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Charlton crestCharlton

League Cup | Wed 26 Aug, 19:45

Tottenham v Charlton Stats

Data last updated: Tue 25 Aug 2026, 07:51 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Tottenham face Charlton in a League Cup tie where attacking intent and goal-scoring opportunities are expected to be high. Charlton have shown strong offensive form recently, scoring three goals in their last match and maintaining a 100% rate of games with over 2.5 goals. Tottenham's data is limited but their midfielders, particularly M. Moore, demonstrate high shot volumes, suggesting an open game with multiple scoring chances. The cup setting encourages both sides to push forward, making this fixture ripe for a high-scoring encounter with tactical openness and attacking freedom on display.

BT4Y best bet

Over 3.5 Goals

  • Charlton have a 100% over 2.5 goals rate in recent matches, indicating strong attacking form.
  • Moore averages nearly 4 shots and shots on target per 90 minutes, showing offensive threat.
  • Carey contributes goals and shots on target, adding to Charlton's scoring potential.
  • Limited Tottenham data suggests uncertainty but player stats indicate offensive activity from midfield.
  • The League Cup context often leads to open, attacking games favoring higher goal totals.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model assigns a 58% chance for over 3.5 goals, reflecting in an open, attacking game. Charlton's recent matches all featured over 2.5 goals, supported by strong shot volumes from key players like S. Tottenham's midfield, led by M. Moore, also contributes significant shooting threat despite limited data. The positive of 12.5% and solid rating reinforce the pick as a strong football read for a high-scoring cup tie. Limited Tottenham data means line-up and defensive form remain variables to watch.

Charlton Over 2.5 Goals Rate100% recent matches
Strong positive
M. Moore Shots on Target3.97 per 90 minutes
Positive
S. Carey Goal Threat0.95 goals per 90 minutes
Positive
Limited Tottenham DataOnly 1 data point available
Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect an open and attacking League Cup fixture with Charlton's recent goal-scoring form and Tottenham's active midfield shooters setting the tone. The combination of Charlton's offensive and Tottenham's shot volume suggests a match likely to exceed 3.5 goals, making this a compelling pick for bettors seeking high-scoring action.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match attacking dynamics and goal potential

“Charlton's attacking momentum combined with Tottenham's midfield shooting prowess points to a lively, goal-rich encounter. The cup format often loosens defensive rigidity, enhancing the chance of multiple goals.”

Key Data Signals

Over 3.5 Goals evidence

Charlton have a 100% over 2.5 goals rate in recent matches, indicating strong attacking form.

Moore averages nearly 4 shots and shots on target per 90 minutes, showing offensive threat.

Carey contributes goals and shots on target, adding to Charlton's scoring potential.

Limited Tottenham data suggests uncertainty but player stats indicate offensive activity from midfield.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 3.5 Goals notes

  • Over the last five matches, Charlton has maintained a 100% rate of games finishing over 2.5 goals, indicating a consistent trend toward high-scoring affairs.
  • Tottenham's limited data restricts trend analysis, but their midfield shooting volume suggests offensive activity.
  • The tempo and attacking intent from both sides in this cup tie point to a continuation of this trend, supporting expectations for multiple goals.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Tottenham

Last 50W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for Tottenham yet.

