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Toulouse crestToulouse
v
Monaco crestMonaco

Ligue 1 | Sat 13 Feb, 16:00

Toulouse v Monaco Stats

Data last updated: Sat 17 Oct 2026, 23:58 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Toulouse face Monaco in Ligue 1 on Sat 13 Feb, 16:00. Filipe Luis has made an impressive start in the Principality, guiding Monaco through their opening five league matches unbeaten. Monaco's unbeaten start and strong defence provide a solid base for victory.

BT4Y best bet

Monaco to win and Both Teams to Score

  • At 15/8, Monaco to win and Both Teams to Score implies roughly 35%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 42%.
  • The visitors' recent attacking improvement adds to this case.
  • Monaco need the result edge to pair with scoring at both ends; recent points show Toulouse on 8 and Monaco on 11.
  • The BTTS leg matters as much as the result leg here, with recent BTTS rates of 60% for Toulouse and 80% for Monaco.
  • Monaco to win and Both Teams to Score needs both attacks involved, so goals-for averages of 2 for Toulouse and 1.8 for Monaco are central to the read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 42% for Monaco to win and Both Teams to Score sits against roughly 35% implied by the current price. Monaco need the result edge to pair with scoring at both ends; recent points show Toulouse on 8 and Monaco on 11. The visitors' recent attacking improvement adds to this case.

Model chance vs price42% model chance against roughly 35% implied
Positive
Monaco need the result edge to pair with scoring at.Visible data support
Positive
The BTTS leg matters as much as the result leg.Visible data support
Positive
The visitors' recent attacking improvement adds to this case.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Monaco Win & BTTS is the preferred angle because the visitors' recent attacking improvement adds to this case. Monaco need the result edge to pair with scoring at both ends; recent points show Toulouse on 8 and Monaco on 11. Late team news, price movement and market liquidity are the main cautions before kick-off.

Main risk

Late team news, price movement and market liquidity are the main cautions before kick-off.

Key Data Signals

Monaco to win and Both Teams to Score evidence

The visitors' recent attacking improvement adds to this case.

Monaco need the result edge to pair with scoring at both ends; recent points show Toulouse on 8 and Monaco on 11.

The BTTS leg matters as much as the result leg here, with recent BTTS rates of 60% for Toulouse and 80% for Monaco.

Monaco Win & BTTS needs both attacks involved, so goals-for averages of 2 for Toulouse and 1.8 for Monaco are central to the read.

What To Watch In The Data

Monaco to win and Both Teams to Score notes

  • Use the article-led angle and the visible data together; the strongest signal is where both point to the same match pattern.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Toulouse2
Avg goals scored
Monaco1.8
Toulouse1.4
Avg goals conceded
Monaco1
Toulouse60%
BTTS rate
Monaco80%
Toulouse80%
Over 2.5 goals
Monaco60%

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

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Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Toulouse

WDWDL
Last 52W 2D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 3D 2L
16 Oct 2026A Le Mans3-0
10 Oct 2026A Monaco2-2
19 Sep 2026H Le Havre3-2
12 Sep 2026A Lorient2-2
03 Sep 2026H Lille0-1

Monaco

DWDWW
Last 53W 2D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 2D 0L
10 Oct 2026H Toulouse2-2
18 Sep 2026H Lens2-1
12 Sep 2026A Strasbourg1-1
04 Sep 2026A Paris Saint Germain2-1
30 Aug 2026H Marseille2-0

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Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

80%Toulouse Over 2.5
60%Monaco Over 2.5
2.7H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Toulouse sit at 80% and Monaco sit at 60% with the H2H average at 2.7 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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