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U. Catolica crestU. Catolica
v
Barcelona SC crestBarcelona SC

CONMEBOL Libertadores | Fri 22 May, 01:30

U. Catolica v Barcelona SC Stats

BT4Y best bet

Over 3.5 Cards

  • At 2.25, Over 3.5 Cards is priced at roughly 44% implied probability. Our model has it closer to 75%, so the current line is showing a +30.6-point value edge.
  • The disciplinary read shows average yellow-card figures of 2.75 for U. Catolica and 3.2 for Barcelona SC in detailed recent samples.
  • The card data supports the Over 3.5 Cards angle: U. Catolica have taken 2 wins from their last 4 matches, averaging 1.25 goals scored and 1 conceded.
  • The card data supports the Over 3.5 Cards angle: Barcelona SC have taken 2 wins from their last 5 matches, with BTTS landing in 20% of that sample.
  • If the bookmaker is still close to 2.25, this is the market to check first because the data and the price are both pointing in the same direction.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionOver 3.5 CardsBetfred guide price · Model 75% vs implied 44% · edge +30.6 pts
2.25
Bet HERE @ 2.25
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 61%
2
Bet HERE @ 2
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 57%
2.15
Bet HERE @ 2.15
Away Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 42%
3.1
Bet HERE @ 3.1
Away WinBetMGM guide price · model 31%
5
Bet HERE @ 5
Home WinBet365 guide price · model 53%
1.73
Bet HERE @ 1.73
Home Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 63%
1.35
Bet HERE @ 1.35
Key match trends

A quick read of the strongest visible indicators.

75%U. Catolica Over 2.5
40%Barcelona SC Over 2.5
3H2H avg goals
Recent form

Results and scoring shape from recent games.

U. Catolica

DWWL
Last 52W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 1D 1L
07 May 2026H Cruzeiro0-0
30 Apr 2026A Barcelona SC2-1
15 Apr 2026A Cruzeiro2-1
08 Apr 2026H Boca Juniors1-2

Barcelona SC

WLLLW
Last 52W 0D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 1D 4L
06 May 2026H Boca Juniors1-0
30 Apr 2026H U. Catolica1-2
15 Apr 2026A Boca Juniors0-3
08 Apr 2026H Cruzeiro0-1
11 Mar 2026A Botafogo1-0
Best odds for this sectionAway Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 42% vs implied 32% · edge +9.7 pts
3.1
Bet HERE @ 3.1
Load more odds for this section
Away WinBetMGM guide price · model 31%
5
Bet HERE @ 5
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 80%
1.12
Bet HERE @ 1.12
Away / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 58%
1.57
Bet HERE @ 1.57
Home WinBet365 guide price · model 53%
1.73
Bet HERE @ 1.73
Home Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 63%
1.35
Bet HERE @ 1.35
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 27%
3.6
Bet HERE @ 3.6
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Goal-market data and related prices.

U. Catolica1.25
Avg goals scored
Barcelona SC0.6
U. Catolica1
Avg goals conceded
Barcelona SC1.2
U. Catolica75%
BTTS rate
Barcelona SC20%
U. Catolica75%
Over 2.5 goals
Barcelona SC40%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 61% vs implied 50% · edge +10.8 pts
2
Bet HERE @ 2
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 57%
2.15
Bet HERE @ 2.15
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 75%
1.36
Bet HERE @ 1.36
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 39%
3.75
Bet HERE @ 3.75
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 47%
1.67
Bet HERE @ 1.67
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 43%
1.75
Bet HERE @ 1.75
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and related markets.

1U. Catolica wins
0Draws
0Barcelona SC wins
30 Apr 2026Barcelona SC v U. Catolica1-2
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 61% vs implied 50% · edge +10.8 pts
2
Bet HERE @ 2
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 57%
2.15
Bet HERE @ 2.15
Away WinBetMGM guide price · model 31%
5
Bet HERE @ 5
Home WinBet365 guide price · model 53%
1.73
Bet HERE @ 1.73
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 27%
3.6
Bet HERE @ 3.6
Corners, cards and shots

Detailed stat markets where available.

U. Catolica4.5
Avg corners for
Barcelona SC3.2
U. Catolica7.25
Avg total corners
Barcelona SC6.8
U. Catolica2.75
Avg yellow cards
Barcelona SC3.2
U. Catolica10.25
Avg shots
Barcelona SC11.2
Best odds for this sectionOver 3.5 CardsBetfred guide price · Model 75% vs implied 44% · edge +30.6 pts
2.25
Bet HERE @ 2.25
Load more odds for this section
Over 5.5 CardsBet365 guide price
2
Bet HERE @ 2
Over 9.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 29%
2.1
Bet HERE @ 2.1
Player stats

Player props and player-level signals.

Best player angleJ. Martínez Anytime GoalscorerJ. Martínez · 1 goals · 2 SOT/90
84/100
Bet HERE
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J. Martínez 1+ Shot On TargetJ. Martínez · 2 shots on target/90
84/100
Bet HERE
J. Martínez 2+ ShotsJ. Martínez · 4 shots/90
82/100
Bet HERE
M. Palavecino To Assist / Key Pass AngleM. Palavecino · 0 assists · 4.5 key passes/90
66/100
Bet HERE
M. Céliz To Be FouledM. Céliz · 1.75 fouls won/90
69/100
Bet HERE
M. Céliz Card RiskM. Céliz · 4 yellows · 1.59 fouls/90
80/100
Bet HERE
J. Martínez
J. MartínezU. Catolica · Midfielder
Goal threat87/100
Shots /904
SOT /902
J. Giani
J. GianiU. Catolica · Midfielder
Goal threat46/100
Shots /902.47
SOT /901.48
H. Villalba
H. VillalbaBarcelona SC · Midfielder
Goal threat46/100
Shots /901.53
SOT /901.27
M. Parrales
M. ParralesBarcelona SC · Attacker
Goal threat26/100
Shots /901.82
SOT /901.82
M. Palavecino
M. PalavecinoU. Catolica · Midfielder
Goal threat10/100
Shots /902.25
SOT /900
M. Céliz
M. CélizBarcelona SC · Midfielder
Goal threat37/100
Shots /901.11
SOT /900.63
J. Valencia
J. ValenciaU. Catolica · Midfielder
Goal threat15/100
Shots /901.01
SOT /900.25
Season team stats

CONMEBOL Libertadores

U. Catolica4
Played
Barcelona SC8
U. Catolica1.3
Avg goals for
Barcelona SC0.8
U. Catolica1
Avg goals against
Barcelona SC1
U. Catolica1
Clean sheets
Barcelona SC3
Best odds for this sectionAway Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 42% vs implied 32% · edge +9.7 pts
3.1
Bet HERE @ 3.1
Load more odds for this section
Away WinBetMGM guide price · model 31%
5
Bet HERE @ 5
Home WinBet365 guide price · model 53%
1.73
Bet HERE @ 1.73
Home Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 63%
1.35
Bet HERE @ 1.35
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
3U. Catolica742111
4Barcelona SC34103-4

Next step

Betting context

Use the best-bet case above as the starting point, then check the live odds and the full prediction before staking.

Football Stats, Match Data & Daily Betting Analysis

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