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Tottenham crestTottenham
v
Crystal Palace crestCrystal Palace

Premier League | Sat 31 Oct, 17:30

Tottenham v Crystal Palace Stats

Data last updated: Sat 31 Oct 2026, 16:12 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Tottenham host Crystal Palace in a Premier League clash where both sides have shown attacking intent but defensive vulnerabilities. Tottenham have struggled for consistency at home in 2026, conceding in their last six matches, while Palace arrive on a 10-game scoring streak. Tottenham's aggressive pressing and transition threat under Igor Tudor contrast with Palace's aerial strength and wide play focus. This match promises open play and goal opportunities, with Tottenham eager to secure a home win and break their winless run this year.

BT4Y lean · price warning

Tottenham Win & Over 2.5 Goals

  • Price warning: current odds imply about 60%, above the 37% model chance, so this is a football-led pick rather than a clear value bet; reduce stake or wait for a better price.
  • Tottenham have conceded in their last six home games, indicating defensive fragility.
  • Crystal Palace have scored in 10 consecutive matches, showing strong attacking form.
  • Tottenham average 15.4 shots per game with 4.2 on target, reflecting offensive pressure.
  • Both teams have moderate BTTS rates: Tottenham 60%, Palace 40%, supporting goal-scoring chances.
Price warning

Tottenham Win & Over 2.5 Goals is still the main football pick, but the current price is short: the market implies about 60% while the model sits nearer 37% (-23.1 pts). Keep staking reduced or wait for a better price unless final team news strengthens the selection. Better value alternative: Crystal Palace Draw No Bet shows a +13 pts edge at 3.45.

Why This Pick Is Price-Sensitive

Football case vs market price

The model rates Tottenham Win & Over 2.5 Goals with a 36.8% chance, reflecting Tottenham's attacking volume and Palace's defensive susceptibility. Tottenham's average of 15.4 shots and 4.2 shots on target per game, combined with Palace's tendency to concede goals and their own scoring streak, create conditions for multiple goals. The match context of Tottenham's pressing style and Palace's aerial threat supports an open game with goals at both ends. is moderate at 60%, suggesting a balanced but promising scenario for this bet.

Tottenham attacking volume15.4 shots per game, 4.2 on target
Strong positive
Palace scoring streak10 consecutive matches with goals
Positive
Tottenham defensive fragilityConceded in last 6 home games
Positive
Model chance36.8% model chance vs 59.9% implied (-23.1 pts)
Positive
Confidence level60%
Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Tottenham's aggressive pressing and offensive firepower, combined with Palace's defensive vulnerabilities and scoring streak, create a strong tactical and statistical case for a Tottenham win with multiple goals. Tottenham's need to end their home winless run adds urgency to their attack, while Palace's aerial threat ensures an open game with scoring chances for both sides.

Main risk

Late team news, price movement and market liquidity are the main cautions before kick-off.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Tactical and statistical match dynamics

“Tottenham's high pressing and Palace's aerial control set the stage for an open, high-tempo match where Tottenham's offensive volume and Palace's scoring consistency make a multiple-goal home win a compelling scenario.”

Key Data Signals

Tottenham Win & Over 2.5 Goals evidence

Tottenham have conceded in their last six home games, indicating defensive fragility.

Crystal Palace have scored in 10 consecutive matches, showing strong attacking form.

Tottenham average 15.4 shots per game with 4.2 on target, reflecting offensive pressure.

Both teams have moderate BTTS rates: Tottenham 60%, Palace 40%, supporting goal-scoring chances.

What To Watch In The Data

Tottenham Win & Over 2.5 Goals notes

  • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 2.6, indicating a moderately high-scoring fixture historically.
  • Tottenham's recent home games have all featured goals conceded, and Palace's strong scoring run suggests an open tempo with attacking transitions.
  • These trends point towards a match likely to exceed 2.5 goals, aligning with the tactical styles and recent form of both teams.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Tottenham1.6
Avg goals scored
Crystal Palace1
Tottenham1
Avg goals conceded
Crystal Palace2.2
Tottenham60%
BTTS rate
Crystal Palace40%
Tottenham40%
Over 2.5 goals
Crystal Palace60%
Best odds for this sectionUnder 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 52% vs implied 42% · edge +9.7 pts
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 60%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 44%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Over 1.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 70%
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 52%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 34%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Both teams have shown tendencies to score and concede, with Tottenham's BTTS rate at 60% and Palace's at 40%. Tottenham's last six home games have all featured goals conceded, while Palace have scored in 10 straight matches. This combination points to a match likely featuring goals at both ends, supporting the over 2.5 goals and home win scenario.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

Premier League hubrelated match predictioncorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting angleslatest football statsmain football hubtoday's predictionsbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickTottenham to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 70% vs implied 65% · edge +5 pts
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Load more odds for this section
Tottenham Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 78%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Over 3.5 CardsBet365 guide price · model 61%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 60%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 52%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
The 36.8% for Tottenham Win & Over 2.5 Goals sits against roughly 59.9% implied by the current price (-23.1 pts). Will both teams score in the Tottenham vs Crystal Palace game?
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Tottenham

WWDLD
Last 52W 2D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 3D 3L
24 Oct 2026A Chelsea2-0
19 Oct 2026H Coventry3-1
10 Oct 2026A Manchester United1-1
19 Sep 2026H Aston Villa2-3
12 Sep 2026H Everton0-0

Crystal Palace

LLWDL
Last 51W 1D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 1D 5L
25 Oct 2026H Newcastle0-2
18 Oct 2026A Brighton0-5
11 Oct 2026H Nottingham Forest3-1
20 Sep 2026A Leeds0-0
12 Sep 2026H Ipswich2-3
Market aligned with main pickHome / DrawBetUK guide price · Model 86% vs implied 88% · edge -1.7 pts
1.14
Check odds @ 1.14
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Tottenham to WinBetMGM guide price · model 70%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Tottenham Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 78%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Tottenham have accumulated 8 points recently with an average of 1.6 goals scored and 1 conceded per game, showing moderate attacking output but defensive vulnerability. Palace have 4 points with a lower scoring average of 1 goal per game and higher concession rate at 2.2. Tottenham's over 2.5 goals rate is 40%, while Palace's is 60%, indicating Palace games tend to be higher scoring. This form data supports a match with multiple goals and a Tottenham win.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%Tottenham Over 2.5
60%Crystal Palace Over 2.5
2.6H2H avg goals
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 2.6, indicating a moderately high-scoring fixture historically. Tottenham's recent home games have all featured goals conceded, and Palace's strong scoring run suggests an open tempo with attacking transitions. These trends point towards a match likely to exceed 2.5 goals, aligning with the tactical styles and recent form of both teams.

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