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Utrecht crestUtrecht
v
De Graafschap crestDe Graafschap

Friendlies Clubs | Sat 27 Jun, 10:00

Utrecht v De Graafschap Stats

Data last updated: Fri 26 Jun 2026, 04:22 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Utrecht face De Graafschap in Friendlies Clubs on Sat 27 Jun, 10:00. In this competition context, game state, selection calls and recent rhythm matter more than a simple table position.

BT4Y best bet

Under 2.5 Goals

  • At 3.55, Under 2.5 Goals implies roughly 28%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 53%.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 53% for Under 2.5 Goals sits against roughly 28% implied by the current price.

Model chance vs price53% model chance against roughly 28% implied
Strong positive
Price sensitivityEdge +24.3 pts
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Under 2.5 Goals is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

What To Watch In The Data

Under 2.5 Goals notes

  • The goal line needs both attacking patterns to create box entries, transitions or set-piece pressure.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

3Utrecht wins
3Draws
2De Graafschap wins
17 Feb 2019De Graafschap v Utrecht0-1
25 Nov 2018Utrecht v De Graafschap5-0
20 Apr 2016Utrecht v De Graafschap0-2
05 Dec 2015De Graafschap v Utrecht0-1
12 Apr 2012De Graafschap v Utrecht3-0
14 Aug 2011Utrecht v De Graafschap2-2
Best odds for this sectionDe Graafschap to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 41% vs implied 23% · edge +17.9 pts
4.33
Check odds @ 4.33
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DrawBetfred guide price · model 30%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 52%
1.27
Check odds @ 1.27
Utrecht to WinBetMGM guide price · model 43%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
The head-to-head sample gives context for De Graafschap to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Utrecht

Last 50W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for Utrecht yet.

De Graafschap

Last 50W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for De Graafschap yet.

Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetUK guide price · Model 71% vs implied 45% · edge +25.8 pts
2.21
Check odds @ 2.21
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De Graafschap Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 52%
3.8
Check odds @ 3.8
De Graafschap to WinBetMGM guide price · model 41%
4.33
Check odds @ 4.33
DrawBetfred guide price · model 30%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 73%
1.08
Check odds @ 1.08
Utrecht Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 54%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
Utrecht to WinBetMGM guide price · model 43%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Utrecht-
Avg goals scored
De Graafschap-
Utrecht-
Avg goals conceded
De Graafschap-
Utrecht-
BTTS rate
De Graafschap-
Utrecht-
Over 2.5 goals
De Graafschap-
Market aligned with main pickUnder 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 53% vs implied 28% · edge +24.3 pts
3.55
Check odds @ 3.55
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Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 52%
1.27
Check odds @ 1.27
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 34%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionDe Graafschap Draw No BetBetUK guide price · Model 52% vs implied 26% · edge +25.2 pts
3.8
Check odds @ 3.8
Load more odds for this section
De Graafschap to WinBetMGM guide price · model 41%
4.33
Check odds @ 4.33
DrawBetfred guide price · model 30%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Utrecht Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 54%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 52%
1.27
Check odds @ 1.27
Utrecht to WinBetMGM guide price · model 43%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
De Graafschap Draw No Bet is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Friendlies Clubs

Utrecht1
Played
De Graafschap1
Utrecht1
Avg goals for
De Graafschap2
Utrecht2
Avg goals against
De Graafschap1
Utrecht0
Clean sheets
De Graafschap0
Best odds for this sectionDe Graafschap Draw No BetBetUK guide price · Model 52% vs implied 26% · edge +25.2 pts
3.8
Check odds @ 3.8
Load more odds for this section
De Graafschap to WinBetMGM guide price · model 41%
4.33
Check odds @ 4.33
Utrecht Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 54%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
Utrecht to WinBetMGM guide price · model 43%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Season data supports De Graafschap Draw No Bet when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

-Utrecht Over 2.5
-De Graafschap Over 2.5
2.5H2H avg goals

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

Football predictions hub

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Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

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