Charlton

W
Last 51W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 0D 0L
08 Aug 2026A Cheltenham3-1
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 42% vs implied 27% · edge +15 pts
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
Load more odds for this section
Charlton Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 32%
6
Check odds @ 6
Charlton to WinBet365 guide price · model 25%
10
Check odds @ 10
DrawBetfred guide price · model 21%
6
Check odds @ 6
Tottenham Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.12
Check odds @ 1.12
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 48%
1.06
Check odds @ 1.06
Tottenham to WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
Charlton's recent form features a 100% rate of over 2.5 goals matches and a 3-1 win, highlighting their attacking effectiveness and defensive openness. Tottenham's form data is limited, but player shooting stats suggest offensive intent. The recent goal-rich performances from Charlton and Tottenham's attacking midfielders support the expectation of a high-scoring match in this cup tie.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Tottenham-
Avg goals scored
Charlton3
Tottenham-
Avg goals conceded
Charlton1
Tottenham-
BTTS rate
Charlton100%
Tottenham-
Over 2.5 goals
Charlton100%
Market aligned with main pickOver 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 58% vs implied 46% · edge +12.5 pts
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
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Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 78%
1.48
Check odds @ 1.48
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 66%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 88%
1.14
Check odds @ 1.14
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 26%
2.6
Check odds @ 2.6
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 28%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Charlton's recent matches have consistently featured over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring, reflecting an open style and defensive vulnerabilities. Tottenham's offensive data, especially from M. Moore, supports the likelihood of multiple goals. The combination of Charlton's attacking midfielders and Tottenham's shot volume suggests both teams will contribute to the goal tally, reinforcing the over 3.5 goals outlook.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionOver 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 78% vs implied 68% · edge +10.4 pts
1.48
Check odds @ 1.48
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 66%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Charlton Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 32%
6
Check odds @ 6
Charlton to WinBet365 guide price · model 25%
10
Check odds @ 10
DrawBetfred guide price · model 21%
6
Check odds @ 6
Tottenham Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.12
Check odds @ 1.12
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 35%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
The Over 3.5 Goals market is priced attractively at 2.2 with a 58% , indicating positive value. The implied chance from is 45.5%, well below the model's estimate, suggesting bettors can find value in backing a high-scoring game. This price sensitivity is supported by Charlton's recent goal-rich matches and Tottenham's offensive shot metrics, making the market a strong candidate for standard staking.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0Tottenham wins
0Draws
0Charlton wins
Best odds for this sectionOver 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 78% vs implied 68% · edge +10.4 pts
1.48
Check odds @ 1.48
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 66%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Charlton to WinBet365 guide price · model 25%
10
Check odds @ 10
DrawBetfred guide price · model 21%
6
Check odds @ 6
Tottenham to WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
There are no previous head-to-head meetings between Tottenham and Charlton to inform this fixture, so historical data offers no direct insight. The focus shifts to current form, player attacking metrics, and tactical context to assess goal potential and match dynamics.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Tottenham-
Avg corners for
Charlton3
Tottenham-
Avg total corners
Charlton5
Tottenham-
Avg yellow cards
Charlton0
Tottenham-
Avg shots
Charlton17
Best odds for this sectionOver 10.5 CornersBetfred guide price · Highlighted because this is the strongest available price in this section.
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Load more odds for this section
Over 9.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 29%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 35%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Charlton averages 3 corners per game and maintains a low card count, indicating disciplined attacking play with sustained pressure. Tottenham's limited corner and card data restricts detailed analysis, but M. Moore's high shot rate implies active offensive phases. The expected territorial battles and set-piece opportunities from Charlton's wing play could generate multiple corners and shots, fueling goal chances.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

League Cup

Tottenham0
Played
Charlton1
Tottenham0
Avg goals for
Charlton3
Tottenham0
Avg goals against
Charlton1
Tottenham0
Clean sheets
Charlton0
Best odds for this sectionCharlton Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 32% vs implied 17% · edge +15 pts
6
Check odds @ 6
Load more odds for this section
Charlton to WinBet365 guide price · model 25%
10
Check odds @ 10
Tottenham Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.12
Check odds @ 1.12
Tottenham to WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
Season-long data for Charlton shows strong attacking numbers with multiple players contributing goals and shots, aligning with their recent over 2.5 goals trend. Tottenham's season stats are limited but indicate a midfield capable of generating numerous shots, suggesting offensive potential. Both teams' attacking profiles support the likelihood of a match exceeding 3.5 goals, especially in a cup setting encouraging open play.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

-Tottenham Over 2.5
100%Charlton Over 2.5
-H2H avg goals
Over the last five matches, Charlton has maintained a 100% rate of games finishing over 2.5 goals, indicating a consistent trend toward high-scoring affairs. Tottenham's limited data restricts trend analysis, but their midfield shooting volume suggests offensive activity. The tempo and attacking intent from both sides in this cup tie point to a continuation of this trend, supporting expectations for multiple goals.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.