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Tromso crestTromso
v
Aalesund crestAalesund

Eliteserien | Mon 25 May, 16:00

Tromso v Aalesund Stats

Data last updated: Thu 27 Aug 2026, 17:28 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Tromso face Aalesund in Eliteserien on Mon 25 May, 16:00. Tromso’s recent scoring burst of eight goals in two league matches contrasts sharply with Aalesund’s ongoing defensive struggles, having conceded in all 14 league games. Aalesund’s winless recent run contrasts with Tromso’s stronger form, indicating an away victory likelihood.

BT4Y best bet

Tromso to win and both teams to score

  • At 5/2, Tromso to win and both teams to score implies roughly 29%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 39%.
  • Aalesund’s attack can net, but defensive lapses will allow Tromso to dominate the scoreline.
  • Tromso sit 3 in the table, while Aalesund sit 15, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 39% for Tromso to win and both teams to score sits against roughly 29% implied by the current price. Tromso sit 3 in the table, while Aalesund sit 15, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read. Aalesund’s attack can net, but defensive lapses will allow Tromso to dominate the scoreline.

Model chance vs price39% model chance against roughly 29% implied
Positive
Tromso sit 3 in the table, while Aalesund sit 15.Visible data support
Positive
Aalesund’s attack can net, but defensive lapses will allow.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Tromso Win is the preferred angle because aalesund’s attack can net, but defensive lapses will allow Tromso to dominate the scoreline. Aalesund have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.6 conceded per match, which helps the Tromso Win angle more than a raw possession edge. Aalesund carry the stronger scoring threat, but Tromso must contribute for BTTS to land.

Main risk

Aalesund carry the stronger scoring threat, but Tromso must contribute for BTTS to land.

Key Data Signals

Tromso to win and both teams to score evidence

Aalesund’s attack can net, but defensive lapses will allow Tromso to dominate the scoreline.

Aalesund have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.6 conceded per match, which helps the Tromso Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Tromso sit 3 in the table, while Aalesund sit 15, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

Tromso to win and both teams to score notes

    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Tromso1.2
    Avg goals scored
    Aalesund1.2
    Tromso2.4
    Avg goals conceded
    Aalesund1.6
    Tromso40%
    BTTS rate
    Aalesund60%
    Tromso60%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Aalesund60%
    Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 67% vs implied 57% · edge +9.6 pts
    1.75
    Check odds @ 1.75
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 81%
    1.17
    Check odds @ 1.17
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 63%
    1.57
    Check odds @ 1.57
    Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 45%
    2.38
    Check odds @ 2.38
    Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 41%
    2.35
    Check odds @ 2.35
    BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 37%
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickTromso to WinBet365 guide price · Model 39% vs implied 69% · edge -30.4 pts
    1.44
    Check odds @ 1.44
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 67%
    1.75
    Check odds @ 1.75
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 63%
    1.57
    Check odds @ 1.57
    Tromso Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 49%
    1.25
    Check odds @ 1.25
    Tromso to Win is price-sensitive at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.

    Continue the research

    Useful next reads

    Tromso v Aalesund predictioncorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting angleslatest football statsmain football hubtoday's predictionsbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    Tromso4.8
    Avg corners for
    Aalesund3.4
    Tromso8.6
    Avg total corners
    Aalesund12.4
    Tromso1.6
    Avg yellow cards
    Aalesund2.6
    Tromso11.6
    Avg shots
    Aalesund15
    Best odds for this sectionOver 10.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Highlighted because this is the strongest available price in this section.
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    Over 10.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Tromso

    LWDLW
    Last 52W 1D 2L
    Last 5 record
    Last 106W 2D 2L
    16 May 2026A Bodo/Glimt0-5
    10 May 2026H Molde2-0
    03 May 2026A Start1-1
    29 Apr 2026H Brann0-5
    26 Apr 2026H Sandefjord3-1

    Aalesund

    WWLDL
    Last 52W 1D 2L
    Last 5 record
    Last 102W 3D 4L
    20 May 2026H Brann2-1
    16 May 2026A Rosenborg3-2
    03 May 2026A Sandefjord0-1
    26 Apr 2026H Kristiansund BK1-1
    18 Apr 2026A Bodo/Glimt0-3
    Market aligned with main pickTromso to WinBet365 guide price · Model 39% vs implied 69% · edge -30.4 pts
    1.44
    Check odds @ 1.44
    Load more odds for this section
    Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 68%
    1.11
    Check odds @ 1.11
    Tromso Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 49%
    1.25
    Check odds @ 1.25
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    2Tromso wins
    2Draws
    5Aalesund wins
    08 Mar 2025Aalesund v Tromso1-0
    08 Oct 2023Tromso v Aalesund1-2
    11 Jun 2023Aalesund v Tromso2-3
    13 Nov 2022Tromso v Aalesund2-2
    18 Apr 2022Aalesund v Tromso2-2
    20 Aug 2017Tromso v Aalesund3-2
    Market aligned with main pickTromso to WinBet365 guide price · Model 39% vs implied 69% · edge -30.4 pts
    1.44
    Check odds @ 1.44
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 67%
    1.75
    Check odds @ 1.75
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 63%
    1.57
    Check odds @ 1.57
    The head-to-head sample gives context for Tromso to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Season team stats

    Eliteserien

    Tromso17
    Played
    Aalesund17
    Tromso2
    Avg goals for
    Aalesund1.6
    Tromso1.2
    Avg goals against
    Aalesund2.4
    Tromso8
    Clean sheets
    Aalesund0
    Market aligned with main pickTromso to WinBet365 guide price · Model 39% vs implied 69% · edge -30.4 pts
    1.44
    Check odds @ 1.44
    Load more odds for this section
    Tromso Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 49%
    1.25
    Check odds @ 1.25
    Season data supports Tromso to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    League standings snapshot

    Current table context.

    PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
    3Tromso3417104314
    15Aalesund1517296-14
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    60%Tromso Over 2.5
    60%Aalesund Over 2.5
    3.89H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Tromso sit at 60% and Aalesund sit at 60% with the H2H average at 3.89 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

    Related football research

    Fixture links

    Prediction context

    Tromso v Aalesund prediction

    Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

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    Competition and hubs

    Tromso v Aalesund predictioncorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting angleslatest football statsmain football hub

    Next step

    Betting context

    Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

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