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Premier League | Sat 12 Sep, 17:30

Tottenham v Everton Stats

Data last updated: Fri 11 Sep 2026, 08:35 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Tottenham face a critical Premier League fixture at home, fighting to secure their top-flight status amid a troubling run of form and defensive absences including Cristian Romero and Ben Davies. Everton arrive with little pressure but boast a strong away record and a potent attack under David Moyes, despite defensive vulnerabilities. The visitors' ability to exploit space and Tottenham's aggressive, possession-based style sets the stage for a tense, open contest with survival stakes driving the hosts and Everton's resilience on the road making them formidable opponents.

BT4Y best bet

Everton Win

  • Everton have accumulated 26 points away this season, third-best in the league.
  • Tottenham are winless in their last 10 Premier League home matches, showing severe home fragility.
  • Everton score in every one of their last six matches, indicating consistent attacking threat.
  • Tottenham's defensive injuries leave their backline exposed against Everton's transition play.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Everton to win due to their superior recent form, accumulating 5 points compared to Tottenham's single point, and a stronger defensive record conceding fewer goals per match. Everton's attacking efficiency is highlighted by their higher average shots and shots on target, supported by key players like A. Maitland-Niles and C. Alcaraz who contribute significant offensive pressure. Tottenham's ongoing home struggles and defensive absences further tilt the balance towards Everton, making this pick a confident choice based on data and tactical context.

Recent FormEverton 5 points vs Tottenham 1 point
Strong positive
Defensive StabilityEverton concede 1 goal per match vs Tottenham 1.67
Positive
Attacking OutputEverton average 15.67 shots, Tottenham 12.33
Positive
Key Player ImpactMaitland-Niles and Alcaraz high shot volume and goal threat
Strong positive
Injury ImpactTottenham missing key defenders Romero and Davies
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Everton's consistent away form and superior attacking metrics make them the tactically and statistically stronger side in this fixture. Tottenham's defensive fragility and poor home record suggest Everton can exploit weaknesses to secure a vital win. The visitors' resilience and goal threat provide a clear edge in this high-stakes match.

Main risk

They routinely score but fail to protect leads, creating highly volatile matches.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Tactical and form advantage for Everton

“Everton's ability to maintain defensive discipline on the road combined with their attacking depth positions them well to capitalize on Tottenham's defensive absences and home struggles, making them the logical choice for victory.”

Key Data Signals

Everton Win evidence

Everton have accumulated 26 points away this season, third-best in the league.

Tottenham are winless in their last 10 Premier League home matches, showing severe home fragility.

Everton score in every one of their last six matches, indicating consistent attacking threat.

Tottenham's defensive injuries leave their backline exposed against Everton's transition play.

What To Watch In The Data

Everton Win notes

  • Recent head-to-head meetings average 2.9 goals per match, indicating a tendency for open, goal-rich encounters.
  • Both teams' recent matches show a 33% rate of over 2.5 goals, suggesting this fixture could produce multiple scoring opportunities and a lively tempo.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Tottenham7.33
Avg corners for
Everton5
Tottenham12.67
Avg total corners
Everton9.33
Tottenham1.33
Avg yellow cards
Everton1.67
Tottenham12.33
Avg shots
Everton15.67
Best odds for this sectionOver 4.5 CardsBet365 guide price · Model 51% vs implied 50% · edge +0.5 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
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Over 10.5 CornersBet365 guide price
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Tottenham's aggressive wide play and Everton's defensive pressure are likely to generate numerous corners and fouls. Everton's higher average shots and shots on target reflect their offensive intent, while both teams maintain moderate disciplinary records, indicating a competitive but controlled match environment.

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Useful next reads

Premier League fixtures and predictionsTottenham v Everton predictioncorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesfootball stats hubfootball hubfootball predictions hubbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Tottenham0
Avg goals scored
Everton1.67
Tottenham1.67
Avg goals conceded
Everton1
Tottenham0%
BTTS rate
Everton67%
Tottenham33%
Over 2.5 goals
Everton33%
Best odds for this sectionUnder 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 62% vs implied 52% · edge +9.4 pts
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
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BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 54%
2
Check odds @ 2
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 50%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 42%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 60%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 24%
3.2
Check odds @ 3.2
Both teams have shown attacking capabilities with Everton scoring in every recent match and Tottenham scoring in nine of their last ten home games. Defensive frailties on both sides suggest a high likelihood of goals at both ends, supporting a BTTS scenario in this fixture.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickEverton to WinBet365 guide price · Model 43% vs implied 28% · edge +15 pts
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
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Everton Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 74%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 50%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 42%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
The Everton Win market reflects in their superior recent form and tactical setup. While details are unavailable, the model's 70% chance indicates a strong value position based on Everton's consistent away performance and Tottenham's defensive vulnerabilities at home.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Tottenham

DLL
Last 50W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 1D 2L
05 Sep 2026A Nottingham Forest0-0
29 Aug 2026H Newcastle0-2
22 Aug 2026A Brentford0-3

Everton

DDW
Last 51W 2D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 2D 0L
06 Sep 2026H Manchester United2-2
29 Aug 2026A Bournemouth1-1
22 Aug 2026H Crystal Palace2-0
Market aligned with main pickEverton to WinBet365 guide price · Model 43% vs implied 28% · edge +15 pts
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
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Everton Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 74%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 71%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Everton's recent form shows a clear upward trajectory with 5 points gained and consistent goal scoring, contrasting with Tottenham's struggles, earning only 1 point and failing to score recently. This form disparity underlines Everton's momentum and psychological advantage heading into the match.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

6Tottenham wins
3Draws
1Everton wins
24 May 2026Tottenham v Everton1-0
26 Oct 2025Everton v Tottenham0-3
19 Jan 2025Everton v Tottenham3-2
24 Aug 2024Tottenham v Everton4-0
03 Feb 2024Everton v Tottenham2-2
23 Dec 2023Tottenham v Everton2-1
Market aligned with main pickEverton to WinBet365 guide price · Model 43% vs implied 28% · edge +15 pts
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 50%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 42%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
The last ten meetings between Tottenham and Everton have averaged nearly three goals per game, reflecting an open style and attacking intent from both sides. While historical results provide context, current form and squad changes are more influential for this match outcome.
Season team stats

Premier League

Tottenham3
Played
Everton3
Tottenham0
Avg goals for
Everton1.7
Tottenham1.7
Avg goals against
Everton1
Tottenham1
Clean sheets
Everton1
Market aligned with main pickEverton to WinBet365 guide price · Model 43% vs implied 28% · edge +15 pts
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
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Everton Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 74%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Over the season, Everton demonstrate stronger defensive stability and higher attacking output, with fewer goals conceded and more shots on target per match than Tottenham. These season-long trends reinforce Everton's capability to control the game and capitalize on Tottenham's defensive weaknesses.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
8Everton531202
18Tottenham13012-5
Everton's mid-table position with 5 points reflects a more stable campaign compared to Tottenham's precarious 18th place with just 1 point. The standings highlight the pressure on Tottenham to secure points, while Everton can play with relative freedom, influencing tactical approaches and match intensity.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

33%Tottenham Over 2.5
33%Everton Over 2.5
2.9H2H avg goals
Recent head-to-head meetings average 2.9 goals per match, indicating a tendency for open, goal-rich encounters. Both teams' recent matches show a 33% rate of over 2.5 goals, suggesting this fixture could produce multiple scoring opportunities and a lively tempo.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

Tottenham v Everton prediction

Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

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Competition and hubs

Premier League hubPremier League fixtures and predictionsTottenham v Everton predictioncorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesfootball stats hub

Next step

Betting context

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