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TSV Hartberg crestTSV Hartberg
v
Wolfsberger AC crestWolfsberger AC

Bundesliga | Sat 24 Oct, 16:00

TSV Hartberg v Wolfsberger AC Stats

Data last updated: Sun 25 Oct 2026, 18:28 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

TSV Hartberg hosts Wolfsberger AC in this Austrian Bundesliga clash, with Hartberg showing stronger recent form and a higher league standing. Hartberg has accumulated 11 points, sitting 7th, while Wolfsberger AC lags with 5 points in 12th place. Hartberg's attacking play has been more potent, averaging 2.6 goals per game compared to Wolfsberger's 0.4, and they have maintained a perfect record in matches going over 2.5 goals. Wolfsberger AC's defensive struggles and low scoring output add to the challenge they face away from home in this fixture.

BT4Y best bet

TSV Hartberg to Win

  • TSV Hartberg leads the league standings with 11 points versus Wolfsberger AC's 5.
  • Hartberg averages 2.6 goals per game, significantly higher than Wolfsberger AC's 0.4.
  • Hartberg has a 100% rate of matches over 2.5 goals, indicating open games.
  • Wolfsberger AC concedes an average of 3 goals per game, highlighting defensive vulnerabilities.
  • Radulović is a key attacking threat with nearly 5 shots and 4 on target per 90 minutes.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model strongly favors TSV Hartberg to win with a 74% chance, reflecting their superior recent form, attacking efficiency, and league position. Hartberg's consistent goal-scoring and ability to create quality chances, led by attacker A. Radulović, underpin this . Wolfsberger AC's defensive frailties and low scoring rate further tilt the balance. The current of 2.15 offer positive value given the model's implied chance of 46.5%, making Hartberg a compelling pick without price caution.

Recent FormHartberg 8 points vs Wolfsberger 0 points
Strong positive
Goal ScoringHartberg 2.6 goals/game vs Wolfsberger 0.4
Strong positive
Defensive RecordWolfsberger concedes 3 goals/game
Positive
Player ImpactA. Radulović high shots and assists
Positive
Market Price61.5% model chance vs 46.5% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

TSV Hartberg's superior attacking output and recent form make them the clear favorites in this matchup. Their ability to create and convert chances, combined with Wolfsberger AC's defensive struggles, supports backing Hartberg to secure the win. The data strongly aligns with the tactical expectation of Hartberg controlling the game and capitalizing on their home advantage.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match outcome

“Hartberg's attacking efficiency and league momentum give them a clear edge over Wolfsberger AC, whose defensive issues are likely to be exploited in this fixture.”

Key Data Signals

TSV Hartberg to Win evidence

TSV Hartberg leads the league standings with 11 points versus Wolfsberger AC's 5.

Hartberg averages 2.6 goals per game, significantly higher than Wolfsberger AC's 0.4.

Hartberg has a 100% rate of matches over 2.5 goals, indicating open games.

Wolfsberger AC concedes an average of 3 goals per game, highlighting defensive vulnerabilities.

What To Watch In The Data

TSV Hartberg to Win notes

  • Over the last 10 head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 3, indicating a tendency for open, high-scoring games.
  • Hartberg's recent matches have all gone over 2.5 goals, suggesting a fast tempo and attacking style that could continue in this fixture.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

TSV Hartberg2.6
Avg goals scored
Wolfsberger AC0.4
TSV Hartberg2.6
Avg goals conceded
Wolfsberger AC3
TSV Hartberg100%
BTTS rate
Wolfsberger AC40%
TSV Hartberg100%
Over 2.5 goals
Wolfsberger AC80%
Best odds for this sectionOver 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 75% vs implied 60% · edge +14.9 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
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BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 88%
1.2
Check odds @ 1.2
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 53%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 28%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 29%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
Both teams' goal trends suggest an open game with Hartberg's matches consistently exceeding 2.5 goals and a 100% BTTS rate, while Wolfsberger AC's lower BTTS rate and defensive weaknesses imply they are likely to concede. This supports expectations of multiple goals and both teams scoring.

Continue the research

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickTSV Hartberg to WinBet365 guide price · Model 62% vs implied 47% · edge +15 pts
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
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Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 75%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
TSV Hartberg Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 74%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 61%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
The 61.5% for TSV Hartberg to Win sits against roughly 46.5% implied by the current price (+15 pts). TSV Hartberg have the stronger recent points return, taking 8 points from the sample compared with 0 for Wolfsberger AC.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

TSV Hartberg

LWDDW
Last 52W 2D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 2D 4L
16 Oct 2026A Rapid Vienna1-3
11 Oct 2026H Austria Lustenau4-3
20 Sep 2026H Lask Linz3-3
13 Sep 2026A WSG Wattens2-2
30 Aug 2026H Ried3-2

Wolfsberger AC

LLLLL
Last 50W 0D 5L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 2D 6L
18 Oct 2026H WSG Wattens0-2
11 Oct 2026A SCR Altach0-3
20 Sep 2026A Ried1-4
12 Sep 2026H Rapid Vienna0-3
01 Sep 2026H Lask Linz1-3
Market aligned with main pickTSV Hartberg to WinBet365 guide price · Model 62% vs implied 47% · edge +15 pts
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
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Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 86%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
TSV Hartberg Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 74%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Hartberg's recent form is markedly better, securing 8 points in recent matches compared to Wolfsberger AC's 0 points. Hartberg's consistent goal scoring and defensive resilience contrast with Wolfsberger's struggles to score and prevent goals, reinforcing Hartberg's status as favorites.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

100%TSV Hartberg Over 2.5
80%Wolfsberger AC Over 2.5
3H2H avg goals
Over the last 10 head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 3, indicating a tendency for open, high-scoring games. Hartberg's recent matches have all gone over 2.5 goals, suggesting a fast tempo and attacking style that could continue in this fixture.

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