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Tottenham crestTottenham
v
Brighton crestBrighton

Premier League | Sat 18 Apr, 17:30

Tottenham v Brighton Stats

Data last updated: Fri 17 Jul 2026, 12:18 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Tottenham face Brighton in Premier League on Sat 18 Apr, 17:30. Fabian Hurzeler's side has kept three straight away clean sheets and faces a Tottenham side that has lost four consecutive home league matches. Brighton have scored 2+ goals in four of their last six games while keeping three consecutive clean sheets on the road.

BT4Y match pick

Ly against Tottenham, so Spurs are not just fighting the table here

  • At 13/10, Tottenham Win implies roughly 44%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 42%.
  • Tottenham are close enough on the ball to compete, but their home record says the game can get away from them quickly.
  • Tottenham have the stronger recent points return, taking 1 points from the sample compared with 0 for Brighton.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 42% for Tottenham Win sits against roughly 44% implied by the current price. Tottenham have the stronger recent points return, taking 1 points from the sample compared with 0 for Brighton. Tottenham are close enough on the ball to compete, but their home record says the game can get away from them quickly.

Model chance vs price42% model chance against roughly 44% implied
Neutral
Tottenham have the stronger recent points return, taking 1 points.Visible data support
Positive
Tottenham are close enough on the ball to compete.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Tottenham Win is the preferred angle because tottenham are close enough on the ball to compete, but their home record says the game can get away from them quickly. Tottenham have the stronger recent points return, taking 1 points from the sample compared with 0 for Brighton. Tottenham are not miles behind in attacking output, but the balance is off.

Main risk

Tottenham are not miles behind in attacking output, but the balance is off.

Key Data Signals

Tottenham Win evidence

Tottenham are close enough on the ball to compete, but their home record says the game can get.

Tottenham have the stronger recent points return, taking 1 points from the sample compared with 0 for Brighton.

What To Watch In The Data

Tottenham Win notes

    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    No priced odds are available for this section yet.

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    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Tottenham0.6
    Avg goals scored
    Brighton-
    Tottenham2
    Avg goals conceded
    Brighton-
    Tottenham60%
    BTTS rate
    Brighton-
    Tottenham60%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Brighton-

    No priced odds are available for this section yet.

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    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Tottenham

    LLDLL
    Last 50W 1D 4L
    Last 5 record
    Last 100W 3D 7L
    12 Apr 2026A Sunderland0-1
    22 Mar 2026H Nottingham Forest0-3
    15 Mar 2026A Liverpool1-1
    05 Mar 2026H Crystal Palace1-3
    01 Mar 2026A Fulham1-2

    Brighton

    Last 50W 0D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 100W 0D 0L

    No recent match sample is available for Brighton yet.

    No priced odds are available for this section yet.

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    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    Tottenham6
    Avg corners for
    Brighton-
    Tottenham10
    Avg total corners
    Brighton-
    Tottenham1.5
    Avg yellow cards
    Brighton-
    Tottenham13
    Avg shots
    Brighton-

    No priced odds are available for this section yet.

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    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    5Tottenham wins
    1Draws
    4Brighton wins
    20 Sep 2025Brighton v Tottenham2-2
    25 May 2025Tottenham v Brighton1-4
    06 Oct 2024Brighton v Tottenham3-2
    10 Feb 2024Tottenham v Brighton2-1
    28 Dec 2023Brighton v Tottenham4-2
    08 Apr 2023Tottenham v Brighton2-1

    No priced odds are available for this section yet.

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    Season team stats

    Premier League

    Tottenham0
    Played
    Brighton38
    Tottenham-
    Avg goals for
    Brighton1.4
    Tottenham-
    Avg goals against
    Brighton1.2
    Tottenham-
    Clean sheets
    Brighton10

    No priced odds are available for this section yet.

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    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    60%Tottenham Over 2.5
    -Brighton Over 2.5
    3.4H2H avg goals
    Tottenham are close enough on the ball to compete, but their home record says the game can get away from them quickly.

    Next step

    Betting context

    Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.