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Twente crestTwente
v
Ferencvarosi TC crestFerencvarosi TC

UEFA Europa League | Thu 23 Jul, 19:00

Twente v Ferencvarosi TC Stats

Data last updated: Sun 04 Oct 2026, 07:11 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Twente face Ferencvarosi TC in UEFA Europa League on Thu 23 Jul, 19:00. Ferencvaros are unbeaten in 11 European home matches, all of them in the Europa League, and another victory would make it 10 wins from their last 12 continental fixtures at the Groupama Aréna.

BT4Y best bet

Over 2

  • At 1.83, Over 2 implies roughly 55%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 67%.
  • Higher-Risk Approach (Higher Price / Increased Volatility): Exact scorelines (e.g., 2-2) or Match Result & Both Teams To Score combinations provide substantial price value.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 67% for Over 2 sits against roughly 55% implied by the current price. Higher-Risk Approach (Higher Price / Increased Volatility): Exact scorelines (e.g., 2-2) or Match Result & Both Teams To Score combinations provide substantial price value.

Model chance vs price67% model chance against roughly 55% implied
Positive
Higher-Risk Approach (Higher Price / Increased Volatility): Exact scorelines.Article support
Positive
Price sensitivityEdge +12.1 pts
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Both Teams To Score is the preferred angle because higher-Risk Approach (Higher Price / Increased Volatility): Exact scorelines (e.g., 2-2) or Match Result & Both Teams To Score combinations provide substantial price value. That lead gives the Hungarian champions something to protect, but it is nowhere near large enough to encourage a passive approach.

Main risk

That lead gives the Hungarian champions something to protect, but it is nowhere near large enough to encourage a passive approach.

Key Data Signals

Over 2 evidence

Higher-Risk Approach (Higher Price / Increased Volatility): Exact scorelines (e.g.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 2 notes

  • Use shots on target to decide whether attacking involvement is shared or one-sided.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Twente

Last 50W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for Twente yet.

Ferencvarosi TC

WW
Last 52W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 0D 0L
16 Jul 2026H Vojvodina3-0
09 Jul 2026A Vojvodina2-1
Best odds for this sectionFerencvarosi TC Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 42% vs implied 30% · edge +11.7 pts
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
Load more odds for this section
Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 78%
1.14
Check odds @ 1.14
Away / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 45%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Twente to WinBetMGM guide price · model 55%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Twente Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 63%
1.32
Check odds @ 1.32
Ferencvarosi TC to WinBet365 guide price · model 22%
5.25
Check odds @ 5.25
DrawBet365 guide price · model 23%
3.8
Check odds @ 3.8
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Twente-
Avg goals scored
Ferencvarosi TC2.5
Twente-
Avg goals conceded
Ferencvarosi TC0.5
Twente-
BTTS rate
Ferencvarosi TC50%
Twente-
Over 2.5 goals
Ferencvarosi TC100%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 67% vs implied 55% · edge +12.1 pts
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Load more odds for this section
Over 1.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 88%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 69%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 46%
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 37%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 26%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95

Continue the research

Useful next reads

UEFA Europa League hubTwente v Ferencvarosi TC predictionfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesstats dashboardfootball analysis hubprediction centrebest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 67% vs implied 55% · edge +12.1 pts
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 69%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Ferencvarosi TC Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 42%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
Twente to WinBetMGM guide price · model 55%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Twente Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 63%
1.32
Check odds @ 1.32
Ferencvarosi TC to WinBet365 guide price · model 22%
5.25
Check odds @ 5.25
DrawBet365 guide price · model 23%
3.8
Check odds @ 3.8
BTTS Yes is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

-Twente Over 2.5
100%Ferencvarosi TC Over 2.5
-H2H avg goals
Higher-Risk Approach (Higher Price / Increased Volatility): Exact scorelines (e.g., 2-2) or Match Result & Both Teams To Score combinations provide substantial price value.

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