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Tottenham crestTottenham
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Brighton crestBrighton

Premier League | Tue 29 Dec, 19:30

Tottenham v Brighton Stats

Data last updated: Tue 13 Oct 2026, 11:43 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Tottenham face Brighton in Premier League on Tue 29 Dec, 19:30. Fabian Hurzeler's side has kept three straight away clean sheets and faces a Tottenham side that has lost four consecutive home league matches. Brighton have scored 2+ goals in four of their last six games while keeping three consecutive clean sheets on the road.

BT4Y best bet

Ly against Tottenham, so Spurs are not just fighting the table here

  • Ly against Tottenham, so Spurs are not just fighting the table here is rated around 27% by the current BT4Y model.
  • Tottenham are close enough on the ball to compete, but their home record says the game can get away from them quickly.
  • Brighton have the stronger recent points return, taking 10 points from the sample compared with 3 for Tottenham.
  • Brighton have the cleaner defensive sample at 1 conceded per match, which helps the Ly against Tottenham, so Spurs are not just fighting the table here angle more than a raw possession edge.
  • Tottenham sit 19 in the table, while Brighton sit 3, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model rates Ly against Tottenham, so Spurs are not just fighting the table here around 27% on the latest available numbers. Brighton have the stronger recent points return, taking 10 points from the sample compared with 3 for Tottenham. Tottenham are close enough on the ball to compete, but their home record says the game can get away from them quickly.

Brighton have the stronger recent points return, taking 10 points.Visible data support
Positive
Brighton have the cleaner defensive sample at 1 conceded per.Visible data support
Positive
Tottenham are close enough on the ball to compete.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Tottenham Win is the preferred angle because tottenham are close enough on the ball to compete, but their home record says the game can get away from them quickly. Brighton have the stronger recent points return, taking 10 points from the sample compared with 3 for Tottenham. Tottenham are not miles behind in attacking output, but the balance is off.

Main risk

Tottenham are not miles behind in attacking output, but the balance is off.

Key Data Signals

Ly against Tottenham, so Spurs are not just fighting the table here evidence

Tottenham are close enough on the ball to compete, but their home record says the game can get.

Brighton have the stronger recent points return, taking 10 points from the sample compared with 3 for Tottenham.

Brighton have the cleaner defensive sample at 1 conceded per match, which helps the Tottenham Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Tottenham sit 19 in the table, while Brighton sit 3, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

Ly against Tottenham, so Spurs are not just fighting the table here notes

    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Tottenham0.6
    Avg goals scored
    Brighton2.8
    Tottenham1.2
    Avg goals conceded
    Brighton1
    Tottenham40%
    BTTS rate
    Brighton40%
    Tottenham20%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Brighton60%

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    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

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    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Tottenham

    DLDDL
    Last 50W 3D 2L
    Last 5 record
    Last 100W 3D 3L
    10 Oct 2026A Manchester United1-1
    19 Sep 2026H Aston Villa2-3
    12 Sep 2026H Everton0-0
    05 Sep 2026A Nottingham Forest0-0
    29 Aug 2026H Newcastle0-2

    Brighton

    WWWDL
    Last 53W 1D 1L
    Last 5 record
    Last 104W 1D 1L
    10 Oct 2026A Sunderland2-0
    19 Sep 2026H Arsenal3-0
    13 Sep 2026A Coventry5-0
    05 Sep 2026H Leeds1-1
    30 Aug 2026A Chelsea3-4

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    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    20%Tottenham Over 2.5
    60%Brighton Over 2.5
    3.4H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Tottenham sit at 20% and Brighton sit at 60% with the H2H average at 3.4 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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