetMGM guide price · model 54%
2.45
Check odds @ 2.45
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 75%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 63%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 27%
3.8
Check odds @ 3.8
NEC Nijmegen Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
The 69% for Over 9.5 Corners sits against roughly 59.9% implied by the current price (+9.1 pts). NEC Nijmegen lead the corner sample at 8 per match, with Utrecht lower at 6.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Utrecht

LDWWL
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 3D 4L
01 Nov 2026A Telstar2-4
24 Oct 2026H PEC Zwolle1-1
18 Oct 2026A Twente2-1
11 Oct 2026H Willem II3-1
20 Sep 2026A Feyenoord0-5

NEC Nijmegen

LDDDD
Last 50W 4D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 5D 3L
31 Oct 2026A Heerenveen0-1
25 Oct 2026H Groningen2-2
18 Oct 2026H Fortuna Sittard2-2
10 Oct 2026A Ajax1-1
20 Sep 2026H GO Ahead Eagles1-1
Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBetUK guide price · Model 80% vs implied 69% · edge +10.9 pts
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Load more odds for this section
Utrecht Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 63%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Utrecht to WinBetMGM guide price · model 54%
2.45
Check odds @ 2.45
Away / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 57%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 27%
3.8
Check odds @ 3.8
NEC Nijmegen Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
NEC Nijmegen to WinBetMGM guide price · model 30%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
Recent matches for both Utrecht and NEC Nijmegen have featured elevated corner counts, with Utrecht's games exceeding 9.5 corners 80% of the time. NEC Nijmegen's matches show a slightly lower but still significant corner frequency, reinforcing the likelihood of a high-corner game in this fixture.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

80%Utrecht Over 2.5
40%NEC Nijmegen Over 2.5
2.1H2H avg goals
Over the last ten matches, the average goals per game between these teams is 2.1, indicating moderate scoring but a tempo that encourages wing attacks and transitions. This tempo supports a high corner count through sustained pressure and defensive clearances.

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