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Universitatea Craiova crestUniversitatea Craiova
v
Levski Sofia crestLevski Sofia

UEFA Champions League | Wed 29 Jul, 18:30

Universitatea Craiova v Levski Sofia Stats

Data last updated: Tue 28 Jul 2026, 05:20 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Levski Sofia hosts Universitatea Craiova in the first leg of the UEFA Champions League second qualifying round, a clash between two domestic champions in strong form. Both teams have been unbeaten in their recent six matches and display potent attacking capabilities, with Levski boasting a formidable home record and Craiova showing prolific shot volume and goal-scoring efficiency. The midfield battle promises to be tight, with possession and tempo likely balanced. Tactical discipline and game management will be crucial as both sides seek to gain an advantage without conceding early, setting the stage for a closely contested encounter.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • Levski Sofia has won 9 of 10 home matches in 2026, scoring multiple goals in 6 of those games.
  • Universitatea Craiova averages 17 shots per game over their last six matches, scoring 15 goals in that span.
  • Both teams have averaged 2.5 goals per match in their current Champions League campaigns.
  • Recent form shows both sides unbeaten in six matches, indicating strong attacking and defensive balance.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The Both Teams to Score pick is supported by balanced attacking strengths and recent form data. Levski Sofia's home control and efficient finishing combine with Universitatea Craiova's high shot volume and goal conversion to suggest goals at both ends. The model assigns a 55.5% chance, slightly above the implied , indicating a modest . The close possession stats and tactical setups imply both teams will create scoring opportunities, making BTTS a logical choice. No price warning is needed as the fairly reflect the football read.

Model Chance55.5%
Positive
Implied Odds Chance52.4%
Neutral
Recent FormBoth teams unbeaten, strong scoring records
Positive
Shot VolumeCraiova averages 17 shots per game, Levski 12.8
Positive
Main risk

That level of finishing is unlikely to be repeated every week, but it underlines an important quality: when Levski finally created clear openings, they were decisive.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Both Teams to Score rationale

“Levski Sofia’s home pressure combined with Universitatea Craiova’s high shot volume creates a compelling scenario for goals from both sides. Their balanced midfield battle and attacking roles indicate this fixture will be open and competitive.”

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

Levski Sofia has won 9 of 10 home matches in 2026, scoring multiple goals in 6 of those games.

Universitatea Craiova averages 17 shots per game over their last six matches, scoring 15 goals in that span.

Both teams have averaged 2.5 goals per match in their current Champions League campaigns.

Recent form shows both sides unbeaten in six matches, indicating strong attacking and defensive balance.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

  • Over the last six matches, both teams have averaged 2.5 goals per game, indicating a trend toward open, goal-rich encounters.
  • The balanced possession and attacking styles suggest a tempo conducive to multiple scoring opportunities, supporting the likelihood of over 2.5 goals in this fixture.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Universitatea Craiova2
Avg corners for
Levski Sofia7
Universitatea Craiova3
Avg total corners
Levski Sofia9
Universitatea Craiova0
Avg yellow cards
Levski Sofia0
Universitatea Craiova4
Avg shots
Levski Sofia12
Best odds for this sectionOver 10.5 CornersBetUK guide price · Highlighted because this is the strongest available price in this section.
3
Check odds @ 3
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Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 46%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Over 9.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 40%
2
Check odds @ 2
Levski Sofia averages 7 corners per match and 12 shots, indicating sustained pressure and attacking intent at home. The low card count suggests disciplined play, which may maintain attacking flow. Craiova’s high shot volume complements this, pointing to an open game with multiple shooting and set-piece opportunities.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Universitatea Craiova1.67
Avg goals scored
Levski Sofia2
Universitatea Craiova0.67
Avg goals conceded
Levski Sofia0.33
Universitatea Craiova33%
BTTS rate
Levski Sofia33%
Universitatea Craiova33%
Over 2.5 goals
Levski Sofia33%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 56% vs implied 55% · edge +0.9 pts
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
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Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 66%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 49%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 22%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 34%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 52%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Both teams have averaged 2.5 goals per match in their Champions League campaigns, with Levski scoring in 9 of 10 home games and Craiova producing 15 goals in six matches. Their attacking efficiency and balanced possession imply a high likelihood of goals at both ends, reinforcing the BTTS selection.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 56% vs implied 55% · edge +0.9 pts
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
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Levski Sofia Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 54%
2.6
Check odds @ 2.6
Levski Sofia to WinBetMGM guide price · model 40%
4
Check odds @ 4
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 27%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 46%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 34%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Universitatea Craiova Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 45%
1.48
Check odds @ 1.48
The Both Teams to Score market is priced at 1.91, reflecting a fair valuation with a slight model edge of 3.1%. This suggests a modest value opportunity as the football context supports goals from both sides given their attacking patterns and recent scoring consistency. The are stable and do not require caution for price sensitivity.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Universitatea Craiova

