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U. Catolica crestU. Catolica
v
Cruzeiro crestCruzeiro

CONMEBOL Libertadores | Thu 07 May, 03:00

U. Catolica v Cruzeiro Stats

BT4Y best bet

U. Catolica or Cruzeiro to Win

  • At 1.67, U. Catolica or Cruzeiro to Win is priced at roughly 60% implied probability. Our model has it closer to 82%, so the current line is showing a +22.1-point value edge.
  • U. Catolica have a recent record of 2W-0D-1L, while Cruzeiro come in at 2W-0D-1L across the same last-five lens.
  • The result profile supports the U. Catolica or Cruzeiro to Win angle: U. Catolica have taken 2 wins from their last 3 matches, averaging 1.67 goals scored and 1.33 conceded.
  • The result profile supports the U. Catolica or Cruzeiro to Win angle: Cruzeiro have taken 2 wins from their last 3 matches, with BTTS landing in 33% of that sample.
  • If the bookmaker is still close to 1.67, this is the market to check first because the data and the price are both pointing in the same direction.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 76% vs implied 56% · edge +20.4 pts
1.8
Bet HERE @ 1.8
Load more odds for this section
Over 3.5 CardsBetUK guide price · model 75%
1.83
Bet HERE @ 1.83
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 66%
2.15
Bet HERE @ 2.15
Home WinBetMGM guide price · model 45%
3
Bet HERE @ 3
Home Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 55%
2.02
Bet HERE @ 2.02
Away WinBetMGM guide price · model 39%
2.5
Bet HERE @ 2.5
Away Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 50%
1.78
Bet HERE @ 1.78
Key match trends

A quick read of the strongest visible indicators.

100%U. Catolica Over 2.5
33%Cruzeiro Over 2.5
3H2H avg goals
Recent form

Results and scoring shape from recent games.

U. Catolica

WWL
Last 52W 0D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 0D 1L
30 Apr 2026A Barcelona SC2-1
15 Apr 2026A Cruzeiro2-1
08 Apr 2026H Boca Juniors1-2

Cruzeiro

WLW
Last 52W 0D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 0D 1L
29 Apr 2026H Boca Juniors1-0
15 Apr 2026H U. Catolica1-2
08 Apr 2026A Barcelona SC1-0
Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 74% vs implied 74% · edge +0.7 pts
1.36
Bet HERE @ 1.36
Load more odds for this section
Home WinBetMGM guide price · model 45%
3
Bet HERE @ 3
Home Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 55%
2.02
Bet HERE @ 2.02
Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 69%
1.28
Bet HERE @ 1.28
Away WinBetMGM guide price · model 39%
2.5
Bet HERE @ 2.5
Away Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 50%
1.78
Bet HERE @ 1.78
DrawBet365 guide price · model 30%
3.1
Bet HERE @ 3.1
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Goal-market data and related prices.

U. Catolica1.67
Avg goals scored
Cruzeiro1
U. Catolica1.33
Avg goals conceded
Cruzeiro0.67
U. Catolica100%
BTTS rate
Cruzeiro33%
U. Catolica100%
Over 2.5 goals
Cruzeiro33%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 76% vs implied 56% · edge +20.4 pts
1.8
Bet HERE @ 1.8
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 66%
2.15
Bet HERE @ 2.15
Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 84%
1.36
Bet HERE @ 1.36
Over 3.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 48%
3.75
Bet HERE @ 3.75
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 38%
1.67
Bet HERE @ 1.67
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 28%
1.95
Bet HERE @ 1.95
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and related markets.

1U. Catolica wins
0Draws
0Cruzeiro wins
15 Apr 2026Cruzeiro v U. Catolica1-2
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 76% vs implied 56% · edge +20.4 pts
1.8
Bet HERE @ 1.8
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 66%
2.15
Bet HERE @ 2.15
Home WinBetMGM guide price · model 45%
3
Bet HERE @ 3
Away WinBetMGM guide price · model 39%
2.5
Bet HERE @ 2.5
DrawBet365 guide price · model 30%
3.1
Bet HERE @ 3.1
Corners, cards and shots

Detailed stat markets where available.

U. Catolica4.33
Avg corners for
Cruzeiro3
U. Catolica7.33
Avg total corners
Cruzeiro6.33
U. Catolica3
Avg yellow cards
Cruzeiro3.67
U. Catolica9.33
Avg shots
Cruzeiro11
Best odds for this sectionOver 3.5 CardsBetUK guide price · Model 75% vs implied 55% · edge +20.4 pts
1.83
Bet HERE @ 1.83
Load more odds for this section
Over 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 29%
2
Bet HERE @ 2
Player stats

Player props and player-level signals.

Best player angleJ. Martínez Anytime GoalscorerJ. Martínez · 1 goals · 5 SOT/90
86/100
Bet HERE
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J. Martínez 1+ Shot On TargetJ. Martínez · 5 shots on target/90
84/100
Bet HERE
J. Martínez 2+ ShotsJ. Martínez · 10 shots/90
82/100
Bet HERE
Gerson To Be FouledGerson · 3.69 fouls won/90
77/100
Bet HERE
Matheus Henrique Card RiskMatheus Henrique · 2 yellows · 2.52 fouls/90
80/100
Bet HERE
J. Martínez
J. MartínezU. Catolica · Midfielder
Goal threat100/100
Shots /9010
SOT /905
Matheus Pereira
Matheus PereiraCruzeiro · Midfielder
Goal threat64/100
Shots /902.33
SOT /901.67
C. Montes
C. MontesU. Catolica · Midfielder
Goal threat47/100
Shots /901.35
SOT /901.35
J. Giani
J. GianiU. Catolica · Midfielder
Goal threat46/100
Shots /902.29
SOT /901.31
Matheus Henrique
Matheus HenriqueCruzeiro · Midfielder
Goal threat5/100
Shots /900.84
SOT /900
J. Valencia
J. ValenciaU. Catolica · Midfielder
Goal threat15/100
Shots /901.01
SOT /900.34
L. Romero
L. RomeroCruzeiro · Midfielder
Goal threat3/100
Shots /900
SOT /900
Season team stats

CONMEBOL Libertadores

U. Catolica3
Played
Cruzeiro3
U. Catolica1.7
Avg goals for
Cruzeiro1
U. Catolica1.3
Avg goals against
Cruzeiro0.7
U. Catolica0
Clean sheets
Cruzeiro2
Best odds for this sectionHome WinBetMGM guide price · Model 45% vs implied 33% · edge +11.4 pts
3
Bet HERE @ 3
Load more odds for this section
Home Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 55%
2.02
Bet HERE @ 2.02
Away WinBetMGM guide price · model 39%
2.5
Bet HERE @ 2.5
Away Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 50%
1.78
Bet HERE @ 1.78
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
1U. Catolica632011
3Cruzeiro632011

Next step

Betting context

Use the best-bet case above as the starting point, then check the live odds and the full prediction before staking.