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Tottenham crestTottenham
v
Leeds crestLeeds

Premier League | Sat 16 Jan, 15:00

Tottenham v Leeds Stats

Data last updated: Wed 07 Oct 2026, 04:53 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Tottenham face Leeds in Premier League on Sat 16 Jan, 15:00. Spurs have won possession in the final third 5.3 times per match under Roberto De Zerbi — the highest rate of any Premier League manager with four or more games this season.

BT4Y lean · price warning

Both Teams To Score

  • Price warning: current odds imply about 61%, above the 50% model chance, so this is a football-led pick rather than a clear value bet; reduce stake or wait for a better price.
  • At 13/20, Both Teams To Score implies roughly 61%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 50%.
  • 🎯 Both Teams to Score – Yes (13/20)
  • Tottenham show a 20% BTTS rate and Leeds show a 60% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
  • Tottenham average 0.4 goals scored and Leeds average 1.4, so both attacking contributions need separating.
Price warning

Both Teams To Score is still the main football pick, but the current price is short: the market implies about 61% while the model sits nearer 50% (-10.6 pts). Keep staking reduced or wait for a better price unless final team news strengthens the selection.

Why This Pick Is Price-Sensitive

Football case vs market price

The 50% for Both Teams To Score sits against roughly 61% implied by the current price. Tottenham show a 20% BTTS rate and Leeds show a 60% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market. 🎯 Both Teams to Score – Yes (13/20)

Model chance vs price50% model chance against roughly 61% implied
Negative
Tottenham show a 20% BTTS rate and Leeds show a.Visible data support
Positive
Tottenham average 0.4 goals scored and Leeds average 1.4, so.Visible data support
Positive
🎯 Both Teams to Score – Yes (13/20)Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Both Teams To Score is the preferred angle because 🎯 Both Teams to Score – Yes (13/20) Tottenham show a that shared-scoring rate rate and Leeds show a that shared-scoring rate rate, which is the right starting point for this market. However, they consistently find the net, scoring in 28 of 35 games.

Main risk

However, they consistently find the net, scoring in 28 of 35 games.

Key Data Signals

Both Teams To Score evidence

🎯 Both Teams to Score – Yes (13/20)

Tottenham show a 20% BTTS rate and Leeds show a 60% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.

Tottenham average 0.4 goals scored and Leeds average 1.4, so both attacking contributions need separating.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams To Score notes

  • Use shots on target to decide whether attacking involvement is shared or one-sided.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Tottenham0.4
Avg goals scored
Leeds1.4
Tottenham1.6
Avg goals conceded
Leeds0.6
Tottenham20%
BTTS rate
Leeds60%
Tottenham40%
Over 2.5 goals
Leeds20%

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

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Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Tottenham

LDDLL
Last 50W 2D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 2D 3L
19 Sep 2026H Aston Villa2-3
12 Sep 2026H Everton0-0
05 Sep 2026A Nottingham Forest0-0
29 Aug 2026H Newcastle0-2
22 Aug 2026A Brentford0-3

Leeds

DWDDW
Last 52W 3D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 3D 0L
20 Sep 2026H Crystal Palace0-0
14 Sep 2026H Newcastle4-1
05 Sep 2026A Brighton1-1
30 Aug 2026H Brentford1-1
22 Aug 2026A Nottingham Forest1-0

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Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%Tottenham Over 2.5
20%Leeds Over 2.5
3.78H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Tottenham sit at 40% and Leeds sit at 20% with the H2H average at 3.78 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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