Türkiye
ParaguayWorld Cup | Sat 20 Jun, 04:00
Türkiye v Paraguay Stats
Data last updated: Sun 23 Aug 2026, 03:02 UK timeMatch Report
Fixture analysis
Türkiye face Paraguay in World Cup on Sat 20 Jun, 04:00. Group D Pressure Turns Levi’s Stadium Into A Survival Test. Türkiye’s recent six-match run reads four wins, one draw and one defeat. Türkiye maintain superior control metrics, averaging 59% possession and 12.73 shots per match compared to Paraguay's 36% possession and 11.29 shots.
Türkiye Win
- At 19/20, Türkiye Win implies roughly 51%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 46%.
- Türkiye have a consistent scoring history, finding the net in nine of their last eleven games, but face defensive uncertainties due to Kabak's injury.
- Türkiye have the cleaner defensive sample at 2 conceded per match, which helps the Türkiye Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
Türkiye Win is still the main football pick, but the current price is short: the market implies about 51% while the model sits nearer 46% (-5.8 pts). Keep staking reduced or wait for a better price unless final team news strengthens the selection. Better value alternative: Both Teams to Score shows a +14.3 pts edge at 1.91.
Why This Pick Is Price-Sensitive
Football case vs market price
The 46% for Türkiye Win sits against roughly 51% implied by the current price. Türkiye have the cleaner defensive sample at 2 conceded per match, which helps the Türkiye Win angle more than a raw possession edge. Türkiye have a consistent scoring history, finding the net in nine of their last eleven games, but face defensive uncertainties due to Kabak's injury.
Verdict
BT4Y analyst view
BT4Y analyst view: Türkiye Win is the preferred angle because türkiye have a consistent scoring history, finding the net in nine of their last eleven games, but face defensive uncertainties due to Kabak's injury. Türkiye have the cleaner defensive sample at 2 conceded per match, which helps the Türkiye Win angle more than a raw possession edge. Paraguay did score against the USA, but the 4-1 scoreline left deeper scars because of the damage to their goal difference.
Paraguay did score against the USA, but the 4-1 scoreline left deeper scars because of the damage to their goal difference.
Key Data Signals
Türkiye Win evidence
Türkiye have a consistent scoring history, finding the net in nine of their last eleven games, but face.
Türkiye have the cleaner defensive sample at 2 conceded per match, which helps the Türkiye Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
What To Watch In The Data
Türkiye Win notes
Goals, BTTS and over/under
Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.
Load more odds for this section
Continue the research
Useful next reads
Market odds
Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.
Load more odds for this section
Corners, cards and shots
Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.
Load more odds for this section
Recent form
Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.
Türkiye
Paraguay
Load more odds for this section
Head-to-head
Recent meetings and how much they still matter.
Load more odds for this section
Player stats
Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.
Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.
Season team stats
World Cup
Load more odds for this section
League standings snapshot
Current table context.
| Pos | Team | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Paraguay | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -2 |
| 4 | Türkiye | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 |
| 7 | Paraguay | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -2 |
Key match trends
Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.
Next step
Betting context
Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.
