Union St. Gilloise
GenkJupiler Pro League | Sun 08 Nov, 17:30
Union St. Gilloise v Genk Stats
Data last updated: Sun 08 Nov 2026, 14:33 UK timeMatch Report
Fixture analysis
Gilloise and Genk meet in a Jupiler Pro League clash where both teams show attacking intent and solid recent form. Gilloise sit second in the table with 26 points, demonstrating strong offensive and defensive balance, while Genk, ranked sixth with 15 points, have been less prolific but maintain a competitive edge. Both sides average over 7 corners per game combined, reflecting active wing play and territorial battles. This fixture promises a dynamic contest with sustained pressure and frequent set-piece opportunities, setting the stage for a high corner count.
Over 9.5 Corners
- Gilloise average 7.6 corners per match, Genk 6.2, combining for nearly 14 corners on average.
- Both teams maintain a 60% rate of matches exceeding 2.5 goals, indicating open play and attacking pressure.
- Gilloise average 19.8 shots per game with 8.2 on target, Genk 18.6 shots with 5 on target, showing offensive activity.
- Genk's higher average of 2.4 yellow cards per game suggests aggressive play that can lead to more set-piece opportunities.
- The model assigns a 69% chance for over 9.5 corners, indicating strong statistical support for this market.
Why The Model Likes This Bet
Chance, price and football numbers
The model favors Over 9.5 Corners with a 69% probability, well above the 55.6% implied by current , signaling clear value. Both teams generate high corner counts through sustained attacking pressure and wide play, supported by Union St. Gilloise's 7.6 and Genk's 6.2 average corners per game. The match tempo and aggressive defensive styles, especially Genk's fouling frequency, contribute to frequent set-piece situations. is high at 84%, reflecting consistent corner trends and shot volumes. No data limitations affect this analysis, making the corner market a compelling angle.
Verdict
BT4Y analyst view
Expect a lively encounter with both Union St. Gilloise and Genk pushing wide and creating set-piece chances, driving the corner count above 9.5. Gilloise's strong home form and Genk's aggressive defensive style combine to produce frequent corners, making this a tactically sound and statistically supported bet.
Corner volume can be sterile if territory does not become shots, crosses or repeat box entries.
Quote from Expert
BT4Y analyst view · corners market
“This fixture features two teams that rely heavily on wing play and pressing, naturally generating numerous corners. The statistical edge for over 9.5 corners is clear given their attacking patterns and defensive fouling tendencies.”
Key Data Signals
Over 9.5 Corners evidence
Gilloise average 7.6 corners per match, Genk 6.2, combining for nearly 14 corners on average.
Both teams maintain a 60% rate of matches exceeding 2.5 goals, indicating open play and attacking pressure.
Gilloise average 19.8 shots per game with 8.2 on target, Genk 18.6 shots with 5 on target, showing offensive activity.
What To Watch In The Data
Over 9.5 Corners notes
- Over the last ten head-to-head meetings, the average goals stand at 2.3, with both teams showing a tendency for open play and attacking transitions.
- This tempo supports sustained pressure on flanks and frequent corner situations, aligning with the over 2.5 goals trend and the high corner count forecast.
Goals, BTTS and over/under
Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.
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Market odds
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Recent form
Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.
Union St. Gilloise
Genk
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Key match trends
Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.
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