Football Stats Hub

Universitatea Craiova crestUniversitatea Craiova
v
KuPS crestKuPS

UEFA Europa League | Thu 13 Aug, 18:00

Universitatea Craiova v KuPS Stats

Data last updated: Wed 12 Aug 2026, 08:41 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

The UEFA Europa League third qualifying round second leg between Universitatea Craiova and KuPS is finely poised after a 1-1 draw in Finland. Craiova, playing at Stadionul Ion Oblemenco, hold territorial advantage with strong home form and high shot volumes, while KuPS arrive unbeaten in 13 league matches with the strongest attack in their domestic league. Craiova's midfield duo of Cicaldau and Mekvabishvili are expected to control tempo, countered by KuPS's potent frontline including Moreno and the returning Armah. Defensive vulnerabilities on both sides suggest an open contest where both teams have realistic scoring opportunities.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • Universitatea Craiova average 1.89 goals per game with 63% of shots inside the box.
  • KuPS lead Veikkausliiga with 34 goals in 19 matches and strong away form.
  • Craiova conceded 11 goals in nine matches, showing defensive volatility.
  • KuPS have won five of their last six away fixtures, indicating attacking threat on the road.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

Both teams show strong attacking credentials and defensive vulnerabilities that support goals at both ends. Craiova's high shot volume and possession control contrast with KuPS's potent away attack and unbeaten domestic run. The model assigns a 76% chance to both teams scoring, well above the implied 45.5% , indicating clear value. This pick reflects the tactical balance and recent form data, although the defensive lapses on both sides mean the match could be open and competitive.

Craiova Offensive Output1.89 goals/game with 63% shots inside box
Strong positive
KuPS Attack Strength34 goals in 19 league matches
Strong positive
Defensive VulnerabilityCraiova conceded 11 goals in 9 matches
Positive
KuPS Away Form5 wins in last 6 away games
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Both teams possess the attacking quality and defensive weaknesses to find the net in this tightly balanced Europa League tie. Craiova's home control and KuPS's strong away record set the stage for goals at both ends, making the BTTS market a tactically sound choice supported by recent form and player quality.

Main risk

That should give Filipe Coelho’s side , but not comfort.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Both Teams to Score

“This fixture's tactical balance and attacking firepower on both sides make a Both Teams to Score selection compelling, as defensive vulnerabilities and offensive efficiency converge in a likely open game.”

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

Universitatea Craiova average 1.89 goals per game with 63% of shots inside the box.

KuPS lead Veikkausliiga with 34 goals in 19 matches and strong away form.

Craiova conceded 11 goals in nine matches, showing defensive volatility.

KuPS have won five of their last six away fixtures, indicating attacking threat on the road.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

  • The single previous meeting ended 1-1 with only one shot on target allowed by Craiova, indicating a tight defensive battle.
  • However, season-long trends show both teams regularly involved in matches with multiple goals, suggesting Over 2.5 goals is plausible given attacking intent and defensive lapses.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Universitatea Craiova1
Avg goals scored
KuPS1
Universitatea Craiova1
Avg goals conceded
KuPS1
Universitatea Craiova100%
BTTS rate
KuPS100%
Universitatea Craiova0%
Over 2.5 goals
KuPS0%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 61% vs implied 46% · edge +15 pts
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Load more odds for this section
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 66%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 22%
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 34%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 52%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 28%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Both teams have demonstrated consistent scoring ability with Craiova averaging nearly two goals per game and KuPS leading their league in goals scored. Defensive lapses on both sides increase the likelihood of goals at both ends, supporting the BTTS selection as a realistic outcome for this match.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Universitatea Craiova

D
Last 50W 1D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 1D 0L
06 Aug 2026A KuPS1-1

