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v
Cremonese crestCremonese

Serie A | Sun 17 May, 19:45

Udinese v Cremonese Stats

Data last updated: Sun 07 Jun 2026, 11:10 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Udinese face Cremonese in Serie A on Sun 17 May, 19:45. Conversely, Cremonese suffer from dismal travel anxiety, having slumped to eight defeats in their previous nine away league games during the 2026 campaign. The hosts have tightened up significantly at the back, recording consecutive clean sheets.

BT4Y best bet

Ed up 10 points from their last 5 league matches, highlighting their superior form over a struggling away side

  • At 19/2, Under 2.5 Goals implies roughly 10%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 54%.
  • Udinese's last four home fixtures have gone under 2.5 goals, aligning with Cremonese's low away scoring rate this season.
  • Udinese are carrying more of the scoring load at 2 goals per match, with Cremonese at 0.8.
  • BTTS rates of 20% for Udinese and 20% for Cremonese show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 54% for Under that scoring level sits against roughly 10% implied by the current price. Udinese are carrying more of the scoring load at that scoring level per match, with Cremonese at 0.8. Udinese's last four home fixtures have gone under 2.5 goals, aligning with Cremonese's low away scoring rate this season.

Model chance vs price54% model chance against roughly 10% implied
Strong positive
Udinese are carrying more of the scoring load at 2.Visible data support
Positive
BTTS rates of 20% for Udinese and 20% for Cremonese.Visible data support
Positive
Udinese's last four home fixtures have gone under 2.5.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Under that scoring level is the preferred angle because udinese's last four home fixtures have gone under 2.5 goals, aligning with Cremonese's low away scoring rate this season. Udinese are carrying more of the scoring load at that scoring level per match, with Cremonese at 0.8. A negative goal difference despite sitting 10th almost perfectly sums up their season: competitive, awkward to play against, but never fully convincing.

Main risk

A negative goal difference despite sitting 10th almost perfectly sums up their season: competitive, awkward to play against, but never fully convincing.

Key Data Signals

Under 2.5 Goals evidence

Udinese's last four home fixtures have gone under 2.5 goals, aligning with Cremonese's low away scoring rate this.

Udinese are carrying more of the scoring load at 2 goals per match, with Cremonese at 0.8.

BTTS rates of 20% for Udinese and 20% for Cremonese show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.

What To Watch In The Data

Under 2.5 Goals notes

  • The goal line needs both attacking patterns to create box entries, transitions or set-piece pressure.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Udinese5.4
Avg corners for
Cremonese5.2
Udinese10
Avg total corners
Cremonese8.8
Udinese1.2
Avg yellow cards
Cremonese0.4
Udinese14.4
Avg shots
Cremonese9.8
Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 52% vs implied 50% · edge +1.9 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
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Over 3.5 CardsBetMGM guide price · model 48%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Over 4.5 CardsBet365 guide price · model 41%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Over 9.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

Serie A fixtures and predictionsUdinese v Cremonese predictioncorners trends hubplayer stats betting anglesstats dashboardfootball analysis hubprediction centrebest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Udinese2
Avg goals scored
Cremonese0.8
Udinese0.8
Avg goals conceded
Cremonese1.4
Udinese20%
BTTS rate
Cremonese20%
Udinese40%
Over 2.5 goals
Cremonese60%
Market aligned with main pickUnder 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 54% vs implied 58% · edge -3.6 pts
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
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BTTS NoBetUK guide price · model 61%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 50%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 68%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 32%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 43%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Under 2.5 Goals does not fully support the current price: recent Over 2.5 rates are 40% for Udinese and 60% for Cremonese, so the goals line needs support from both scoring profiles.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionUdinese to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 74% vs implied 42% · edge +32 pts
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
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Udinese Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 78%
2.02
Check odds @ 2.02
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 50%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Over 3.5 CardsBetMGM guide price · model 48%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 43%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Cremonese Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 42%
1.78
Check odds @ 1.78
Cremonese to WinBetfred guide price · model 23%
3
Check odds @ 3
Udinese to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Udinese

WWDLW
Last 53W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 105W 3D 2L
09 May 2026A Cagliari2-0
02 May 2026H Torino2-0
27 Apr 2026A Lazio3-3
18 Apr 2026H Parma0-1
11 Apr 2026A AC Milan3-0

Cremonese

WLLDL
Last 51W 1D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 1D 7L
10 May 2026H Pisa3-0
04 May 2026H Lazio1-2
24 Apr 2026A Napoli0-4
19 Apr 2026H Torino0-0
11 Apr 2026A Cagliari0-1
Best odds for this sectionUdinese to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 74% vs implied 42% · edge +32 pts
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Load more odds for this section
Udinese Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 78%
2.02
Check odds @ 2.02
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 86%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
Cremonese Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 42%
1.78
Check odds @ 1.78
Cremonese to WinBetfred guide price · model 23%
3
Check odds @ 3
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 19%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
Away / DrawBetfred guide price · model 45%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

2Udinese wins
2Draws
0Cremonese wins
20 Oct 2025Cremonese v Udinese1-1
23 Apr 2023Udinese v Cremonese3-0
29 Dec 2022Cremonese v Udinese1-3
30 Oct 2022Cremonese v Udinese0-0
Best odds for this sectionUdinese to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 74% vs implied 42% · edge +32 pts
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 50%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 43%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Cremonese to WinBetfred guide price · model 23%
3
Check odds @ 3
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 19%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
The head-to-head sample gives context for Udinese to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
Season team stats

Serie A

Udinese38
Played
Cremonese38
Udinese1.2
Avg goals for
Cremonese0.8
Udinese1.3
Avg goals against
Cremonese1.5
Udinese11
Clean sheets
Cremonese11
Best odds for this sectionUdinese to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 74% vs implied 42% · edge +32 pts
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Load more odds for this section
Udinese Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 78%
2.02
Check odds @ 2.02
Cremonese Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 42%
1.78
Check odds @ 1.78
Cremonese to WinBetfred guide price · model 23%
3
Check odds @ 3
Season data supports Udinese to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
10Udinese503814816-3
18Cremonese343881020-25
Udinese sit in position 10, while Cremonese sit in position 18, so table pressure belongs in the Under 2.5 Goals assessment.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%Udinese Over 2.5
60%Cremonese Over 2.5
2.25H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Udinese sit at 40% and Cremonese sit at 60% with the H2H average at 2.25 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

Udinese v Cremonese prediction

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Competition and hubs

Serie A hubSerie A fixtures and predictionsUdinese v Cremonese predictioncorners trends hubplayer stats betting anglesstats dashboardfootball analysis hub

Next step

Betting context

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