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Leeds crestLeeds

Premier League | Mon 11 May, 20:00

Tottenham v Leeds Stats

Data last updated: Sat 20 Jun 2026, 20:53 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Tottenham face Leeds in Premier League on Mon 11 May, 20:00. Spurs have won possession in the final third 5.3 times per match under Roberto De Zerbi — the highest rate of any Premier League manager with four or more games this season.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams To Score

  • At 13/20, Both Teams To Score implies roughly 61%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 63%.
  • 🎯 Both Teams to Score – Yes (13/20)
  • Tottenham show a 40% BTTS rate and Leeds show a 60% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
  • Tottenham average 1 goals scored and Leeds average 2, so both attacking contributions need separating.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 63% for Both Teams To Score sits against roughly 61% implied by the current price. Tottenham show a that shared-scoring rate rate and Leeds show a that shared-scoring rate rate, which is the right starting point for this market. 🎯 Both Teams to Score – Yes (13/20)

Model chance vs price63% model chance against roughly 61% implied
Neutral
Tottenham show a 40% BTTS rate and Leeds show a.Visible data support
Positive
Tottenham average 1 goals scored and Leeds average 2, so.Visible data support
Positive
🎯 Both Teams to Score – Yes (13/20)Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Both Teams To Score is the preferred angle because 🎯 Both Teams to Score – Yes (13/20) Tottenham show a that shared-scoring rate rate and Leeds show a that shared-scoring rate rate, which is the right starting point for this market. However, they consistently find the net, scoring in 28 of 35 games.

Main risk

However, they consistently find the net, scoring in 28 of 35 games.

Key Data Signals

Both Teams To Score evidence

🎯 Both Teams to Score – Yes (13/20)

Tottenham show a 40% BTTS rate and Leeds show a 60% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.

Tottenham average 1 goals scored and Leeds average 2, so both attacking contributions need separating.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams To Score notes

  • Use shots on target to decide whether attacking involvement is shared or one-sided.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Tottenham1
Avg goals scored
Leeds2
Tottenham1.4
Avg goals conceded
Leeds0.8
Tottenham40%
BTTS rate
Leeds60%
Tottenham60%
Over 2.5 goals
Leeds80%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 63% vs implied 31% · edge +32.5 pts
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
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Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 87%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 69%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 51%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 35%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 41%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 63% vs implied 31% · edge +32.5 pts
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
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Leeds to WinBetMGM guide price · model 68%
4.33
Check odds @ 4.33
Leeds Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 76%
2
Check odds @ 2
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 69%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Tottenham Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 22%
3.9
Check odds @ 3.9
Tottenham to WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
BTTS Yes is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

Premier League hubTottenham v Leeds predictioncorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesstats dashboardfootball analysis hubprediction centrebest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Tottenham7.2
Avg corners for
Leeds4.2
Tottenham11.2
Avg total corners
Leeds10.4
Tottenham3.2
Avg yellow cards
Leeds2
Tottenham11.8
Avg shots
Leeds14.8
Best odds for this sectionOver 4.5 CardsBet365 guide price · Model 65% vs implied 51% · edge +13.5 pts
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
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Over 10.5 CornersBet365 guide price
2
Check odds @ 2
Over 4.5 Cards needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Tottenham

WWDLL
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 2D 6L
03 May 2026A Aston Villa2-1
25 Apr 2026A Wolves1-0
18 Apr 2026H Brighton2-2
12 Apr 2026A Sunderland0-1
22 Mar 2026H Nottingham Forest0-3

Leeds

WDWWD
Last 53W 2D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 5D 2L
01 May 2026H Burnley3-1
22 Apr 2026A Bournemouth2-2
18 Apr 2026H Wolves3-0
13 Apr 2026A Manchester United2-1
21 Mar 2026H Brentford0-0
Best odds for this sectionLeeds to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 68% vs implied 23% · edge +45.3 pts
4.33
Check odds @ 4.33
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Away / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 84%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Leeds Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 76%
2
Check odds @ 2
Tottenham Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 22%
3.9
Check odds @ 3.9
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 49%
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
Tottenham to WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

6Tottenham wins
0Draws
2Leeds wins
04 Oct 2025Leeds v Tottenham1-2
28 May 2023Leeds v Tottenham1-4
12 Nov 2022Tottenham v Leeds4-3
26 Feb 2022Leeds v Tottenham0-4
21 Nov 2021Tottenham v Leeds2-1
08 May 2021Leeds v Tottenham3-1
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 63% vs implied 31% · edge +32.5 pts
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
Load more odds for this section
Leeds to WinBetMGM guide price · model 68%
4.33
Check odds @ 4.33
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 69%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 22%
3.9
Check odds @ 3.9
Tottenham to WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
The head-to-head sample gives context for BTTS Yes, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Premier League

Tottenham38
Played
Leeds38
Tottenham1.3
Avg goals for
Leeds1.3
Tottenham1.5
Avg goals against
Leeds1.5
Tottenham9
Clean sheets
Leeds8
Best odds for this sectionLeeds to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 68% vs implied 23% · edge +45.3 pts
4.33
Check odds @ 4.33
Load more odds for this section
Leeds Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 76%
2
Check odds @ 2
Tottenham Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Tottenham to WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Season data supports Leeds to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
14Leeds4738111413-7
17Tottenham4138101117-9
Tottenham sit in position 17, while Leeds sit in position 14, so table pressure belongs in the Both Teams To Score assessment.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%Tottenham Over 2.5
80%Leeds Over 2.5
4H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Tottenham sit at 60% and Leeds sit at 80% with the H2H average at 4 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

Tottenham v Leeds prediction

Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

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Competition and hubs

Premier League hubPremier League hubTottenham v Leeds predictioncorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesstats dashboard

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

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