KuPS

D
Last 50W 1D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 1D 0L
06 Aug 2026H Universitatea Craiova1-1
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 51% vs implied 36% · edge +15 pts
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Load more odds for this section
KuPS Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 37%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
KuPS to WinBetMGM guide price · model 28%
7.5
Check odds @ 7.5
DrawBet365 guide price · model 30%
3.9
Check odds @ 3.9
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 73%
1.07
Check odds @ 1.07
Universitatea Craiova Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 54%
1.19
Check odds @ 1.19
Universitatea Craiova to WinBetUK guide price · model 43%
1.42
Check odds @ 1.42
Both teams scored in their most recent matches, maintaining a 100% BTTS rate in recent games. Craiova's home form includes three wins in five matches, while KuPS remain unbeaten in 13 league fixtures, highlighting momentum on both sides that supports goals from each team in this fixture.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 61% vs implied 46% · edge +15 pts
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Load more odds for this section
KuPS Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 37%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
KuPS to WinBetMGM guide price · model 28%
7.5
Check odds @ 7.5
DrawBet365 guide price · model 30%
3.9
Check odds @ 3.9
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 34%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Universitatea Craiova Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 54%
1.19
Check odds @ 1.19
Universitatea Craiova to WinBetUK guide price · model 43%
1.42
Check odds @ 1.42
The Both Teams to Score market is priced at 2.2 with an implied probability of 45.5%, while the model estimates a 76% chance, indicating strong value. This price reflects market recognition of both sides' attacking potential and defensive frailties, making it a positive value bet without price sensitivity concerns.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Universitatea Craiova2
Avg corners for
KuPS6
Universitatea Craiova8
Avg total corners
KuPS8
Universitatea Craiova1
Avg yellow cards
KuPS2
Universitatea Craiova0
Avg shots
KuPS0
Best odds for this sectionOver 10.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · Highlighted because this is the strongest available price in this section.
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
Load more odds for this section
Over 9.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 29%
2
Check odds @ 2
KuPS average higher corners per game (6) compared to Craiova (2), reflecting their attacking pressure on the road. Both teams have moderate yellow card averages, with KuPS slightly higher, indicating a competitive match with fouls and set-piece opportunities that can influence shot volume and goal chances.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0Universitatea Craiova wins
1Draws
0KuPS wins
06 Aug 2026KuPS v Universitatea Craiova1-1
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 61% vs implied 46% · edge +15 pts
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Load more odds for this section
KuPS to WinBetMGM guide price · model 28%
7.5
Check odds @ 7.5
DrawBet365 guide price · model 30%
3.9
Check odds @ 3.9
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 34%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Universitatea Craiova to WinBetUK guide price · model 43%
1.42
Check odds @ 1.42
The only prior meeting between these sides ended in a 1-1 draw, showing a balanced contest defensively and offensively. This limited sample supports a cautious view but combined with current form and attacking metrics, it suggests both teams have the capacity to score again in this fixture.
Season team stats

UEFA Europa League

Universitatea Craiova1
Played
KuPS1
Universitatea Craiova1
Avg goals for
KuPS1
Universitatea Craiova1
Avg goals against
KuPS1
Universitatea Craiova0
Clean sheets
KuPS0
Best odds for this sectionKuPS Draw No BetBetUK guide price · Model 37% vs implied 22% · edge +15 pts
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
Load more odds for this section
KuPS to WinBetMGM guide price · model 28%
7.5
Check odds @ 7.5
Universitatea Craiova Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 54%
1.19
Check odds @ 1.19
Universitatea Craiova to WinBetUK guide price · model 43%
1.42
Check odds @ 1.42
Craiova's season stats show a high average of shots and dangerous attacks per game, translating into 17 goals in nine matches but also 11 conceded, reflecting defensive instability. KuPS's league-leading 34 goals and solid defensive record with multiple clean sheets indicate a strong attacking and balanced defensive profile, reinforcing the likelihood of goals at both ends.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

0%Universitatea Craiova Over 2.5
0%KuPS Over 2.5
2H2H avg goals
The single previous meeting ended 1-1 with only one shot on target allowed by Craiova, indicating a tight defensive battle. However, season-long trends show both teams regularly involved in matches with multiple goals, suggesting Over 2.5 goals is plausible given attacking intent and defensive lapses.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.