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Udinese crestUdinese
v
Venezia crestVenezia

Serie A | Sun 14 Feb, 17:30

Udinese v Venezia Stats

Data last updated: Mon 09 Nov 2026, 05:40 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Udinese face Venezia in Serie A on Sun 14 Feb, 17:30. Venezia have scored only six league goals while conceding an average of two per match, leaving little margin for error.

BT4Y lean · price warning

Venezia Asian Handicap -0

  • At 53/100, Venezia Asian Handicap -0 implies roughly 65%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 27%.
  • Backing Venezia with Asian Handicap -0.25 suits their home strength against Udinese's defensive chaos.
  • Venezia have the stronger recent points return, taking 6 points from the sample compared with 1 for Udinese.
  • Venezia have the cleaner defensive sample at 1 conceded per match, which helps the Venezia Asian Handicap -0 angle more than a raw possession edge.
  • Udinese sit 20 in the table, while Venezia sit 19, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.
Price warning

Venezia Asian Handicap -0 is still the main football pick, but the current price is short: the market implies about 65% while the model sits nearer 27% (-38.4 pts). Keep staking reduced or wait for a better price unless final team news strengthens the selection.

Why This Pick Is Price-Sensitive

Football case vs market price

The 27% for Venezia Asian Handicap -0 sits against roughly 65% implied by the current price. Venezia have the stronger recent points return, taking 6 points from the sample compared with 1 for Udinese. Backing Venezia with Asian Handicap -0.25 suits their home strength against Udinese's defensive chaos.

Model chance vs price27% model chance against roughly 65% implied
Negative
Venezia have the stronger recent points return, taking 6 points.Visible data support
Positive
Venezia have the cleaner defensive sample at 1 conceded per.Visible data support
Positive
Backing Venezia with Asian Handicap -0.25 suits their home.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Udinese Win is the preferred angle because backing Venezia with Asian Handicap -0.25 suits their home strength against Udinese's defensive chaos. Venezia have the stronger recent points return, taking 6 points from the sample compared with 1 for Udinese. Both teams have already changed managers following disappointing starts, although their circumstances differ.

Main risk

Both teams have already changed managers following disappointing starts, although their circumstances differ.

Key Data Signals

Venezia Asian Handicap -0 evidence

Backing Venezia with Asian Handicap -0.25 suits their home strength against Udinese's defensive chaos.

Venezia have the stronger recent points return, taking 6 points from the sample compared with 1 for Udinese.

Venezia have the cleaner defensive sample at 1 conceded per match, which helps the Udinese Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Udinese sit 20 in the table, while Venezia sit 19, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

Venezia Asian Handicap -0 notes

    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Udinese0.6
    Avg goals scored
    Venezia0.6
    Udinese2.4
    Avg goals conceded
    Venezia1
    Udinese40%
    BTTS rate
    Venezia20%
    Udinese60%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Venezia20%

    No priced odds are available for this section yet.

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    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    No priced odds are available for this section yet.

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    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Udinese

    LLDLL
    Last 50W 1D 4L
    Last 5 record
    Last 101W 1D 8L
    06 Nov 2026A Venezia1-2
    31 Oct 2026H AS Roma2-5
    28 Oct 2026A Parma0-0
    25 Oct 2026H AC Milan0-2
    18 Oct 2026H Lecce0-3

    Venezia

    WLLLW
    Last 52W 0D 3L
    Last 5 record
    Last 102W 0D 8L
    06 Nov 2026H Udinese2-1
    01 Nov 2026A Como0-1
    28 Oct 2026H Inter0-2
    25 Oct 2026A Genoa0-1
    17 Oct 2026H Napoli1-0

    No priced odds are available for this section yet.

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    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    60%Udinese Over 2.5
    20%Venezia Over 2.5
    3.67H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Udinese sit at 60% and Venezia sit at 20% with the H2H average at 3.67 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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