Union Berlin
FC AugsburgBundesliga | Tue 02 Mar, 19:30
Union Berlin v FC Augsburg Stats
Data last updated: Sat 07 Nov 2026, 20:33 UK timeMatch Report
Fixture analysis
Union Berlin face FC Augsburg in Bundesliga on Tue 02 Mar, 19:30. Between them, they have conceded 115 league goals. Augsburg arrive unbeaten in their last five matches, winning three of them.
On whether the game ends in a home win (1), a draw (X), or an away win (2) after 90 minutes
- On whether the game ends in a home win (1), a draw (X), or an away win (2) after 90 minutes is rated around 56% by the current BT4Y model.
- With both defences having conceded over 55 goals this season, clean sheets are unlikely.
- Union Berlin have the stronger recent points return, taking 6 points from the sample compared with 2 for FC Augsburg.
- Union Berlin have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.8 conceded per match, which helps the On whether the game ends in a home win (1), a draw (X), or an away win (2) after.
- Union Berlin sit 16 in the table, while FC Augsburg sit 12, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.
Why The Model Likes This Bet
Chance, price and football numbers
The model rates On whether the game ends in a home win (1), a draw (X), or an away win (2) after 90 minutes around 56% on the latest available numbers. Union Berlin have the stronger recent points return, taking 6 points from the sample compared with 2 for FC Augsburg. With both defences having conceded over 55 goals this season, clean sheets are unlikely.
Verdict
BT4Y analyst view
BT4Y analyst view: Union Berlin Win is the preferred angle because with both defences having conceded over that scoring level this season, clean sheets are unlikely. Union Berlin have the stronger recent points return, taking 6 points from the sample compared with 2 for FC Augsburg. However, the history of cagey meetings between these specific teams suggests a 1-1 stalemate is the most plausible outcome as neither side wants to end with a loss.
However, the history of cagey meetings between these specific teams suggests a 1-1 stalemate is the most plausible outcome as neither side wants to end with a loss.
Key Data Signals
On whether the game ends in a home win (1), a draw (X), or an away win (2) after 90 minutes evidence
With both defences having conceded over 55 goals this season, clean sheets are unlikely.
Union Berlin have the stronger recent points return, taking 6 points from the sample compared with 2 for FC Augsburg.
Union Berlin have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.8 conceded per match, which helps the Union Berlin Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
Union Berlin sit 16 in the table, while FC Augsburg sit 12, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.
What To Watch In The Data
On whether the game ends in a home win (1), a draw (X), or an away win (2) after 90 minutes notes
Goals, BTTS and over/under
Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.
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Market odds
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Recent form
Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.
Union Berlin
FC Augsburg
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Key match trends
Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.
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