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USA crestUSA
v
Belgium crestBelgium

World Cup | Tue 07 Jul, 01:00

USA v Belgium Stats

Data last updated: Sun 16 Aug 2026, 16:18 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

USA face Belgium in World Cup on Tue 07 Jul, 01:00. USA come in with 9 recent points and 2.5 goals per match, while Belgium have 8 points and 2.25 goals per match in the same lens. In this competition context, game state, selection calls and recent rhythm matter more than a simple table position.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • At 2.62, Both Teams to Score implies roughly 38%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 53%.
  • USA show a 50% BTTS rate and Belgium show a 75% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
  • USA average 2.5 goals scored and Belgium average 2.25, so both attacking contributions need separating.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 53% for Both Teams to Score sits against roughly 38% implied by the current price. USA show a 50% BTTS rate and Belgium show a 75% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.

Model chance vs price53% model chance against roughly 38% implied
Strong positive
USA show a 50% BTTS rate and Belgium show a.Visible data support
Positive
USA average 2.5 goals scored and Belgium average 2.25, so.Visible data support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Both Teams To Score is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers USA show a 50% BTTS rate and Belgium show a 75% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market. Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Main risk

Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

USA show a 50% BTTS rate and Belgium show a 75% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.

USA average 2.5 goals scored and Belgium average 2.25, so both attacking contributions need separating.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

  • Compare both teams on scoring rate and clean-sheet record before trusting Both Teams To Score.
  • Use shots on target to decide whether attacking involvement is shared or one-sided.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

USA5.75
Avg corners for
Belgium4.5
USA8.25
Avg total corners
Belgium8.5
USA1.25
Avg yellow cards
Belgium1
USA13
Avg shots
Belgium23
Best odds for this sectionOver 3.5 CardsBet365 guide price · Model 53% vs implied 48% · edge +5 pts
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
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Over 10.5 CornersBetMGM guide price
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Over 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 48%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 54%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Over 3.5 Cards needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.

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Useful next reads

World Cup hubUSA v Belgium predictioncorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesfootball stats hubfootball hubfootball predictions hubbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

USA2.5
Avg goals scored
Belgium2.25
USA1
Avg goals conceded
Belgium1
USA50%
BTTS rate
Belgium75%
USA50%
Over 2.5 goals
Belgium50%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 53% vs implied 38% · edge +15 pts
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
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Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.2
Check odds @ 1.2
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 58%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Under 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 46%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Over 3.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 40%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 33%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 53% vs implied 38% · edge +15 pts
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
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USA Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 59%
1.98
Check odds @ 1.98
USA to WinBet365 guide price · model 49%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Over 3.5 CardsBet365 guide price · model 53%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 58%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Belgium to WinBetMGM guide price · model 35%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
DrawBet365 guide price · model 28%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
BTTS Yes is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

USA

WLWW
Last 53W 0D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 0D 1L
02 Jul 2026H Bosnia & Herzegovina2-0
26 Jun 2026A Türkiye2-3
19 Jun 2026H Australia2-0
13 Jun 2026H Paraguay4-1

Belgium

WWDD
Last 52W 2D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 2D 0L
01 Jul 2026H Senegal3-2
27 Jun 2026A New Zealand5-1
21 Jun 2026H Iran0-0
15 Jun 2026H Egypt1-1
Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 77% vs implied 71% · edge +5.8 pts
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
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USA Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 59%
1.98
Check odds @ 1.98
USA to WinBet365 guide price · model 49%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 63%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Belgium to WinBetMGM guide price · model 35%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
DrawBet365 guide price · model 28%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Belgium Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.82
Check odds @ 1.82
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0USA wins
0Draws
2Belgium wins
28 Mar 2026USA v Belgium2-5
01 Jul 2014Belgium v USA2-1
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 53% vs implied 38% · edge +15 pts
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
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USA to WinBet365 guide price · model 49%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 58%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Belgium to WinBetMGM guide price · model 35%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
DrawBet365 guide price · model 28%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
The head-to-head sample gives context for BTTS Yes, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
Season team stats

World Cup

USA5
Played
Belgium6
USA2.2
Avg goals for
Belgium2.3
USA1.6
Avg goals against
Belgium1.2
USA2
Clean sheets
Belgium1
Best odds for this sectionUSA Draw No BetBetfred guide price · Model 59% vs implied 51% · edge +8.4 pts
1.98
Check odds @ 1.98
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USA to WinBet365 guide price · model 49%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Belgium to WinBetMGM guide price · model 35%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Belgium Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.82
Check odds @ 1.82
Season data supports USA Draw No Bet when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
1USA632014
1Belgium531204
World Cup standings are background only here: the useful read is whether the form and chance profile translate into control, territory and clear openings in this specific fixture.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

50%USA Over 2.5
50%Belgium Over 2.5
5H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: USA sit at 50% and Belgium sit at 50% with the H2H average at 5 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

USA v Belgium prediction

Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

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Competition and hubs

World Cup hubWorld Cup hubUSA v Belgium predictioncorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesfootball stats hub

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

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