LWW
Last 52W 0D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 0D 1L
22 Jul 2026A Levski Sofia0-1
15 Jul 2026H ML Vitebsk1-0
08 Jul 2026A ML Vitebsk4-1

Levski Sofia

WWD
Last 52W 1D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 1D 0L
22 Jul 2026H Universitatea Craiova1-0
14 Jul 2026H Borac Banja Luka4-0
07 Jul 2026A Borac Banja Luka1-1
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 70% vs implied 55% · edge +15 pts
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
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Levski Sofia Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 54%
2.6
Check odds @ 2.6
Levski Sofia to WinBetMGM guide price · model 40%
4
Check odds @ 4
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 27%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 62%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
Universitatea Craiova Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 45%
1.48
Check odds @ 1.48
Universitatea Craiova to WinBetUK guide price · model 35%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Both teams enter the match unbeaten in their last six fixtures, with Levski scoring 10 goals and conceding only 2, and Craiova netting 15 while conceding 4. This strong recent form highlights their attacking potency and defensive resilience, supporting the expectation of goals from both sides.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0Universitatea Craiova wins
0Draws
1Levski Sofia wins
22 Jul 2026Levski Sofia v Universitatea Craiova1-0
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 56% vs implied 55% · edge +0.9 pts
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
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Levski Sofia to WinBetMGM guide price · model 40%
4
Check odds @ 4
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 27%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 34%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Universitatea Craiova to WinBetUK guide price · model 35%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
No previous head-to-head meetings exist between these teams, so historical data offers limited insight. The focus shifts to current form, tactical setups, and player roles to assess the match dynamics and goal-scoring potential.
Season team stats

UEFA Champions League

Universitatea Craiova3
Played
Levski Sofia3
Universitatea Craiova1.7
Avg goals for
Levski Sofia2
Universitatea Craiova0.7
Avg goals against
Levski Sofia0.3
Universitatea Craiova1
Clean sheets
Levski Sofia2
Best odds for this sectionLevski Sofia Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 54% vs implied 39% · edge +15 pts
2.6
Check odds @ 2.6
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Levski Sofia to WinBetMGM guide price · model 40%
4
Check odds @ 4
Universitatea Craiova Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 45%
1.48
Check odds @ 1.48
Universitatea Craiova to WinBetUK guide price · model 35%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Levski Sofia’s season stats show a strong home scoring record with multiple goals in most matches, while Craiova’s season is marked by prolific shot creation and efficient finishing. Both teams maintain solid defensive records, indicating a balanced contest where both sides can find the net but also contain threats effectively.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

33%Universitatea Craiova Over 2.5
33%Levski Sofia Over 2.5
1H2H avg goals
Over the last six matches, both teams have averaged 2.5 goals per game, indicating a trend toward open, goal-rich encounters. The balanced possession and attacking styles suggest a tempo conducive to multiple scoring opportunities, supporting the likelihood of over 2.5 goals in this fixture.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.